XRP is up more than 8% over the past seven days, but it hasn’t been able to maintain the strong momentum sparked by the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Ripple.
After the initial surge, XRP has entered a phase of consolidation, with price action stuck between key support and resistance levels. Technical indicators now reflect a market on pause, with momentum fading and direction unclear.
RSI has now slipped closer to neutral territory, suggesting that market participants are increasingly uncertain about the next move.
Importantly, XRP hasn’t reached RSI levels above 70—commonly associated with overbought and strongly bullish conditions—since March 19, over a week ago, indicating a lack of strong buying pressure during this period.
RSI, or Relative Strength Index, is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100.
An RSI reading above 70 typically signals that an asset is overbought and could be due for a pullback, while a reading below 30 suggests it may be oversold and primed for a bounce. Values between 50 and 70 generally reflect bullish momentum, whereas readings between 30 and 50 lean bearish.
With XRP now sitting at 52.89, it remains above the midpoint but is edging closer to neutral, suggesting the recent bullish phase may be cooling off unless renewed buying activity steps in.
Ichimoku Cloud Shows An Indecisive Market
XRP’s Ichimoku Cloud chart shows a market in consolidation, with price action hovering just above the cloud but lacking strong momentum.
The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are relatively flat and close together, indicating a pause in trend strength and a balance between buyers and sellers.
The lack of a clear Tenkan/Kijun crossover also supports the idea that the market is in a neutral phase rather than trending decisively in either direction.
The cloud ahead is thin and slightly bullish. This suggests that while there is some support beneath the price, it’s not particularly strong.
A thin cloud typically signals potential vulnerability, as it may not hold up well against increased selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Chikou Span (lagging line) is interacting closely with past price action, another sign that momentum is weakening.
Overall, the Ichimoku setup reflects uncertainty, with XRP needing a decisive push in either direction to escape this range-bound structure.
The price is now caught between a resistance zone at $2.47 and support at $2.35. That highlights a phase of consolidation and indecision.
If the current support level is retested and fails to hold, XRP could see increased selling pressure. That would open the door for a move down to $2.22. If bearish momentum intensifies, a deeper drop toward $1.90 is possible.
Bitcoin’s price recently hit a monthly high, surpassing $87,000 and marking a notable rise for the crypto king. This rally is attributed to favorable macroeconomic conditions and the increased conviction of key investors.
Despite this growth, long-term holders’ profits have dropped to a two-year low, signaling a more cautious outlook among certain market participants.
Bitcoin Whales Remain Bullish
Whale and shark addresses, which hold between 10 and 10,000 BTC, have been actively accumulating Bitcoin at lower price levels. Over the past month, these addresses have purchased approximately 53,652 BTC, worth nearly $4.7 billion. This buying spree indicates that large investors are taking advantage of Bitcoin’s recent dip, believing in the asset’s long-term potential.
The accumulation by these large investors highlights confidence in Bitcoin’s growth. While some market participants might have been uncertain during Bitcoin’s recent price fluctuations, these major holders appear to be positioning themselves for future gains.
Bitcoin Whale and Shark Holding. Source: Santiment
The MVRV Long/Short Difference indicator, which tracks the difference between short-term holders (STHs) and long-term holders (LTHs) in terms of realized profits, is currently at a two-year low. This indicates that STHs are dominating the market, which reflects the whale accumulation. However, the dominance of short-term holders in profits often signals that the market is ripe for selling, which could result in downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
With the MVRV indicator flipping below the zero line, there’s a risk that Bitcoin’s price could be negatively impacted if STHs decide to cash out. While whales continue to accumulate, the growing influence of STHs could lead to increased volatility, especially if the market sentiment shifts.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $87,463, holding above the crucial support level of $86,822. The last time Bitcoin failed to secure this support, the price fell significantly. However, if Bitcoin can maintain support at $86,822, it could move toward the next resistance level at $89,800.
Breaking through the $90,000 mark is a key milestone for Bitcoin. If Bitcoin can reclaim $90,000 as support, it will likely continue its upward trend. This psychological level is crucial for bolstering investor confidence, which would drive further price increases.
On the downside, if Bitcoin faces bearish momentum, it could struggle to hold support at $86,822. A drop through this level would likely lead to a further decline, with the next support level at $85,204. If this fails, Bitcoin could slide to $82,503, erasing a significant portion of the recent gains.
China’s recent directive for its state-owned banks to decrease reliance on the US dollar has amplified a growing trend among countries seeking alternatives to the dominant reserve assets. In some instances, Bitcoin has emerged as a viable competitor.
BeInCrypto spoke with experts from VanEck, CoinGecko, Gate.io, HashKey Research, and Humanity Protocol to understand Bitcoin’s rise as an alternative to the US dollar and its potential for greater influence in global geopolitics.
The Push for De-Dollarization
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, China has gradually reduced its reliance on the US dollar. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has now instructed state-owned banks to reduce dollar purchases amid the heightened trade war with US President Donald Trump.
China is among many nations seeking to lessen its dependence on the dollar. Russia, like its southern neighbor, has received an increasing number of Western sanctions– especially following its invasion of Ukraine.
Furthermore, Rosneft, a major Russian commodities producer, has issued RMB-denominated bonds, indicating a shift towards RBM, the Chinese currency, and a move away from Western currencies due to sanctions.
This global shift away from predominant reserve currencies is not limited to countries affected by Western sanctions. Aiming to increase the Rupee’s international use, India has secured agreements for oil purchases in Indian Rupee (INR) and trade with Malaysia in INR.
The country has also pursued creating a local currency settlement system with nine other central banks.
As more nations consider alternatives to the US dollar’s dominance, Bitcoin has emerged as a functional monetary tool that can serve as an alternative reserve asset.
Why Nations Are Turning to Bitcoin for Trade Independence
Interest in using cryptocurrency for purposes beyond international trade has also grown. In a notable development, China and Russia have reportedly settled some energy transactions using Bitcoin and other digital assets.
“Sovereign adoption of Bitcoin is accelerating this year as demand grows for neutral payments rails that can circumvent USD sanctions,” Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, told BeInCrypto.
Two weeks ago, France’s Minister of Digital Affairs proposed using the surplus production of EDF, the country’s state-owned energy giant, to mine Bitcoin.
Last week, Pakistan announced similar plans to allocate part of its surplus electricity to Bitcoin mining and AI data centers.
Meanwhile, on April 10, New Hampshire’s House passed HB302, a Bitcoin reserve bill, by a 192-179 vote, sending it to the Senate. This development makes New Hampshire the fourth state, after Arizona, Texas, and Oklahoma, to have such a bill pass a legislative chamber.
If HB302 is approved by the Senate and signed into law, the state treasurer could invest up to 10% of the general fund and other authorized funds in precious metals and specific digital assets like Bitcoin.
According to industry experts, this is only the beginning.
VanEck Predicts Bitcoin to Become a Future Reserve Asset
Sigel predicts Bitcoin will become a key medium of exchange by 2025 and, ultimately, one of the world’s reserve currencies.
His forecasts suggest Bitcoin could settle 10% of global international trade and 5% of global domestic trade. This scenario would lead to central banks holding 2.5% of their assets in BTC.
According to him, China’s recent de-dollarization will prompt other nations to follow suit and lessen their reliance on the US dollar.
“China’s de-dollarization efforts are already having second- and third-order effects that create opportunities for alternative assets like Bitcoin. When the world’s second-largest economy actively reduces its exposure to US Treasuries and promotes cross-border trade in yuan or through mechanisms like the mBridge project, it signals to other nations—especially those with strained ties to the West—that the dollar is no longer the only game in town,” Sigel said.
For Zhong Yang Chan, Head of Research at CoinGecko, these efforts could prove catastrophic for the United States’ dominance.
“Broader de-dollarization efforts by China, or other major economies, will threaten the status of the dollar’s global reserve currency status. This could have [a] profound impact on the US and its economy, as this would lead to nations reducing their holdings of US treasuries, which the US relies on to finance its national debt,” he told BeInCrypto.
However, the strength of the US dollar and other dominant currencies has already shown signs of weakening.
A General Wave of Currency Decline
Sigel’s research shows that the four strongest global currencies—the US dollar, Japanese yen, British pound, and European euro—have lost value over time, particularly in cross-border payments.
The decline of these currencies creates a void where Bitcoin can gain traction as a key alternative for international trade settlements.
“This shift isn’t purely about promoting the yuan. It’s also about minimizing vulnerability to US sanctions and the politicization of payment rails like SWIFT. That opens the door for neutral, non-sovereign assets—especially those that are digitally native, decentralized, and liquid,” Sigel added.
This lack of national allegiance also sets Bitcoin apart from traditional currencies.
Bitcoin’s Appeal: A Non-Sovereign Alternative
Unlike fiat money or central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), Bitcoin doesn’t respond to any one nation, which makes it appealing to some countries.
For Terence Kwok, CEO and Founder of Humanity Protocol, recent geopolitical tensions have heightened this belief.
For these same reasons, experts don’t expect Bitcoin to replace fiat currencies fully but rather provide a vital alternative for certain cases.
A Replacement or an Alternative?
While Bitcoin offers several advantages over traditional currencies, Gate.io’s Kevin Lee doesn’t foresee its eventual adoption causing a complete overhaul of the currency reserve system.
Recent data confirms this. The number of Bitcoin transactions has fallen significantly since the last quarter of 2024. Bitcoin registered over 610,684 transactions in November, but that number dropped to 376,369 in April, according to Glassnode data.
The number of Bitcoin active addresses paints a similar picture. In December, the network had nearly 891,623 addresses. Today, that number stands at 609,614.
Bitcoin number of active addresses. Source: Glassnode.
This decline suggests reduced demand for its blockchain in terms of transactions, usage, and adoption, meaning fewer people are actively using it for transfers, business, or Bitcoin-based applications.
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin network must also ensure its infrastructure is efficient enough to meet global demand.
Can Bitcoin Scale for Global Use?
In 2018, Lightning Labs launched the Lightning Network to reduce the cost and time required for cryptocurrency transactions. Currently, the Bitcoin network can only handle around seven transactions per second, while Visa, for example, handles around 65,000.
“If expansion solutions (such as the Lightning Network) fail to become popular, Bitcoin’s ability to process only about 7 transactions per second will be difficult to support global demand. At the same time, as Bitcoin block rewards are gradually halved, the decline in miners’ income may threaten the long-term security of the network,” Guo, Director of HashKey Research explained.
While the confluence of geopolitical shifts and Bitcoin’s inherent characteristics undeniably create a space for its increased adoption as an alternative to the US dollar and even a potential reserve asset, significant hurdles remain.
Achieving mainstream Bitcoin adoption hinges on overcoming scalability, volatility, regulatory hurdles, stablecoin competition, and ensuring network security.
The unfolding panorama suggests Bitcoin will carve out an important role in the global financial system, though a complete overhaul of established norms seems unlikely in the immediate future.
Celestia (TIA) has recently experienced a significant drawdown, losing nearly 30% of its value in the past two weeks. This decline has been attributed to the broader bearish market conditions, which caused panic among investors.
As a result, many TIA holders decided to pull their funds, adding to the downward pressure on the price.
Celestia Holders Opt To Back Out
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has shown significant outflows from Celestia, marking the largest selling activity since the beginning of 2025. This reflects the growing fear among investors after the 30% price correction.
However, despite the negative sentiment, there has been an uptick in the CMF recently, indicating that some new investors are beginning to see value in the low prices. These inflows could potentially help stabilize the price and set the stage for a recovery.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Celestia shows that cryptocurrency is currently on a bearish trend. Stuck below the neutral line at 50.0, the RSI is moving closer to the oversold threshold of 30.0. Historically, when an asset reaches this level, it is considered a signal for a potential reversal, as selling typically slows, and accumulation begins.
If the RSI falls below 30, it could trigger buying interest, as many traders may view the low prices as an opportunity to enter the market.
The current state of the RSI suggests that while bearish momentum is still strong, the conditions are ripe for a reversal. If the selling pressure wanes and buyers begin to step in, Celestia’s price could find support and begin an upward move.
Celestia is currently priced at $2.62, reflecting a nearly 30% decline over the past two weeks. It is holding just above the critical support level of $2.53. If the market sentiment improves and the RSI hits the oversold zone, there is potential for a recovery.
The influx of new investors could provide the momentum needed to drive the price higher.
A successful bounce from the $2.53 support level could see Celestia pushing through $2.73 and heading towards $2.99. This would signal the beginning of a recovery rally and possibly set the stage for further price appreciation as market conditions improve.
However, if Celestia fails to hold the $2.53 support, it could trigger a further decline towards $2.27. This would invalidate the bullish outlook, prolonging the downtrend and extending investors’ losses.
