SUI has experienced an impressive price rally, rising nearly 20% in just two days. This surge marks the continuation of a near three-week uptrend fueled by rising interest from SUI enthusiasts.
As the market shows growing optimism, the altcoin has caught the attention of investors, setting the stage for further price movement.
SUI Traders Are Hopeful Of Gains
The Open Interest in SUI has surged by 28% in just 48 hours, jumping from $1.42 billion to $1.82 billion. This $400 million increase signals a growing interest in the Futures market, with traders eager to capitalize on the altcoin’s bullish momentum.
The positive funding rate further supports this outlook, indicating that long positions are dominating short positions. This suggests that traders expect the price of SUI to continue rising, contributing to the overall bullish sentiment surrounding the coin.
The rising Open Interest and positive funding rate indicate that more capital is flowing into SUI, reinforcing its position in the market. As more traders take long positions, this momentum could propel the price even further, creating a positive feedback loop.
Technical indicators also support SUI’s overall macro momentum. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is currently at a near four-month high, signaling that inflows are outweighing outflows.
This uptick suggests that investors are actively seeking to capitalize on the rising price of SUI, further driving demand.
As more capital enters the market, SUI’s upward momentum could continue, pushing its price higher. The increase in the CMF reflects the broader market’s positive sentiment and suggests that the altcoin’s rally is supported by strong investor confidence.
SUI’s price has risen by nearly 20% in the last 48 hours, trading at $3.96 at the time of writing. The altcoin is now approaching the key resistance level of $4.05.
Successfully breaching this barrier would help maintain the nearly three-week uptrend and could set the stage for further price gains. This level is crucial for the continuation of the rally.
If SUI manages to flip $4.05 into support, it would open the door to further upward movement. The next potential targets would be $4.79 or even higher, with $5.00 becoming a realistic possibility.
A sustained rally beyond this point would signal strong bullish sentiment and further price appreciation.
However, if SUI fails to breach $4.05 and experiences a reversal, it could drop to $3.59. Losing this support level would indicate a potential weakening of the bullish momentum, with the price potentially falling to $3.18.
If this happens, it would invalidate the current uptrend and shift the market sentiment towards a bearish outlook.
After numerous Congressional debates and revisions, the GENIUS Act is now on the verge of becoming law. The bill, which aims to regulate the stablecoin industry across the United States, is widely expected to be signed.
According to representatives from Digital Chamber, a D.C.-based advocacy group for the blockchain industry, the bill approval will likely come before the end of June. Such a move would increase institutional adoption and strengthen the US dollar’s dominance globally.
When Will the GENIUS Act Pass?
Poised for passage, the GENIUS Act is a landmark bill that would federally regulate the US stablecoin industry.
Despite recent disagreements between Republican and Democratic Senators, the bill passed a key procedural vote. Kristopher Klaich, Policy Director at The Digital Chamber, strongly believes in its impending approval.
“I feel pretty strongly that there won’t be more hiccups… I think the industry has been such a strong player in politics for the last couple of years and supporting campaigns… there’s a high cost for members that may be the stick in the mud,” he told BeInCrypto.
According to Taylor Barr, the advocacy group’s Government Affairs and PAC Manager, 53 amendments have been made.
“Majority leader Thune is committed to having what he’s calling a fully open amendment process, which means every single amendment has the full right to go through a debate vote and to have full closure on each amendment. So at the end of the day, that could be a three-week-long process,” Barr told BeInCrypto.
However, Barr clarified that a fully open process with 53 individual debates is unlikely. He expects these amendments to be divided into three or four groups, resulting in a more efficient and abbreviated open amendment process, given that many are duplicative.
If Barr’s estimations are correct, the bill will pass before the end of this month. When it does, the significance will be substantial for the greater crypto industry.
Understanding Stablecoin Impact
Stablecoins are arguably the most globally adopted digital asset. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or altcoins, they provide worldwide access to a stable medium of exchange.
According to a January report by crypto exchange CEX.io, the total stablecoin transaction volume reached 27.6 trillion in 2024, exceeding Visa’s total payment volume and Mastercard’s by 7.7%.
Tether and Circle dominate the market at $151 billion and $59 billion, respectively. Together, they have an 89% market share, according to rwa.xyz.
Tether and Circle dominate stablecoin market share. Source: rwa.xyz.
Their heavyweight presence in global economies makes a bill like the GENIUS Act all the more significant. This is especially true in the context of a debilitated US dollar.
The Dollar’s Waning Influence
The US dollar started the year exceptionally weakly. Two days ago, the US Dollar Index (DXY)—a key measure heavily influenced by the euro—fell nearly 9% to just under 99. The results marked its weakest calendar year opening since at least the mid-1980s.
This situation and broader de-dollarization efforts by major US debt holders like China and Japan intensify concerns about the dollar’s future.
US Dollar Index Continues to Decline. Source: Yahoo Finance
Data from Ark Invest illustrates this shift. In 2011, these three nations held 23% of the $10.1 trillion in outstanding US Treasury debt.
By November 2024, despite the total outstanding US Treasury debt rising to $36 trillion, their combined holdings had dropped significantly to approximately 6%.
This substantial decrease in holdings by key foreign creditors highlights growing worries about the dollar’s long-term stability and the United States’ ability to refinance its massive debt.
“Dollars are the world reserve currency. Demand for dollars has waned at the sovereign level. Over recent years, the largest purchasers of treasuries are cutting their holdings of treasuries. That is not a good situation for the United States as they try to refinance,” Klaich said.
Klaich added that legislation like the GENIUS Act is crucial:
“In my mind, there’s very little more important than the stablecoin bill being passed from an macroeconomic perspective… If demand for dollars diminishes at the sovereign level, structurally speaking, if that is or can be replaced by demand at a retail individual level, that is a huge boon to the US government.”
The data behind Klaich’s statements seems to back his analysis.
What Role Will Stablecoins Play in Future US Debt Demand?
The stablecoin market is poised for significant growth. According to an April report from Citigroup, the total stablecoin supply could reach $1.6 trillion by 2030. This growth could create a demand for US debt comparable to the historical levels supported by sovereign nations.
Stablecoin issuers could be one of the largest holders of US treasuries by 2030. Source: Citigroup.
The GENIUS Act could facilitate this transition.
“Hopefully, when it passes, demand for stablecoins will explode because there are many companies and banks that are planning to introduce stablecoins that will provide the rails for them to operate at a consumer and business level. So the efficiencies companies and individuals realize will help push that,” Klaich explained.
“It allows anybody in the world to access US dollars. What that affords the US from an economic warfare standpoint is significant,” Klaich added.
With persistent inflation risks, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to buy back significant amounts of US treasuries. Therefore, encouraging stablecoin use allows this market to effectively replace currently ineffective financial mechanisms.
Amendments to the Bill
If the GENIUS Act is implemented correctly, the stablecoin industry could become a valuable financial tool for the US government to ensure long-term support for the US dollar.
The bill underwent a difficult revision process. According to Barr, the process was tedious and politically challenging.
“If you look at all of the progress we’ve made, we’ve worked on this for three Congresses now. We’ve worked on this [through] multiple different leaderships– minority, majority split. So we’re so close. We’ve done all this progress so we can see the finish line. We’re going to get there,” he said.
However, multiple revisions were a prerequisite for its passage to ensure the bill responsibly addressed consumer protection, national security, and market integrity issues.
Klaich noted that these critical concerns were addressed fairly in the legislative process. He emphasized that recent versions of the bill effectively integrated these revisions.
“None of those issues are existential, and they’ve been negotiated into the latest version of the bill that’s being considered right now. I think the changes that have been made are reasonable and acceptable,” he said.
The future will reveal if the bill passes and achieves its desired effect in helping the US overcome its complicated economic reality.
TRUMP’s price has been stuck in a downtrend for the past month despite the media attention surrounding US President Donald Trump’s recent statements. The altcoin has faced difficulty breaking through the critical resistance level of $17.14.
However, investor sentiment remains strong, and with the upcoming White House Crypto Summit, there may be a chance for recovery.
TRUMP Notes Strong Inflows
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows positive signs for TRUMP, with the indicator currently above the zero line. This suggests stronger inflows than outflows, indicating that investors are optimistic about the altcoin’s future.
Furthermore, with the White House Crypto Summit scheduled for March 7, investors are looking to capitalize on potential price movements ahead of the event. Many are likely to accumulate at low levels, anticipating the summit’s influence on both the market and TRUMP’s price.
The positive CMF reading supports the idea that investors are positioning themselves for a potential breakout. As the summit approaches, TRUMP’s price could see upward momentum. Historically, significant events like these tend to influence altcoins, especially when there’s optimism about new regulations or policy changes in the crypto space.
TRUMP shares a strong correlation of 0.86 with Bitcoin (BTC), which suggests that the altcoin is likely to follow BTC’s lead. Given that BTC’s price is also influenced by broader market trends, TRUMP’s price could rise alongside Bitcoin if the hype around the White House Crypto Summit continues to build.
Bitcoin’s potential rise in anticipation of the summit could lift TRUMP’s price as well. The correlation indicates that as BTC moves up, so too could TRUMP. Should the broader market experience positive momentum, both Bitcoin and TRUMP are poised for potential rallies, with TRUMP looking to benefit from increased attention during the summit.
TRUMP Correlation With Bitcoin. Source: TradingView
TRUMP Price Aims At Key Barrier
Currently trading at $13.38, TRUMP is holding above the critical support level of $12.41. The altcoin remains stuck under the month-long downtrend, unable to break above the key resistance at $17.14. However, the bullish sentiment driven by the upcoming White House Crypto Summit could spark a rally for TRUMP.
The altcoin’s target would be to secure $17.14 as support. If successful, TRUMP price could note a 27% rally and push to $21.45, marking a significant recovery from its current levels. The optimism surrounding the summit could provide the necessary catalyst for this price movement.
On the other hand, if the altcoin fails to break through the downtrend and the market sentiment weakens, TRUMP could drop below its support of $12.41. This would lead to a decline to $11.07, its current all-time low (ATL), or possibly lower, invalidating any bullish outlook.
