The Mexican Peso (MXN) has continued its upward trajectory, buoyed by softer-than-expected inflation data and growing expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico).
Inflation Eases in Mexico
Mexico’s headline inflation rate slowed to 4.55% in November, down from 4.76% in October. This decline, which was lower than market forecasts, signals a cooling of inflationary pressures in the country. Core inflation also softened, easing to 3.58% from 3.8% in the previous month.
The softer inflation data has increased speculation that Banxico may cut interest rates in its upcoming policy meeting on December 14th. This expectation, coupled with the potential for a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, has further supported the MXN.
US Dollar Stumbles as Rate Cut Hopes Grow
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has struggled to gain momentum despite a strong November jobs report. While the US economy added 227,000 jobs, the unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked up to 4.2%. This has led to increased speculation that the Fed may cut rates in December to mitigate the risk of a recession.
Technical Outlook for USD/MXN
The USD/MXN pair remains in a downtrend, with a key support level at 20.00. A break below this level could trigger a deeper correction towards 19.75. On the upside, resistance levels are located at 20.25, 20.60, and 20.80.
The Mexican Peso has benefited from easing inflationary pressures and growing expectations of a rate cut by Banxico. The US Dollar, on the other hand, has struggled to gain traction as investors anticipate a potential rate cut by the Fed. As we move into the final weeks of the year, market participants will be closely watching economic data releases from both Mexico and the US for further clues on monetary policy directions.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) market dominance has surged to 64%, reaching its highest level in over four years.
However, experts remain divided on what this means for the future. Some predict an impending altcoin season, and others caution that Bitcoin’s dominance could continue to suppress altcoins.
“Excluding stable coins, Bitcoin dominance is now at 69%,” Cowen revealed.
The rise in Bitcoin dominance has sparked debate among analysts about its implications for altcoins. Cowen believes there will be a correction or downward movement in altcoins before any substantial gains can be expected in the market. This implies that the altcoin season may not be imminent yet.
“I think ALT/ BTC pairs need to go down before they can go up,” he stated.
Nordin, founder of Nour Group, also expressed caution. He stressed that Bitcoin dominance is nearing the levels seen during the peak of the 2020 bear market.
“This isn’t just a BTC move. Its capital rotating out of alts,” he noted.
“Bitcoin dominance back to 64%. No Alt seasons in 2024 or 2025,” analyst, Alessandro Ottaviani, predicted.
On the other hand, analyst Mister Crypto predicts that Bitcoin’s dominance may follow a long-term descending triangle pattern. A descending triangle typically suggests bearish momentum, where the price or dominance gradually decreases as lower highs are formed.
However, this could prolong its market control before a broader correction allows altcoins to gain traction.
Another analyst mentioned that Bitcoin dominance is currently testing the resistance zone between 64% and 64.3%. Therefore, a possible retracement may be on the horizon. Should this retracement occur, altcoins could begin to gain traction, with some potentially emerging as top performers in the market as capital shifts away from Bitcoin.
“However, a breakout from this zone could mean further declines for alts,” the analyst remarked.
Finally, Junaid Dar, CEO of Bitwardinvest, offered a more optimistic view. According to Dar’s analysis, if Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 63.45%, it could trigger a strong upward movement in altcoins. This, he believes, would create an ideal opportunity to profit from altcoin positions.
“For now, alts are stuck. Just a matter of time,” Dar added.
Tether Dominance Signals Potential Altcoin Season
Meanwhile, many analysts believe that the trends in Tether dominance (USDT.D) signal a potential altcoin season. From a technical analysis standpoint, USDT.D has reached a resistance zone and may be due for a correction, suggesting the possibility of capital flowing from USDT into altcoins.
“The USDTD is in a rejection zone, as long as it does not close above 6.75% it will be favorable for the market,” a technical analyst wrote.
Another analyst also stressed that the USDT.D and USD Coin dominance (USDC.D) have reached resistance, forecasting an incoming altcoin season. Doğu Tekinoğlu drew similar conclusions by observing the combined chart of BTC.D, USDT.D, and USDC.D.
As Bitcoin’s dominance climbs, investors are closely monitoring these technical and on-chain signals. The interplay between Bitcoin’s strength and stablecoin dynamics could dictate whether altcoins stage a comeback this summer or face further consolidation. For now, Bitcoin’s grip on the market remains firm.
Made in USA coins like Solana (SOL), SUI, and Aerodrome Finance (AERO) are showing very different signals heading into the last week of April.
SOL is bouncing back with strong DEX volume, SUI is gaining ecosystem momentum despite price weakness, and AERO is under pressure as Base experiments with a new “Content Coins” narrative. From recovery rallies to ecosystem expansion and narrative shifts, each offers a unique setup to watch this week.
Solana (SOL)
Over the past seven days, Solana has climbed 6%, reclaiming the $130 level and reigniting bullish sentiment after correcting by 53% between February 7 and April 7.
If this positive momentum holds, SOL could challenge resistance at $147. A decisive break above that level may lead to further gains toward $160 and potentially $180.
However, if the rally stalls, support at $124 becomes critical. A drop below that could push prices down to $112, risking the recent recovery.
SUI
The SUI ecosystem has gained notable traction over the past few days, driven by a surge in meme coin activity and a spike in decentralized exchange (DEX) usage.
SUI reached $2.14 billion in DEX volume, placing it 6th among all chains and even surpassing Arbitrum’s daily volumes on several occasions.
Despite the ecosystem buzz, however, SUI’s price has struggled to keep up with the momentum.
Over the last seven days, SUI has dropped more than 9%, showing signs of a deeper correction. If the downtrend continues, it could test the key support at $2.02, with further downside toward $1.71 if that level breaks.
On the flip side, a bullish reversal could send SUI toward resistance at $2.28. A breakout there opens the door to $2.41, $2.54, and potentially $2.83 if the rally gains strength.
Aerodrome Finance (AERO)
Aerodrome, the leading decentralized exchange focused on the Base chain, has generated $6.38 million in fees over the past 30 days, solidifying its position as the backbone of Base’s DeFi activity.
Despite its dominance, AERO has been under pressure, falling over 10% in the last seven days and more than 20% in the last month.
At the same time, Base is pushing a new narrative centered around “Content Coins,” though some users argue they resemble meme coins more than a distinct innovation.
Base’s DEX volume has dropped 21% in the past week, but if the “Content Coins” trend gains traction, it could reignite interest in the ecosystem—and in AERO.
Should momentum return, AERO could climb to test resistance at $0.414, with potential upside toward $0.47 and $0.54 if the rally is strong.
On the downside, if bearish pressure continues, support at $0.36 is key. A breakdown there could lead to further losses toward $0.34 and possibly $0.28, making the coming weeks critical for AERO’s direction.
