Bitcoin price has climbed sharply to $96,500 following confirmation that China and the United States will resume formal trade negotiations this week. This marks the first direct engagement between both governments since President Donald Trump returned to office in January and introduced new tariffs on Chinese goods.
Crypto markets responded immediately after the announcement. Bitcoin price rose by more than $1,700 within 10 minutes, while other cryptocurrencies also recorded gains.
XRP price has increased by 1% to $2.15, Cardano price rose 3% to $0.679, and Dogecoin price climbed 1.5% to $0.1721. Analysts attributed the rise to growing investor confidence that tensions between the two economic powers may ease.
China Confirms Restart of US Trade Talks
US and Chinese trade officials are set to meet in Switzerland later this week. The discussions aim to reopen formal economic dialogue after months of growing tariff disputes. Both nations released official statements confirming the meeting.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will lead the American delegation. China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that Vice Premier He Lifeng will represent Beijing. He serves as the lead official for China-US trade relations.
“The Vice Premier will hold a meeting with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to discuss trade issues,” said a spokesperson from China’s Foreign Ministry. The US Trade Representative’s office also confirmed that Greer will meet his Chinese counterpart to continue discussions on trade-related matters.
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Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, has reshaped how people worldwide perceive finance and money. However, as technology advances and external factors evolve, Bitcoin faces structural challenges that could impact its future existence and growth.
A recent discussion among industry leaders highlighted major risks that could pose a black swan event for Bitcoin’s future.
What Is the Biggest Threat to Bitcoin?
Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment, recently asked, “What is the biggest structural risk to Bitcoin in the next 5-10 years?” This question sparked significant attention and responses from investors, experts, and industry leaders, shedding light on pressing concerns.
One of the most frequently mentioned risks is the threat posed by quantum computing. Nic Carter, general partner at Castle Island Ventures, responded concisely: “Quantum.” His answer received widespread agreement.
“I increasingly agree. That was the catalyst for my thread/question, tbh,” Lyn Alden replied to Nic Carter.
Future quantum computers could break the encryption algorithms securing Bitcoin, such as the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA), which safeguards Bitcoin wallets. If a sufficiently powerful quantum computer emerges, it could forge digital signatures, allowing attackers to steal Bitcoin from any wallet with an exposed public key.
According to research by River, a quantum computer with 1 million qubits could crack a Bitcoin address. Microsoft has claimed that its new chip, named Majorana, is paving the way toward this milestone. This raises an urgent question: how much time does Bitcoin have before it must become quantum-resistant?
While the quantum computing threat is apparent, some argue that a more immediate challenge is whether the Bitcoin community can reach a consensus and implement quantum-resistant solutions in time.
“That’d be not coming to a consensus fast enough on the implementation of a quantum-resistant hashing algorithm,” Stillbigjosh, a former cybersecurity expert at Flutterwave, commented.
However, the founder of BlockTower, Ari Paul, pointed out that Bitcoin’s network faces a more immediate risk as attack costs have dropped significantly.
“Someone shorting 10%+ of BTC’s market cap then spending ~1/10th that to gain 51% control of hash power and mining empty blocks indefinitely, effectively turning off the network. Could fork the PoW algo, but just means the attack on the new network now costs <1/1000th the previous one,” Ari Paul noted.
The Risk of Conflict Between Bitcoin’s Decentralized Nature and Regulatory Oversight
Beyond technical challenges, some investors fear that government and institutional involvement will be Bitcoin’s biggest risk in the next 5-10 years.
“Government and institutional involvement changing the incentives of everything,” Investor Shinobi commented.
Bitcoin Holdings by Governments, Corporations, and Financial Institutions. Source: BitcoinTreasuries
Data from BitcoinTreasuries shows that over the past five years, Bitcoin holdings by private companies, public companies, governments, and ETFs have surged more than 12 times, from 210,000 BTC to over 2.6 million BTC. As a result, regulatory intervention could introduce legal pressures or unwanted changes to Bitcoin’s fundamental operations.
“The biggest structural risk is the friction between Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos and the increasing push for centralized regulatory oversight. In essence, as governments and large institutions tighten control and enforce compliance, the network might be forced to compromise on its core principle,” Investor MisterSpread warned.
The discussion sparked by Lyn Alden’s question suggests risks that could trigger black swan events for Bitcoin. It also reflects the growing awareness among industry leaders and investors about Bitcoin’s systemic risks in an era increasingly shaped by political stability and artificial intelligence.
As leading coin Bitcoin weathers one of its most bearish weeks since the start of the year, on-chain data suggests that miners have contributed significantly to the growing sell-side pressure.
On-chain data reveals that miners on the Bitcoin network have ramped up their coin-selling activity, a trend that could exacerbate the downward pressure on the coin’s price.
Bitcoin Bears Take Control as Miner Reserve Dips
According to CryptoQuant’s data, the BTC miner reserve has steadily decreased this week. As of this writing, it stands at 1.80 million BTC, down 1% from the previous week.
The BTC’s miner reserve tracks the number of coins held in miners’ wallets. It represents the coin reserves miners have yet to sell.
When the metric climbs, miners are holding onto more of their mined coins, often signaling confidence in future price increases. Conversely, when the reserve declines like this, miners are moving coins out of their wallets, usually to sell, confirming growing bearish sentiment against BTC.
The coin’s negative miner netflow further confirms this trend. As of April 10, this was -590.40. BTC’s miner netflow tracks the difference between the amount of coins sent to exchanges versus what is withdrawn.
When its value is negative like this, more coins are being moved from miner wallets to exchanges, typically a precursor to selling.
With added downward pressure from this segment of BTC holders, the coin’s price could see deeper corrections in the short term if buying interest fails to counterbalance the ongoing liquidation.
Bitcoin’s Bearish Trend Could See Price Fall to $74,000
On the daily chart, BTC remains significantly below its Super Trend indicator, which forms dynamic resistance above its price at $90,911.
This indicator tracks the direction and strength of an asset’s price trend. It is displayed as a line on the price chart, changing color to signify the trend: green for an uptrend and red for a downtrend.
When an asset’s price trades below its Super Trend indicator, selling pressure dominates the market. This bearish trend could further prompt BTC holders to sell, worsening its price dip. If this happens, the coin’s price could fall below the key support at $80,776 to trade at $74,389.
Wyoming, one of the fifty States in the United States, is working on plans to launch its stablecoin. With the plan to fully back the stablecoins with the US Dollar, Wyoming is positioning itself as the first in the country to issue such payment tokens. According to Governor Mark Gordon, the state is making moves to jump onto the bandwagon as early as July.
Wyoming Stablecoin Pivot Aligns With Federal Government Pivot
According to a Bloomberg report, Governor Gordon is very positive about the stablecoin push. He believes most financial stakeholders are not bullish enough about the stable asset firm.
The Governor reference the position of JPMorgan Chase CEO, Jimon Dimon a while back regarding plans to venture into the stablecoin niche earlier. He said he once pitched Wyoming to him and the bank as the state has the right “framework to do it.”
While only a few mainstream firms have entered the stablecoin scene, Wyoming may be pioneering a new wave in the digital payments ecosystem. This move comes as the President Donald Trump administration is pushing for legislation for the ecosystem.
