The Mexican Peso (MXN) has continued its upward trajectory, buoyed by softer-than-expected inflation data and growing expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico).
Inflation Eases in Mexico
Mexico’s headline inflation rate slowed to 4.55% in November, down from 4.76% in October. This decline, which was lower than market forecasts, signals a cooling of inflationary pressures in the country. Core inflation also softened, easing to 3.58% from 3.8% in the previous month.
The softer inflation data has increased speculation that Banxico may cut interest rates in its upcoming policy meeting on December 14th. This expectation, coupled with the potential for a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, has further supported the MXN.
US Dollar Stumbles as Rate Cut Hopes Grow
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has struggled to gain momentum despite a strong November jobs report. While the US economy added 227,000 jobs, the unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked up to 4.2%. This has led to increased speculation that the Fed may cut rates in December to mitigate the risk of a recession.
Technical Outlook for USD/MXN
The USD/MXN pair remains in a downtrend, with a key support level at 20.00. A break below this level could trigger a deeper correction towards 19.75. On the upside, resistance levels are located at 20.25, 20.60, and 20.80.
The Mexican Peso has benefited from easing inflationary pressures and growing expectations of a rate cut by Banxico. The US Dollar, on the other hand, has struggled to gain traction as investors anticipate a potential rate cut by the Fed. As we move into the final weeks of the year, market participants will be closely watching economic data releases from both Mexico and the US for further clues on monetary policy directions.
Welcome to the US Morning Crypto News Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee to see how Bitcoin (BTC) is faring against public companies, precious metals, and ETFs (exchange-traded funds) on metrics of total assets by market capitalization. The pioneer crypto is proving formidable, taking the stage as a tech stock proxy to ‘dynamic hedge’ against equities and US Treasury risk.
Bitcoin Surpassed Google in Market Cap
Amidst renewed optimism, Bitcoin has surpassed Google, effectively joining the top five assets on market cap metrics.
According to data on companiesmarketcap.com, which tracks over 10,436 firms, Bitcoin is now the fifth most valuable asset after GOLD, Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Nvidia (NVDA). As of this writing, it boasts a market cap of $1.86 trillion.
This growth comes as Bitcoin progressively gains attention as a hedge against traditional finance (TradFi) and US Treasury risk, which aligns with the most recent US Crypto News publication. As BeInCrypto reported, experts say Bitcoin’s number one purpose in a portfolio is to hedge against risks to the existing financial system.
In contrast, Gold is losing appeal after recently establishing a new all-time high (ATH). While President Trump’s tariffs catapulted Gold to new heights, there appears to be a capital rotation as investors’ appetite for risk grows.
“Bitcoin has surged past the prior $88,800 technical ceiling, clearing the psychological $90,000 mark to trade at an eye-watering $93,500. Meanwhile, Gold has slid 6 percent, reflecting a renewed appetite for risk and a clear rotation into digital assets,” QCP Capital analysts said.
According to analysts, institutions are no longer testing the waters of crypto. Instead, they are diving in headfirst. Based on this outlook, BeInCrypto contacted Standard Chartered Head of Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick, who forecasted a new ATH for Bitcoin price.
Standard Chartered Reiterates Next Bitcoin ATH
According to Kendrick, the increasing 10-year US Treasury term premium, now at a 12-year high, correlates with an increase in Bitcoin price. The term premium is the additional yield investors demand to hold a long-term bond instead of a series of shorter-term bonds.
“While correlations vary over time, the relationship between Bitcoin and the term premium is pretty solid, especially since the start of 2024. This relationship shows that Bitcoin has lagged the term premium increase in recent weeks,” Kendrick told BeInCrypto.
According to the analyst, this lag likely reflects the previous narrative that tariffs are hurting tech stocks and Bitcoin trading, such as Mag7 stocks.
“This could be what is needed for the next all-time high, and on that, I reiterate my current forecasts for Bitcoin, of 200k end-2025 and 500k end-2028,” he added.
As Bitcoin acts as a dynamic hedge, it remains to be seen whether it can flip Nvidia this quarter. Nevertheless, Kendrick does not rule it out, acknowledging that dominant narratives change and Bitcoin serves several purposes in portfolios.
A huge number of companies bought or planned to buy Bitcoin today, displaying an accelerated global trend of corporate acquisition. It’s unclear what impact this growing movement will have on BTC’s ecosystem.
Last week, public firms spent $275 million on BTC, while Metaplanet alone nearly equaled this amount. Strategy, Semler Scientific, Genius Group, and more also made commitments today.
Companies Keep Buying Bitcoin
A growing number of companies around the world are buying and stockpiling Bitcoin, outpacing even the BTC ETF issuers in their appetites. Today alone, several firms have announced massive new acquisitions or plans to carry them out, providing a sense of the trend’s massive scale. For example, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is planning to raise $4.2 billion for BTC buys:
According to the company’s press release, Strategy plans to sell a vast quantity of STRD, a new stock offering, to afford more Bitcoin. The firm has purchased more than $1 billion in BTC several times this year, but this massive commitment exceeds them all. Strategy is planning a truly gargantuan buy while other companies are executing smaller ones.
Metaplanet, one of the top five public companies by Bitcoin holdings, purchased 2,205 BTC today. At current prices, that would put its expenditure around $238.8 million. Last week, all the corporate acquisitions put together totaled $275 million, so Metaplanet nearly exceeded this alone in one day. For whatever reason, the trend may be accelerating.
Case in point, Genius Group increased its goal for a BTC stockpile to 10,000 today when it previously aimed for only 1,000. Last week, the company spent $2.1 million on Bitcoin, and it plans to use a “balanced mix of funding sources,” including revenues, BTC yields, and stock sales, to significantly expand its operations.
These are some of the most ambitious firms, but the number of aspiring corporate whales is growing at a fast rate. DDC Enterprises announced a purchase of 230 bitcoins today, while the company only held 122 beforehand. Semler Scientific spent $20 million on acquisitions, maintaining a fast pace for steady growth. Several more companies bought smaller amounts.
Semler Scientific has acquired 187 BTC for $20 million and has achieved BTC Yield of 29% YTD. Now holding 4,636 BTC. $SMLR
Bitcoin surged back above $105,000 following a dramatic announcement by President Donald Trump confirming a complete ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
Trump declared the 12-day war “officially ended” following a 24-hour dual-stage ceasefire to be initiated first by Iran, then by Israel.
The Market Impact of Iran-Israel Ceasefire
Crypto markets reacted swiftly. Over the weekend, Bitcoin dipped below $100,000 hours earlier amid news of a potential Strait of Hormuz shutdown. Today, BTC rebounded by over 5% on the announcement.
Ethereum also rallied, climbing back above $2,400, while risk sentiment improved across broader digital asset markets.
Crypto Market Rallies After Ceasefire Announcement. Source: BeInCrypto
The ceasefire removed immediate fears of further military escalation and global oil disruption. Also, the de-escalation was widely anticipated, as oil prices began to drop earlier despite Iran targeting US bases in Qatar.
Earlier in the day, Iran’s parliament approved a proposal to shut the Strait of Hormuz, which handles 25% of global oil shipments.
Had that closure gone into effect, it would have sharply driven up oil prices, potentially reigniting inflation and delaying central bank rate cuts.
Instead, the ceasefire has reduced energy market pressure and restored some degree of geopolitical stability, prompting capital to flow back into risk assets.
Trump Ceasefire Announcement in Iran-Israel War. Source: Truth Social
Markets will closely watch whether both sides adhere to the 24-hour ceasefire protocol and if the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
If the truce holds, macroeconomic stability may return quickly, boosting both equities and crypto. However, any breaches or renewed tension could send Bitcoin back into risk-off territory.
