PI has staged a remarkable comeback after plunging to an all-time low of $0.40 on April 5. Amid a broader market recovery over the past week, the altcoin has seen a resurgence in demand, driving its price up 84% from its recent bottom.
With the bulls attempting to strengthen market control, PI could extend its gains in the short term.
Additionally, the histogram bars, which reflect the strength of that momentum, have gradually increased in size over the past few days, highlighting the growing demand for the altcoin.
When an asset’s MACD is set up this way, upward momentum is building, and buyers are gaining control. PI’s MACD crossover is a bullish signal, suggesting the potential for continued price gains as buying pressure increases.
In addition, PI’s positive Balance of Power (BoP) reflects the growing demand for the altcoin. As of this writing, the indicator is at 0.52.
The BoP indicator measures the strength of buyers versus sellers in the market, helping to identify momentum shifts. When its value is positive, buyers are dominating the market over sellers and driving newer price gains.
Is $1 Within Reach?
PI’s ongoing rally has caused its price to trend within an ascending parallel channel. This bullish pattern is formed when an asset’s price consistently moves between two upward-sloping, parallel trendlines.
It signals a sustained uptrend, with PI buyers gradually gaining control while allowing short-term pullbacks. If the rally continues, PI could exchange hands at $0.95.
Texas Bitcoin Reserve proposal passed a Senate vote with 25 out of 30 votes in favor. It will require another vote in the House of Representatives to reach the Governor and become law, but the progress is very encouraging.
Several other state-level reserve proposals failed due to Republican Party defections. In Texas, however, most Democrats voted in favor. This bill does not trigger mandatory Bitcoin purchases yet, which was a major sticking point with fiscal conservatives.
“The Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill passed the Senate with some Democrat support. (The final vote was 25 – 5, and there are 11 Democrat Senators). If there is similar cross-aisle support in the House, then the bill’s prospects for success are good,” a legislative watchdog claimed on social media.
The effort to pass a Bitcoin Reserve in Texas has been an important piece of crypto regulation for several reasons. Obviously, Texas is a large and economically vital area, with the second-largest GDP of all US states.
Additionally, this effort represents a crucial chance to defeat a losing streak in state-level Reserve bills.
Essentially, these bills would trigger up to $23 billion in Bitcoin purchases nationwide, which thrilled the crypto community. There’s just one problem: the Republican Party values fiscal conservatism.
However, approval at this stage does not inevitably trigger this sort of spending, and now Texas can join states like Utah and Arizona as the leaders in this race.
Texas’ Position in the Bitcoin Reserve Race. Source: Bitcoin Laws
What’s Next for the BTC Reserve Bill in Texas?
Despite today’s win, the fight for a Texas Bitcoin Reserve is far from over. The bill will now move to the state’s House of Representatives, which has more than five times as many members.
More specifically, the Texas House of Representatives has 89 Republican members and 62 Democrats. In theory, this should be a clear win, as Republicans are largely pro-crypto.
However, this wasn’t the case in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Wyoming, where several Republican members voted against the respective BTC reserve bills.
The Texas bill passed the Senate with near-unanimous support, but it might be more contentious before a larger body. In any event, it’s a win, and the Bitcoin Reserve efforts could use a victory right now.
According to VanEck’s April 2025 Digital Assets Monthly recap, Bitcoin (BTC) outperformed equities during a turbulent month, offering a glimpse of its potential as a macro hedge.
Yet, the asset’s quick return to correlated behavior suggests Bitcoin is not yet ready to stand fully apart from risk markets.
Bitcoin Outperforms Stocks During April Market Selloff
Bitcoin briefly broke free from traditional markets like stocks and equities. However, its newfound independence may have been short-lived.
“Bitcoin showed signs of decoupling from equities during the week ending April 6,” VanEck Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel wrote.
This period coincided with US President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariff measures, which triggered a global market selloff. While the S&P 500 and gold slumped, Bitcoin rose from $81,500 to over $84,500, signaling a possible shift in investor perception.
Still, the momentum did not last. As the month progressed, Bitcoin’s price action re-synced with equities. VanEck, using data from Artemis XYZ, noted that the 30-day BTC-S&P 500 correlation fell below 0.25 in early April but bounced back to 0.55 by month’s end.
“Bitcoin has not meaningfully decoupled,” the report emphasized.
Bitcoin and Ethereum correlation with the S&P 500. Source: VanEck research
Bitcoin gained 13% for the month, outshining the NASDAQ’s 1% loss and the S&P 500’s flat performance. Perhaps more intriguingly, Bitcoin’s volatility dropped by 4%, even as equity volatility doubled amid rising geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty.
Yet while the short-term picture remains muddled, VanEck sees early signs of a structural shift. The report highlights a growing sovereign and institutional interest in Bitcoin as a store-of-value asset with long-term macro hedging potential.
“Structural tailwinds are forming. Bitcoin continues to find support as a sovereign, uncorrelated asset,” wrote Sigel.
The bank argued that Bitcoin’s resilience amid monetary stress reflects its growing role as portfolio ballast against the fragility of fiat-denominated debt markets.
“I think Bitcoin is a hedge against both TradFi and US Treasury risks. The threat to remove US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell falls into Treasury risk—so the hedge is on,” Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, told BeInCrypto.
However, this resilience did not extend to the broader crypto market. According to VanEck, altcoins stumbled as meme coins, speculative DeFi AI tokens, and Layer-1 networks like Ethereum and Sui fell sharply.
The MarketVector Smart Contract Leaders Index dropped 5% in April and is down 34% year-to-date. Solana stood out as a rare winner, gaining 16% thanks to network upgrades and increasing institutional treasury interest.
Sui posted a 45% jump in daily DEX volume and entered the top 10 in smart contract platform revenue. By contrast, Ethereum lagged, declining 3% as its fee revenue share shrank to just 14%, down from 74% two years ago.
The broader trend in altcoins was bearish, and speculative energy continued to fade. Trading volumes in meme coins dropped by 93% between January and March, with the MarketVector Meme Coin Index down 48% year-to-date.
Even so, regarding price and volatility metrics, Bitcoin’s relative strength in April could hint at where the asset is headed. VanEck’s report concludes that while Bitcoin has not yet fully broken from risk asset behavior, the groundwork for long-term decoupling is quietly being laid.
PEPE has continued its downward trajectory, hitting a six-month low of $0.00000670. The meme coin’s sustained losses have significantly eroded investor confidence, leading even uncertain holders to pull back.
The extended drawdown has created a challenging environment, with sentiment remaining overwhelmingly bearish.
PEPE Investors Are Losing Hopes
Short-term holders (STHs) have exited the market over the past month. Their participation has dropped from 11.5% to 7%, a 4.5% decline that reflects the growing reluctance to engage with PEPE at current price levels.
The prolonged downtrend has discouraged traders, as any recent investments have resulted in losses.
Typically, a low STH presence can be seen as a stabilizing factor, reducing volatility. However, this case highlights rising pessimism among PEPE investors.
The absence of new inflows and the reluctance of holders to re-enter suggest that sentiment remains fragile, further delaying any potential recovery.
PEPE’s macro momentum remains weak, with technical indicators signaling persistent bearish conditions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has remained stuck in the bearish zone for over a month, indicating continued selling pressure.
The lack of upward momentum suggests that recovery remains unlikely in the near term.
Additionally, worsening broader market conditions have exacerbated PEPE’s decline. Without a shift in macroeconomic or crypto market trends, the meme coin could remain under pressure. Until key resistance levels are breached, bearish dominance is expected to persist.
PEPE’s price has fallen to $0.00000670, holding above the critical support of $0.00000632. Sitting at a six-month low, the meme coin’s four-month-long downtrend shows no signs of reversal. If bearish pressure continues, PEPE could lose its support and sink further.
A breach of $0.00000632 would likely result in PEPE falling below $0.00000600. This could extend losses further, pushing the price toward the next support at $0.00000587. Without a strong reversal, PEPE may continue its downward trajectory, deepening investor losses.
The only way to invalidate this bearish outlook is if PEPE reclaims the crucial resistance of $0.00000951 as support. A successful breakout above this level would increase the chances of the meme coin returning to $0.00001000.
However, before this can happen, PEPE must first breach $0.00000718 and $0.00000839, both acting as key resistance levels on the way to recovery.
