Solana has been making a concerted effort to recover from the losses it faced over the past three months. Recently, the altcoin has been gaining traction, aided by Long-Term Holders (LTHs) who have joined the rally.
This support is likely to help solidify Solana’s path toward a full recovery in the coming month.
Solana Investors Have Something To Look Forward To
Currently, Solana is in the “Hope” zone according to the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator. Historically, when Solana entered this zone, it often preceded price increases, with the price rising as the indicator moves closer to the “Optimism” zone at 0.25. While Solana is still far from this threshold, the altcoin’s price could rise in anticipation of further bullish momentum.
In addition to the strong NUPL signal, Solana is seeing significant interest from institutional investors. This interest is further reinforcing the positive market sentiment as more institutional investors are increasing their exposure to Solana. This institutional confidence is likely to contribute to the ongoing positive price action and add strength to Solana’s recovery.
Recently Canada approved the world’s first spot SOL ETF which is a big deal considering US investors have been asking for the same longer. But Chris Chung, CEO and Co-Founder at Titan during a discussion with BeInCrypto talked about their weak impact.
“Canada’s approval of spot SOL ETFs isn’t enough to buoy Solana’s price in and of itself, but what it does do is send a clear signal that the institutional world is ready for Solana. Especially considering the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) has approved staking, which has been a contentious issue for a long time. Now, the US SEC will almost certainly have to follow suit soon, which will be a bigger deal in terms of inflows,” Chung stated.
Thus, Solana’s macro momentum is also showing signs of improvement, as the HODLer Net Position Change has recently spiked. This spike is indicative of an increasing accumulation by Long-Term Holders (LTHs), which suggests a growing conviction in the asset. LTH accumulation signals confidence in Solana’s long-term price rise, and the altcoin is likely to benefit from this continued accumulation.
The fact that LTHs are increasingly holding their positions is a strong indicator of confidence in Solana’s future. This trend could help stabilize the price and support further growth, as LTHs typically strongly influence market direction. With more investors holding onto their SOL tokens, the foundation for a sustained upward movement is being laid.
Solana HODLer Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode
SOL Price Is On Track To Rally
Solana’s price has surged by 41% this month, reaching $149 at the time of writing. The next major resistance is at $180, and breaching this level would mark a significant recovery from the losses experienced in March. To reach $180, SOL needs a 21.8% rise, which seems attainable given the current momentum.
If Solana successfully breaks through $180, it will be well-positioned to maintain its bullish momentum. A continued rise could help SOL recover losses from February as well, potentially pushing the price to $221. However, this price increase would likely come with some market saturation, capping further immediate gains.
However, if investors decide to sell their holdings prematurely, Solana’s price could take a significant hit. Failing to break through the $180 resistance level could result in a decline, possibly falling back to $123. This scenario would invalidate the current bullish thesis, signaling a potential reversal and halting the recovery.
Regulatory sandboxes have emerged as a concept to drive innovation in a controlled setting. They allow companies to test new crypto products and services while regulators observe and adapt regulations. While jurisdictions like the UK, the UAE, and Singapore have already created sandboxes, the US has yet to create one at the federal level.
BeInCrypto spoke with representatives of OilXCoin and Asset Token Ventures LLC to understand what the US needs to build a federal regulatory sandbox and how it can unify a fragmented testing environment for innovators.
A Patchwork Approach
As the name suggests, regulatory sandboxes have emerged as a tool for providing a controlled testing ground. This environment allows entrepreneurs, businesses, industry leaders, and lawmakers to interact with new and innovative products.
According to the Institute for Reforming Government, 14 states in the United States currently have regulatory sandboxes for fintech innovation.
Of those, 11 are industry-specific and cover other sectors like artificial intelligence, real estate, insurance, child care, healthcare, and education.
Utah, Arizona, and Kentucky are the only jurisdictions among these states with an all-inclusive sandbox. Meanwhile, all but 12 states are currently considering legislation to create some regulatory sandbox for innovation.
Due to its relatively short existence, the crypto market has underdeveloped legislation. While state-level sandboxes enable innovators to demonstrate their products’ capabilities to the public, they are significantly constrained by the lack of federal regulatory sandboxes.
The Need for Federal Oversight
Though statewide efforts to create regulatory sandboxes are vital for innovation, entrepreneurs and businesses still face constraints in developing across borders or reaching an audience at a national level.
Rapid advancements in fields like blockchain and artificial intelligence (AI) add a particular layer of uncertainty, given that existing legal frameworks may not be well-suited to these technologies.
At the same time, regulators may face difficulties in developing appropriate rules for these technologies due to a potential lack of familiarity with these constantly changing industries.
As a result, industry participants are increasingly calling for creating a federal regulatory sandbox. This environment could be a collaborative framework to address the gap, facilitating communication and knowledge sharing between regulators and industry stakeholders.
“The implementation of a federal regulatory sandbox in the United States has the potential to significantly enhance both innovation and regulatory oversight by reducing the uncertainties often associated with navigating the regulatory landscape across state lines. Such an initiative could help establish a coherent framework characterized by uniformity, continuity, and a conducive environment for innovation,” said Paul Talbert, Managing Director of ATV Fund.
According to Rademacher and Talbert, this proposal would meet the needs of all players involved.
Benefits of a Federal Regulatory Sandbox
A sandbox provides innovators with a controlled environment to test products under regulatory oversight without the immediate burden of full compliance with rules that may not yet fit their technology.
It also allows regulators to acquire firsthand insights into blockchain applications, facilitating the creation of more knowledgeable and flexible regulatory policies.
“Startups should have clear eligibility criteria to determine their qualification for participation, while regulators must outline specific objectives—whether focused on refining token classification frameworks, testing DeFi applications, or improving compliance processes,” Rademacher said.
It could also help the United States reinforce its position as a leader in technological innovation.
“By fostering innovation through simplicity, regulatory certainty, and conducive environments, the United States can significantly strengthen its competitive position in the global fintech landscape,” Talbert added.
While the United States has stalled in creating a federal framework for fintech innovation, other jurisdictions around the world have already gained significant ground in this regard.
Global Precedents
The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), which regulates the United Kingdom’s financial services, launched the first regulatory sandbox in 2014 as part of Project Innovate. This initiative aimed to provide a controlled environment for testing innovative products.
The government asked the FCA to establish a regulatory process to promote new technology-based financial services and fintech and ensure consumer protection.
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Singapore, in particular, have made progressive strides in creating federal regulatory sandboxes.
The UAE, for example, currently has four different sandboxes: the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) Regulation Lab, the DSFA Sandbox, the CBUAE FinTech Sandbox, and the DFF Regulation Lab.
Their focus areas include digital banking, blockchain, payment systems, AI, and autonomous transport.
Meanwhile, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) launched its Fintech Regulatory Sandbox in 2016. Three years later, MAS also launched the Sandbox Express, providing firms with a faster option for market testing certain low-risk activities in pre-defined environments.
“The success of regulatory sandboxes in jurisdictions such as the United Kingdom, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates has highlighted the importance of key attributes: regulatory collaboration, transparent processes, continuous monitoring, and the allocation of dedicated resources. As a result, a growing number of jurisdictions worldwide are looking to replicate the frameworks established by these pioneering countries to strengthen their competitive position in the global fintech landscape,” Talbert said.
Rademacher believes these jurisdictions’ innovations should prompt the United States to accelerate its progress.
For that to happen, the United States must overcome certain hurdles.
Challenges of a Fragmented US Regulatory Landscape
A fragmented network of federal and state agencies overseeing financial services presents a key challenge to establishing a US federal regulatory sandbox.
“Unlike other countries with a single financial authority overseeing the market, the U.S. has multiple agencies—including the SEC, CFTC, and banking regulators—each with different perspectives on how digital assets should be classified and regulated. The lack of inter-agency coordination makes implementing a unified sandbox more complex than in jurisdictions with a single regulatory body,” Rademacher told BeInCrypto.
Yet, in recent years, important SEC and CFTC actors have expressed interest in adopting a more favorable regulatory approach to innovation.
“Even though I tend to be more of a beach than a sandbox type of regulator, sandboxes have proven effective in facilitating innovation in highly regulated sectors. Experience in the UK and elsewhere has shown that sandboxes can help innovators try out their innovations under real-world conditions. A sandbox can provide a viable path for smaller, disruptive firms to enter highly regulated markets to compete with larger incumbent firms,” Peirce said in a statement last May.
However, the full scope of national regulations far exceeds the authority of these two entities.
Congressional and Constitutional Hurdles
Any legislative measure to develop a federal regulatory framework for sandboxes in the United States would have to undergo Congressional approval. Talbert highlighted several potential constitutional dilemmas the promotion of an initiative of this nature may face.
“These dilemmas include issues related to the non-delegation doctrine, which raises concerns about the constitutionality of delegating legislative power; equal protection considerations under the Fifth Amendment’s Due Process Clause; challenges arising from the Supremacy Clause; and implications under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) and principles of judicial review,” he said.
To address these complexities, Congress must enact clear legal boundaries that ensure a regulatory framework is both predictable and open. Given the current administration’s emphasis on technological innovation, the prospects for creating a sandbox appear positive.
“Given the current composition of Congress, which aligns with the political orientation of the new executive branch, there may be a timely opportunity for regulatory reform. Such reform could facilitate the creation of a cohesive federal regulatory framework and enhance collaboration among federal agencies,” Talbert told BeInCrypto.
However, creating a federal regulatory sandbox is not a one-size-fits-all solution.
Balancing State Autonomy and Federal Regulations
State autonomy is enshrined in the US Constitution. This protection means that, even though a regulatory sandbox may exist at the national level, individual states still have the authority to restrict or prohibit sandboxes within their jurisdictions.
Encouragingly, most US states are already exploring regulatory sandboxes, and the states that have already implemented them represent diverse political viewpoints.
However, other considerations beyond political resistance must also be addressed.
“A federal regulatory sandbox might also face opposition from established financial institutions, including banks, which may perceive potential threats to their existing business models. Furthermore, federal budgetary constraints could impede the government’s capacity to support the development and maintenance of a federal regulatory framework,” Talbert added.
Effective federal regulations will also require a balance between businesses’ concerns and regulators’ responsibilities.
“The two biggest risks are overregulation—imposing excessive restrictions that undermine the sandbox’s purpose—or underregulation, failing to provide meaningful clarity. If the rules are too restrictive, businesses may avoid participation, limiting the sandbox’s effectiveness. If they are too lax, there is a risk of abuse or regulatory arbitrage. A well-executed federal regulatory sandbox should not become a bureaucratic burden but rather a dynamic framework that fosters responsible growth in the digital asset space,” Rademacher told BeInCrypto.
Ultimately, the best approach will require coordination from different governing bodies, industry stakeholders, and bipartisan collaboration.
Fostering Collaboration for a Successful Sandbox
Due to recent strained communication between tech and federal agencies, Rademacher believes fostering a cooperative atmosphere is essential for creating a functional federal sandbox.
“The approach must be collaborative rather than adversarial. Agencies should view the sandbox as an opportunity to refine regulations in real time, working alongside industry participants to develop policies that foster responsible innovation. Involvement from banking regulators and the Treasury Department could also be valuable in ensuring that digital assets are integrated into the broader financial system in a responsible manner,” he said.
Achieving this requires a bipartisan approach to harmonizing regulatory goals and setting clear boundaries. Industry collaboration with lawmakers and regulators is vital to showing how a sandbox can promote responsible innovation while safeguarding consumers.
“Its success will ultimately depend on whether it serves as a bridge between innovation and regulation, rather than an additional layer of complexity,” Rademacher concluded.
Justin Sun is rumored to be attending President Trump’s exclusive dinner next month. An HTX cold storage wallet registered for the TRUMP holder leaderboard currently occupies the first place.
Sun himself posted a cryptic message on social media, possibly suggesting he wishes to attend. Whether or not the rumor is true, a spot on the leaderboard is well within his means if he wants it.
Rumors have been circulating about many different aspects of the stunt, but a new one is gaining traction. Some users believe that Justin Sun is currently the largest TRUMP holder on the official leaderboard.
Arkham Intelligence first promulgated this claim. Specifically, it noticed that a cold wallet was added to the leaderboard.
Arkham flagged this wallet as belonging to HTX, an exchange associated with Sun, and it now holds more TRUMP than any registered user.
The wallet itself has been transferring TRUMP for the last three months. Its TRUMP holdings only increased once since the announcement, and its portfolio includes hundreds of different cryptoassets.
In other words, it’s quite plausible that this is an exchange’s ordinary cold wallet. After all, registering for the TRUMP leaderboard won’t compromise its actual tokens.
Users quickly began claiming that Sun was behind this wallet, as this would give him a guaranteed spot at the dinner. He and President Trump have a history together, and Sun invested $30 million in WLFI shortly after the last election. Since then, the SEC moved to settle a civil fraud case against him.
The Tron founder himself posted a cryptic message after the rumors began:
This could be interpreted as a sign that Sun indeed plans to attend Trump’s dinner. Regardless of the rumor’s veracity, this goal is quite achievable for a man of Sun’s means.
Yesterday, some users claimed it would require $400,000 worth of TRUMP coins to make the cut, but this was inaccurate.
As the leaderboard clearly shows, users must manually register to be considered. This has dropped the price floor considerably. Still, this plan would guarantee Sun a spot at Trump’s table, and potentially a private White House tour.
(@justinsuntron)