What To Expect From Bitcoin (BTC) Price In May 2025

Cardano (ADA) has recently shown a modest recovery, riding the wave of broader market bullishness, which has brought its price back above $0.70. 

This uptick has sparked renewed optimism among investors, and if the bullish momentum continues, Cardano could see a breakout above $0.80, potentially marking a significant shift in its price trajectory.

Cardano Could End Its Bearishness

Cardano’s technical indicators have recently shown signs of a potential turnaround, especially after a Death Cross formation. Sixteen days ago, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed below the 50-day EMA, signaling a bearish trend. This is known as a Death Cross, often seen as a negative signal in technical analysis. 

However, the recent recovery above $0.70 and sustained bullish momentum could see ADA rise above $0.80. Should this reversal happen before April begins, it would mark the shortest Death Cross in Cardano’s history. It would be a sharp contrast to the previous 56-day span from March to May 2020.

On the macro level, Cardano’s bullish momentum is supported by a variety of technical indicators, especially the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Currently above the neutral line at 50.0, the RSI is at a 7-week high, signaling growing investor confidence and increasing buying pressure. The RSI’s upward momentum highlights the market’s positive outlook on ADA, suggesting that Cardano is gaining traction after a period of relative stagnation.

With a strong RSI reading, ADA appears to be benefiting from a resurgence of investor interest, which may help sustain the altcoin’s price gains in the short term. If the bullish momentum continues, Cardano could potentially see significant price increases, pushing it toward new resistance levels and offering an opportunity for profitable trades.

ADA Price Needs To Escape This Zone

Cardano’s price is currently trading at $0.70, marking a 13% increase in the last 24 hours. If this bullish trend continues, ADA will likely encounter resistance around $0.77. Historically, the $0.70 to $0.77 range has been a consolidation zone. A successful breach of $0.77 would signal a further move towards $0.85. 

A breach of $0.77 would reinforce Cardano’s upward momentum, potentially driving its price even higher. Furthermore, a breakout above $0.80 would suggest that Cardano is ready to resume its longer-term bullish trend.

However, the bullish outlook will be invalidated if Cardano fails to maintain its current price levels. If ADA falls back below $0.70 and slips to $0.63, it could erase the recent gains and lead to further declines. In this case, the positive momentum would be considered short-lived, and the bearish trend could be reinforced.

The post Cardano to Witness the Shortest Death Cross in History as Price Crosses $0.70 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Bitcoin (BTC) is now one year past its most recent halving, and this cycle is shaping up to be unlike any before it. Unlike previous cycles where explosive rallies followed the halving, BTC has seen a far more muted gain, up just 31%, compared to 436% over the same timeframe in the last cycle.

At the same time, long-term holder metrics like the MVRV ratio are signaling a sharp decline in unrealized profits, pointing to a maturing market with compressing upside. Together, these shifts suggest Bitcoin may be entering a new era, defined less by parabolic peaks and more by gradual, institution-driven growth.

A Year After the Bitcoin Halving: A Cycle Unlike Any Other

This Bitcoin cycle is unfolding noticeably differently than previous ones, signaling a potential shift in how the market responds to halving events.

In earlier cycles—most notably from 2012 to 2016 and again from 2016 to 2020—Bitcoin tended to rally aggressively around this stage. The post-halving period was often marked by strong upward momentum and parabolic price action, largely fueled by retail enthusiasm and speculative demand.

The current cycle, however, has taken a different route. Instead of accelerating after the halving, the price surge began earlier, in October and December 2024, followed by consolidation in January 2025 and a correction in late February.

This front-loaded behavior diverges sharply from historical patterns where halvings typically acted as the catalyst for major rallies.

Several factors are contributing to this shift. Bitcoin is no longer just a retail-driven speculative asset—it’s increasingly seen as a maturing financial instrument. The growing involvement of institutional investors, coupled with macroeconomic pressures and structural changes in the market, has led to a more measured and complex response.

Another clear sign of this evolution is the weakening strength of each successive cycle. The explosive gains of the early years have become harder to replicate as Bitcoin’s market cap has grown. For instance, in the 2020–2024 cycle, Bitcoin had climbed 436% one year after the halving.

In contrast, this cycle has seen a much more modest 31% increase over the same timeframe.

This shift could mean Bitcoin is entering a new chapter. One with less wild volatility and more steady, long-term growth. The halving may no longer be the main driver. Other forces are taking over—rates, liquidity, and institutional money.

The game is changing. And so is the way Bitcoin moves.

Nonetheless, it’s important to note that previous cycles also featured periods of consolidation and correction before resuming their uptrend. While this phase may feel slower or less exciting, it could still represent a healthy reset before the next move higher.

That said, the possibility remains that this cycle will continue to diverge from historical patterns. Instead of a dramatic blow-off top, the outcome may be a more prolonged and structurally supported uptrend—less driven by hype, more by fundamentals.

What Long-Term Holder MVRV Reveals About Bitcoin’s Maturing Market

The Long-Term Holder (LTH) MVRV ratio has always been a solid measure of unrealized profits. It shows how much long-term investors are sitting on before they start selling. But over time, this number is falling.

In the 2016–2020 cycle, LTH MVRV peaked at 35.8. That signaled massive paper profits and a clear top forming. By the 2020–2024 cycle, the peak dropped sharply to 12.2. This happened even as Bitcoin price hit fresh all-time highs.

In the current cycle, the highest LTH MVRV so far is just 4.35. That’s a massive drop. It shows long-term holders aren’t seeing the same kind of gains. The trend is clear: each cycle delivers smaller multiples.

Bitcoin’s explosive upside is compressing. The market is maturing.

Now, in the current cycle, the highest LTH MVRV reading so far has been 4.35. This stark drop suggests long-term holders are experiencing much lower multiples on their holdings compared to previous cycles, even with substantial price appreciation. The pattern points to one conclusion: Bitcoin’s upside is compressing.

This isn’t just a fluke. As the market matures, explosive gains are naturally harder to come by. The days of extreme, cycle-driven profit multiples may be fading, replaced by more moderate—but potentially more stable—growth.

A growing market cap means it takes exponentially more capital to move the price significantly.

Still, it’s not definitive proof that this cycle has already topped out. Previous cycles often included extended periods of sideways movement or modest pullbacks before new highs were reached.

With institutions playing a larger role, accumulation phases could stretch longer. Therefore, peak profit-taking may be less abrupt than in earlier cycles.

However, if the trend of declining MVRV peaks continues, it could reinforce the idea that Bitcoin is transitioning away from wild, cyclical surges and toward a more subdued but structured growth pattern.

The sharpest gains may already be behind, especially for those entering late in the cycle.

The post One Year After Bitcoin’s Latest Halving: Why This Cycle Looks Very Different appeared first on BeInCrypto.

The global M2 money supply has surged to an all-time high of $108.4 trillion, raising fresh questions about Bitcoin’s next move. 

The milestone comes amid escalating economic uncertainty following former President Donald Trump’s new “Liberation Day” tariffs and China’s swift retaliatory measures, which together have roiled global markets.

What is M2 and Why Does It Matter for Bitcoin?

Despite the extreme volatility over the past two weeks, Bitcoin’s average value has remained almost unchanged. 

Analysts claim that Bitcoin’s latest volatility reflects macroeconomic fears and fluctuating long/short ratios – but the largest cryptocurrency is nowhere near a bear market. 

This is largely due to the historical correlation between rising M2 levels and significant Bitcoin rallies.

M2 is a broad measure of a country or region’s money supply. It includes physical cash, checking and savings deposits, and other liquid assets that can be quickly converted to cash. 

When M2 increases, it typically signals greater liquidity in the financial system. It simply means more money that often seeks returns in riskier assets such as equities, real estate, or cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Past surges in the M2 money supply have preceded major Bitcoin rallies. Following the COVID-era stimulus programs in 2020-2021, the US M2 supply jumped by over 25%. 

This correlated with Bitcoin’s rise from under $10,000 in mid-2020 to an all-time high of over $69,000 by November 2021. Analysts point to a similar pattern today, albeit with a lag.

“Market proponents say that Trump’s tariffs are primarily a negotiation strategy, and their effect on businesses and consumers will remain manageable. Adding to the uncertainty are the inflationary pressures that could challenge the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting outlook. Also, resolving the debt ceiling remains a pressing issue, as the Treasury currently relies upon ‘extraordinary measures’ to meet US financial obligations. The exact timeline for when these measures will be exhausted is unclear, but analysts anticipate they may run out after the first quarter,” said Maksym Sakharov, Co-Founder of WeFi Deobank.

Also, Bitcoin’s price often trails global M2 growth by roughly two months. 

With M2 accelerating since late February and the current spike taking it to its highest level ever, market watchers suggest that Bitcoin could see a delayed but strong upside if liquidity continues to expand.

However, macroeconomic headwinds could temper near-term gains. Trump’s tariff shock and China’s tit-for-tat response have already triggered the steepest Wall Street losses in five years. 

Investors may delay allocating capital to high-volatility assets until trade tensions stabilize.

Still, with M2 surging and Bitcoin supply capped, the setup for a renewed bullish move remains in place. That is if historical patterns hold and markets regain confidence.

The post Bitcoin Price Correlation with M2 Money Supply Signals a Bullish Q2  appeared first on BeInCrypto.