Plans for the smooth sailing of fresh stablecoin regulation have hit a curb following a group of Congressmen’s decision to withdraw their support. US senators are rejecting the GENIUS Act in its current form in a move that can derail the outcome of a final vote.
10 US Senators Will Not Vote In Favor Of The GENIUS Act
According to an X post by cryptocurrency journalist Eleanor Terrett, a group of US senators are poking holes in The Guiding And Establishing National Innovation For US Stablecoins (GENIUS Act) over its provisions. The senators, led by Ruben Gallego, have issued a joint statement criticizing the updated text of the stablecoin regulation.
Per the Congressmen, the GENIUS Act requires tighter provisions on anti-money laundering and national security guardrails. Furthermore, the group is pushing for additional provisions to protect the local financial ecosystem from undue disruptions.
The senators are raising concerns over the lack of clarity of foreign stablecoin issuers and the potential threat to national security. Finally, the joint statement takes swipes at the absence of stiff penalties for issuers that fail to meet the standards of the GENIUS Act.
A previous Coingape report notes that US senators will vote for the GENIUS Act before May 26. However, the senators will not vote for the bill in its current form unless the provisions are modified.
“While we are eager to continue working with our colleagues to address these issues, we would be unable to vote for cloture should the current version of the bill come to the floor.
Stablecoin Issuers May Face Disruption To Their Compliance Plans
While it seemed that the GENIUS Act was hurtling toward full approval, the joint statement by the group of senators complicated matters. For starters, there is a possibility that the dissent may grow, potentially affecting the voting outcomes and triggering a delay.
Bo Hines has previously predicted the rollout of stablecoin regulation before June, but fresh dissent could prolong the passage. If the bill fails to pass the House vote, there is the potential for reconsideration after fresh amendments.
Stablecoin issuers will be the hardest hit, with the delay affecting their short-term and mid-term plans. Ahead of incoming stablecoin regulation, Tether has unveiled plans to release a stablecoin for US users, going head-to-head with the USD1 stablecoin.
Amid the absence of regulatory clarity, Ripple has paused minting RLUSD stablecoins after crossing the $300 million market capitalization mark. A delay to the timeline of the GENIUS Act will affect the listing of WLFI’s USD1 stablecoin on centralized exchanges.
Bitcoin price is predicted to hit $475,000 as Citigroup hints stablecoins could reach $1.6 trillion by 2030, with top crypto VC firm, identifying on-chain payments and institutional demand as key bullish catalysts.
Citigroup Forecasts $1.6 Trillion Stablecoin Market by 2030
Citigroup has projected that the stablecoin market could balloon to $1.6 trillion by 2030, citing increased adoption by institutions and integration with global payments. The report highlights a “multi-rail future,” where blockchain-based stablecoins become embedded in mainstream finance alongside traditional banking infrastructure.
The prediction hinges on regulatory clarity and strong political backing, particularly from the U.S. This has ignited speculation that a Donald Trump presidency—widely perceived as more crypto-friendly—could fast-track these developments.
At press time on Friday, April 25, the total stablecoin market cap stands at $240 billion, according to Coingecko data.
Asides from Tether (USDT), other prominent stablecoins such as USDC and PayPal USD have surged in transaction volume in Q1 2025, as payment giants Visa and Mastercard integrates blockchain rails in cross-border settlements.
Citigroup noted that the ongoing momentum, paired with favorable policy regime under Trump, could drastically expand stablecoin use cases—from remittances to tokenized assets—and indirectly lift the broader crypto market, including Bitcoin.
As of April 2025, the total stablecoin market capitalization stands at $240.16 billion, marking a 0.5% gain in the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko.
The market remains heavily dominated by fiat-backed stablecoins, which account for $235.99 billion, or nearly 98% of the sector. USD-backed stablecoins lead with $234.90 billion in market cap and a 0.5% daily gain.
Stablecoin sector performance | Source: Coingecko
Emerging categories show increasing momentum. Yield-bearing and crypto-backed stablecoins both rose 1.0%, while US Treasury-backed stablecoins gained 1.2%, reinforcing institutional interest in tokenized low-risk debt.
Commodity-backed stablecoins also surged 2.6%, suggesting investors are hedging against macroeconomic uncertainty through blockchain-tethered hard assets.
More volatile segments, such as algorithmic stablecoins and exotic currencies like the IDR stablecoin, lagged behind, with the latter declining 0.9%. Interestingly, the TRY stablecoin, pegged to the Turkish lira, surged 317.2%, indicating rising demand from countries with unstable local fiat currencies.
Further echoing this bullish narrative, crypto investment firm Foresight Ventures published a recent report showing key drivers behind stablecoin sector growth.
“The global payment ecosystem is going through a massive transformation driven by stablecoins. Stripe’s integration of USD and Helio’s support for over 450,000 active wallets clearly signal a rising demand for stablecoins in everyday transactions.
On-chain solutions are streamlining payment flows and enhancing liquidity, paving the way for faster, more efficient digital payments.”
– Foresight Ventures, 2025 Stablecoin report.
Notably, in addition to the $240 billion capital inflow, stablecoins also function as an on-ramp for onboarding new cryptocurrency users.
Hence, as stablecoin adoption deepens, they may act as a springboard for larger crypto inflows—especially into Bitcoin.
Here’s Bitcoin Price Prediction If Stablecoins Hit $1.6 Trillion
If the stablecoin market expands from $240 billion to $1.6 trillion, as projected by Citigroup, Bitcoin’s price could be poised for a parabolic breakout. At press time, BTC price is perches above $95,000, its highest in over 60 days, dating back to February 25.
Bitcoin price action, April 25, 2025 | Source: Coingecko
Bitcoin has historically thrived during periods of expanding stablecoin supply, as capital parked in USD-pegged assets often rotates into BTC during risk-on cycles. In 2020–2021, for instance, the stablecoin market grew from around $20 billion to reach $140 billion, while Bitcoin rallied from $10,000 towards the $64,000, reflecting 640% increase.
If a similar historical ratio of stablecoin growth to BTC price appreciation holds, a 6.7x increase in stablecoins could translate into a 3x to 5x surge in Bitcoin, pushing BTC toward a target range of $285,000 to $475,000.
Even under a conservative assumption—where only 25% of stablecoin growth rotates into BTC—Bitcoin could still grow 200% to 250% from current levels, resulting in predictions for BTC price to trade between $190,000 to $237,500 by 2030.
Looking ahead:
If Citigroup’s $1.6 trillion stablecoin projection materializes and regulatory momentum continues under Trump-era policies, Bitcoin price is projected to enter price discovery, potentially reaching $285,000—with a more optimistic BTC price ceiling near $475,000 per coin.
Bitcoin price is trading at $95,035 after surging above the 50-day SMA at $93,026, confirming a bullish momentum shift. The breakout follows consolidation near the 100-day SMA at $85,083 and signals renewed strength after March’s correction.
A close above the 50-day average suggests bulls are reclaiming trend control, with the next target at $105,000, the psychological resistance just above the early March peak.
Bitcoin Price Forecast Today
The volume delta has turned positive, with a +3.38K reading, indicating rising buyer dominance. This uptick supports continuation higher, aligning with the ascending 200-day SMA at $74,420, which underpins Bitcoin’s longer-term uptrend. The three-day chart shows a bullish candle above key resistance, confirming strong buying interest has returned.
If Bitcoin price forecast indicators continue to lean bullish and remains above the current 50-day SMA of $93,000 through May’s first week, the bullish momentum could enter second-gear, potentially propelling BTC to new all-time highs above $110,000.
However, a breakdown below $93,000 would invalidate the bullish thesis, exposing BTC to a retest of $85,000. Until then, bias remains upward toward $105,000.
Core Scientific (CORZ), Robinhood Markets (HOOD), and Strategy Incorporated (MSTR) are drawing attention today. CORZ rose after appointing Elizabeth Crain to its Board and reinforcing its shift toward AI infrastructure.
HOOD confirmed a $250 million CAD acquisition of WonderFi, expanding into Canada and going head-to-head with Wealthsimple. MSTR bought 7,390 BTC for $765 million, raising its total holdings to over 576,000 BTC, while facing a class-action lawsuit over its Bitcoin-focused strategy.
Core Scientific (CORZ)
Core Scientific (CORZ) closed yesterday with a modest gain of 0.65% and is already up 5% in pre-market trading, following the appointment of Elizabeth Crain to its Board of Directors.
Crain brings over thirty years of experience in investment banking and private equity, having co-founded Moelis & Company and held senior roles at UBS. She will also Chair the Audit Committee, a key position as Core Scientific continues its strategic shift toward AI-related infrastructure.
Her appointment, along with Jordan Levy’s being named Chairman, marks a pivotal moment for the company as it enhances its leadership team amid a broader transition in business focus and operations.
CORZ’s chart shows signs of renewed strength, with a potential golden cross forming on its EMA lines. Analyst sentiment remains overwhelmingly bullish—16 out of 17 analysts rate the stock as either a “Strong Buy” or “Buy,” with a one-year price target averaging $18.28, representing a 68.49% potential upside.
If momentum holds, the next key resistance level is $13.18, which could be tested in the short term.
However, investors should watch for support at $10.34; if it fails, the stock may retrace to $9.45 or even $8.49.
The deal, which offers a 41% premium over WonderFi’s last closing price, will bring WonderFi’s 115-person team and established crypto brands—Bitbuy, Coinsquare, and SmartPay—under Robinhood Crypto’s umbrella.
Robinhood Crypto executive Johann Kerbrat recently emphasized the company’s focus on tokenization and financial accessibility, highlighting how fractionalized assets like real estate can open up previously inaccessible markets to everyday investors.
The company submitted a 42-page proposal to the SEC seeking a federal framework for tokenized real-world assets. It aims to bring traditional financial markets on-chain with legally recognized asset-token equivalence.
HOOD shares closed up 4% yesterday and are up slightly in pre-market trading, extending a remarkable 56% rally over the past 30 days. Technically, the stock’s chart shows strong momentum, with its short-term EMA lines clearly above the long-term trend—suggesting sustained bullish sentiment.
The next key resistance sits at $66.15; a clean break above that could push HOOD into uncharted territory, surpassing the $70 mark for the first time and establishing new all-time highs.
Strategy Incorporated (MSTR)
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has added another 7,390 BTC to its corporate treasury, spending approximately $765 million as Bitcoin traded above $100,000.
This latest accumulation brings its total holdings to 576,230 BTC—acquired for $40.2 billion—now valued at over $59.2 billion, reflecting an unrealized gain of roughly $19.2 billion. However, the aggressive Bitcoin strategy continues to attract scrutiny.
The company and its executives, including Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, have been hit with a class-action lawsuit alleging they misrepresented the risks tied to their Bitcoin-centric investment approach.
Strategy is still the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, despite legal pressure. Its Bitcoin-first approach has inspired similar treasury strategies in Asia and the Middle East.
MSTR closed yesterday up 3.4% and is down 0.47% in the pre-market. The stock is up nearly 43% in 2025. It is trading near key support at $404; if lost, it could fall to $383.
If momentum returns, MSTR could rise to $437. Analyst sentiment is strong—16 out of 17 rate it a “Strong Buy” or “Buy.” The one-year average price target is $527, implying a 27.5% upside.
Hedera (HBAR) enters May in a fragile yet potentially explosive technical setup, with futures activity cooling and price movements closely tied to Bitcoin’s momentum. HBAR Futures volume remains subdued, suggesting a decline in speculative interest compared to earlier this year.
Meanwhile, HBAR continues to track Bitcoin’s performance with amplified volatility. As BTC flirts with the $100,000 level and sentiment shifts bullish, HBAR could either break through key resistance levels and rally toward $0.40—or face a deeper correction if technical support fails.
Low HBAR Futures Volume Points to Cooling Speculation
HBAR Futures volume is currently at $118 million, up from a recent low of $76 million on April 19—its lowest point in the last three months.
This follows a steady decline from much higher levels seen earlier in the year.
Notably, HBAR Futures open interest had peaked at $1.3 billion on March 1 but has not surpassed $300 million since April 12, signaling a significant drop in speculative activity around the token.
Hedera Futures refer to derivative contracts that allow traders to speculate on the future price of HBAR, the native token of the Hedera network. Both retail and institutional participants often use these contracts to hedge risk or take leveraged positions.
Futures volumes and open interest are key indicators of market sentiment and liquidity—higher volumes typically suggest stronger conviction or increased trading activity. At the same time, declining figures may reflect reduced interest or confidence in near-term price action.
The current lower levels suggest HBAR’s recent price movements may have been more influenced by spot demand than leveraged speculation.
Hedera’s High Correlation with BTC Could Drive Next Rally
HBAR has recently shown a high correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), often amplifying the moves of the broader crypto market leader.
When BTC rallies, HBAR tends to rise even more sharply; conversely, HBAR often experiences deeper pullbacks during corrections. This pattern reflects Hedera’s sensitivity to market sentiment and positioning as a higher-beta asset in the crypto space.
As a result, shifts in Bitcoin’s trajectory, especially during periods of strong momentum, can significantly influence HBAR’s price action.
BTC and HBAR Performance in the last 30 Days. Source: Messari.
With Bitcoin up 13% in the past 30 days and now sitting just 6.3% below the $100,000 mark, the next leg higher could have a strong spillover effect on HBAR.
On-chain data shows a recovery in BTC’s apparent demand, while institutional sentiment is gradually improving, with ETF inflows showing early signs of a rebound. If Bitcoin breaks above $100,000, HBAR could benefit from renewed capital inflows and rising market enthusiasm.
Given HBAR’s tendency to outperform BTC in bullish phases, a decisive Bitcoin breakout could be a powerful catalyst for a broader move in Hedera.
Key Levels to Watch as HBAR Faces Bullish Breakout or Death Cross
HBAR price faces a critical technical setup heading into May, with the potential for a sharp move in either direction. On the bullish side, if HBAR can attract strong buying pressure and establish a sustained uptrend, it could climb as much as 123% to reach $0.40.
To do so, the token must first break through a series of key resistance levels at $0.20, $0.258, $0.32, and $0.37—each of which has previously acted as a rejection point during past rallies.
A successful breakout through these levels could signal renewed momentum and broader market confidence in Hedera.
However, downside risks remain firmly in play. HBAR’s EMA lines show signs of an impending death cross—a bearish pattern in which the short-term average moves below the long-term average, indicating that a deeper correction may be ahead.
If this formation is confirmed, HBAR could first test support at $0.16. Failure to hold that level may lead to further losses toward $0.124, and in a more aggressive downtrend, prices could decline to $0.0053.
