The US Dollar (USD) is under pressure this Friday as traders reduce their positions in the Greenback during the US trading session. With the weekend approaching, profit-taking is taking place after the Dollar saw inflows driven by a weaker Euro and a weakening Chinese Yuan. The release of the Import and Export Price Index for November failed to generate much movement in the markets, with both indices remaining relatively flat.
Earlier in the week, the USD received a boost following stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data for November. While this data did not shift the broader outlook that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, it did temper some market expectations of further rate cuts in 2025.
The Greenback was also supported by expectations of further stimulus measures from other global central banks. European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde hinted that a 50-basis point rate cut was under consideration. However, the ECB’s Governing Council ultimately decided that a 25-basis point rate cut was more appropriate. Meanwhile, in China, policymakers, led by President Xi Jinping, have signaled stronger economic support in 2025, with a focus on a “moderately loose” monetary policy and a “more proactive” fiscal approach. This has led to a surge in bond prices and a drop in China’s 10-year bond yields to a record low of 1.77%, according to Bloomberg.
Despite these developments, the US economy continues to show signs of resilience, as evidenced by the flat Import and Export Price Index data for November. The Export Index remained unchanged at 0%, following a 1% increase in October, while the Import Index stayed at 0.1%.
Looking ahead, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains primed for another rally. The widening rate differential between the US and Europe, combined with potential easing measures in China, is providing upward momentum for the Greenback. The DXY broke through the 107.00 mark on Friday, with the next level of resistance expected at 107.35, a level last seen in October. Should profit-taking occur, the first support level to watch is 106.52, followed by 105.53. If the DXY falls further, the 200-day Simple Moving Average at 104.17 could provide crucial support.
As markets continue to adjust to global developments, traders will be closely watching the Fed’s next move and the evolving economic policies in Europe and China.
Layer-1 (L1) coin SUI has defied the broader market downturn, surging 4% in the past 24 hours to become the top-performing cryptocurrency.
The price surge follows news thatWorld Liberty Financial (WLFI), a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol affiliated with US President Donald Trump, has entered a “strategic reserve deal” with the blockchain network.
SUI’s Uptrend Gains Momentum
According to a March 6 blog post by the Sui Foundation, the developer team behind Layer-1 blockchain Sui has entered into a partnership with WLFI. The collaboration explores product development opportunities by leveraging Sui’s technology and includes integrating Sui-based assets into WLFI’s “Macro Strategy” reserve.
Following the news, SUI’s price jumped by double digits and reached a high of $3.11 on Thursday. This price hike was also fueled by news that Canary Capital filed to establish a trust entity in Delaware for its proposed Canary SUI ETF.
While it has since experienced a slight correction, Sui has continued to experience steady demand over the past 24 hours, increasing the likelihood of a sustained rally in the short term.
SUI’s Balance of Power (BoP) on the daily chart confirms this buying pressure. At press time, this indicator, which compares the strength of the bulls against the bears, is above zero at 0.18.
When an asset’s BoP climbs during a price rally, buying pressure strengthens, with bulls exerting significant control over price action. This suggests that SUI’s current uptrend has strong momentum and could potentially continue if demand remains high.
Furthermore, its rising Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) supports this bullish outlook. At press time, this indicator, which tracks how money flows into and out of an asset, posts a positive value of 0.02.
SUI’s CMF setup indicates more capital flows into its spot markets than out. This suggests strong accumulation and is a bullish signal, reinforcing the likelihood of continued price appreciation.
SUI Faces Key Decision Point
SUI trades at $2.79 at press time, exchanging hands slightly below the resistance formed at $3. If demand strengthens, SUI could break above this resistance and flip it into a support floor.
A successful breach of this level could propel the coin’s price to revisit its all-time high of $5.35, last reached on January 6.
Welcome to the US Morning Crypto News Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee to see what data says about the Bitcoin (BTC) price outlook, alongside insights into the current sentiment in the options market. Remember, this being the last Friday of April, monthly options expired today at 8:00 UTC on Deribit.
Strong Market Expectations of Bitcoin Reaching $100,000
Interestingly, Bitcoin traded well above its max pain or strike price of $86,000. Ordinarily, as options near expiration, an asset’s price would tend to gravitate toward its max pain level. While Bitcoin traded for $93,471 minutes before the options expiry, it is now selling for $94,581.
BeInCrypto contacted Bitfinex analysts for insights into the current market outlook and their perspective on what lies ahead for the Bitcoin price in the short term. According to the analysts, Bitcoin’s price could record further upside after clearing option-based resistance.
“Post-expiry, the market is leaning cautiously bullish, and with the $90,000 strike cluster now cleared, there’s less option-based resistance overhead,” Bitfinex analysts told BeInCrypto.
Further, the analysts observed that many traders have rolled exposure to higher strikes, with $95,000 and $100,000 showing increased call open interest for end-April and May expiries.
While this reflects the expected continued upside, the analysts did not rule out a potential short-term chop.
This aligns with Deribit analysts’ statements that the highest open interest for BTC options was around the $100,000 strike price. This indicates strong market expectations of Bitcoin reaching this level.
As BeInCrypto reported, the analysts ascribed this to traders selling cash-secured put options on Bitcoin. These traders also use stablecoins to collect premiums while buying BTC at lower prices.
BeInCrypto also reported that the Cumulative delta (CD) across BTC and related ETF (exchange-traded fund) options on Deribit reached $9 billion. Bitfinex analysts agree, citing rising spot flows and ETF demand.
“Spot flows and ETF demand have picked up significantly for BTC over the past few days and will now continue to dictate if BTC can establish $90,000 as support,” the analysts added.
Meanwhile, these forecasts add to the list of growing bullish bets on Bitcoin’s price, credibly confirming a sentiment shared in the previous US Crypto News publication.
However, despite strong prospects for more Bitcoin price gains, some analysts urge investors to temper their optimism. One is Innokenty Isers, the Chief Executive Officer at Paybis Exchange.
“Current market outlook suggests that Bitcoin price may face more stiff resistance moving forward. In the last two months, the uncertainty around the tariff war triggered an unusual concern for investors as many decided to temporarily steer clear of more volatile assets like Bitcoin,” Isers told BeInCrypto.
Moreover, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has spotlighted the inflationary risks the tariff war may introduce. Nevertheless, Isers acknowledged clear indications of sustained accumulation of BTC by institutional investors and market whales.
This chart shows that the top Bitcoin options by trading volume over the past 24 hours are call options with strike prices of $95,000 and $100,000, ahead of the May 2 expiry.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Bitcoin rebounds 25% in April, shifting market sentiment from fear to greed, per the Crypto Fear & Greed Index readings.
Cardano gained 15% in a week, holding a bullish structure despite a volume dip and early signs of consolidation near key price levels.
USD1 stablecoin, launched by World Liberty Financial, is subject to the EU’s MiCA regulations, which require compliance with transparency, reserve backing, and conflict of interest rules.
