Dogecoin price has tanked this year, coinciding with the recent crypto sell-off. This crash has erased billions of dollars in value. Still, one crypto analyst believes that it is just a matter of time until the DOGE price recovers, and potentially hits the psychological point at $1.
Crypto Pro Predicts Dogecoin Price Will Hit $1
A popular crypto expert has come out with a bullish DOGE price predictioneven as it deviates further from its 2024 highs. The analyst used a weekly chart to identify chart patterns he believes will drive the upcoming bull run.
As shown below, he noted that the Dogecoin price has been forming a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart. The upper side of this wedge links the highest swings since December, while its lower side connects the lower lows since Dec. 19. This pattern often leads to a strong bullish breakout when the two lines are nearing their confluence level.
The analyst also pointed out that DOGE formed a similar pattern between March and November last year, culminating in a strong bull run to a high of $0.45.
Dogecoin Price Forecast
In this case, Dogecoin has formed a falling wedge and retested the important support at $0.2280, the highest swing in March last year. A break and retest pattern signals a potential continuation.
The pro now expects that the coin will initially jump to $0.50. After that, he expects it to surge to $1. Such a move would be a 400% surge from the current level. It would also push its market cap to $140 billion.
A 400% surge is possible in the crypto market. For example, Dogecoin jumped by 720% from its 2023 lows to the highest swing in 2024. It can also jump by 285% to get to its all-time high of $0.7370. After that, it will need to soar by just 0.35% to hit $1.
The bullish DOGE outlook will be canceled if the coin crashes below the ascending trendline that links the lowest levels since June 2023.
Dogecoin Price Weekly Chart
Potential Catalysts to Push DOGE Price to $1
Dogecoin price has numerous catalysts that may push it to $1. First, the upcoming reciprocal tariffsmay sink the US into a recession, leading to Fed interventions like rate cuts and quantitative easing. These actions may lead to a new crypto bull run.
Second, Polymarket users believe that theSEC will approve a DOGE ETF. That’s because Dogecoin is similar to Bitcoin in that it is a proof-of-work coin that the SEC does not consider a security. Such an ETF will lead to more demand from Wall Street investors.
Further, Dogecoin may benefit from the creation of crypto reserves since it is a candidate for inclusion. Finally, DOGE is one of the top blue-chip meme coins, meaning that it may see traction as investors rotate from risky Solana meme coins.
While BlackRock holds a clear lead over the tokenized money market fund, Fidelity Investments is keen on closing the gap. Fidelity’s latest play is a filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to tokenize its USD money market fund.
Fidelity Files Paperwork With The SEC For Ethereum-Based Fund Tokenization
According to a filing to the SEC, Fidelity is seeking the registration of a tokenized version of its money market fund. Dubbed the Fidelity Treasury Digital Fund, the firm is eyeing the registration of an Onchain share class for the fund.
Per the filing, the transfer agent will be blockchain technology with the fund name-checking the Ethereum network. Despite leaning on Ethereum, Fidelity’s filing suggests a future expansion to other blockchains in the future.
The filing reveals that the tokenized fund will not invest in any cryptocurrencies but 99.5% will go to US Treasury securities and cash. At the moment, 80% of the fund’s assets are in US Treasury securities with interest payable upon maturity.
The latest filing follows an application to introduce staking in Fidelity’s Ethereum ETF. In Q4 of 2024, Fidelity waded into blockchain-based funds via a filing with the SEC to catch up to BlackRock.
How Will A Blockchain-based Fund Operate?
Details from the SEC filing revealed that the Ethereum blockchain will be used for secondary recording, augmenting the book-entry form. However, investors in the Fund will be required to have a top blockchain wallet to hold the OnChain class shares.
While the filing does not expressly mention a secondary trading market for OnChain class shares, Fidelity hints at the potential peer-to-peer trading of shares on the blockchain.
“The fund has no current agreement to make OnChain class shares available for trading in a secondary market but may enter such an agreement in the future,” read the filing.
Ethereum Price Gains In The Wake Of The Report
The report of Fidelity with its nearly $6 trillion assets under management tapping Ethereum for tokenization has created a stir in the ecosystem. Ethereum’s price climbed by nearly 2% to trade at just above the $2,000 mark.
ETH has its eyes on a key resistance level that could push Ethereum’s price to $1,700 in the coming days. A slew of negative reports have hit Ethereum in recent days with Standard Chartered slashing its ETH prediction for 2025 by 60%
As Bitcoin flirts with the key psychological threshold of $100,000, derivatives traders are closely watching for signals that could mark the final leg up—and are already positioning for what may follow.
Derivatives experts Gordon Grant and Joshua Lim told BeInCrypto that Bitcoin’s move past $100,000 now reflects a long-term holding strategy, unlike the speculative trading seen when it first crossed that threshold after Trump’s election victory.
Bitcoin Nears $100K: A Different Kind of Ascent?
At the time of press, Bitcoin’s price hovers just below $98,000. As it grows, traders anxiously watch for it to surpass the $100,000 threshold. When it does, it will be the second time in crypto history that this will happen.
According to Cryptocurrency Derivatives Trader Gordon Grant, the current move toward six figures lacks the euphoric energy of past rallies, such as the one after Trump won the US general election last November. However, that may be a good thing.
“This current bounce back feels much more of a low-key, lethargic reclamation of those highs,” Grant told BeInCrypto, referencing Bitcoin’s recovery from lows around $75,000 in early April. “The positioning rinsedown through all key moving averages… was a proper washout.”
He added that this washout, a sharp move lower that flushed out weak hands, cleared the decks for a healthier rebound. A “high-velocity bounce” followed, as Grant phrased it.
“[It] has since responsibly slowed down at the $95,000 pivot—a level at which Bitcoin has been centered, +/- 15%, for over five months now,” he added.
“Current complacency among vol sellers in fading the technical threshold at $100K is markedly different,” he said.
Grant added that, back in December, volatility spiked on expectations of a rapid moonshot toward $130,000–$150,000. Now, however, implied volatility has actually fallen by around 10 points during the final 10% of Bitcoin’s climb—an unusual dynamic that has punished traders holding out-of-the-money options who were betting on big price swings.
This time, the substantial loss of market optimism also contributes to the situation.
The Rise of Institutional Buyers
Market sentiment has shifted significantly since January. The excitement seen during Trump’s election has been replaced by uncertainty. According to Grant, souring macro conditions such as tariff-driven equity selloffs and growing caution among traders have contributed to this mood shift across markets.
“Whereas BTC on first launch to/through $100K was accompanied by euphoria about presidential policies… the re-approach has been marred by malaise,” Grant explained.
In short, the motivation to buy may now be driven more by fear than greed.
Joshua Lim, Global Co-Head of Markets at FalconX, agreed with this analysis, highlighting a notable shift in the primary source of Bitcoin demand.
“The dominant narrative is more around Microstrategy-type equities accumulating Bitcoin, that’s more consistent buyers than the retail swing traders,” Lim told BeInCrypto.
In other words, more speculative retail buying might have fueled earlier enthusiasm around Bitcoin’s price hitting $100,000. This time, the more consistent and significant buying is coming from large companies adopting a long-term Bitcoin holding strategy, similar to the one adopted by Michael Saylor’s Strategy.
The recent formation of 21 Capital, backed by mega companies like Tether and Softbank, further confirms this shift in motivation.
Consistent institutional buying can also sustain an increase in Bitcoin’s price over time.
Why Are Institutions Increasingly Bullish on Bitcoin?
With growing momentum from sovereign players and corporate treasuries, institutional buying may be critical in sustaining Bitcoin’s next upward trajectory.
Grant highlighted that developing countries seeking to move away from a weakening dollar and towards a more independent asset like Bitcoin could play a significant role. If this were to happen, it’d signify a potentially tectonic shift to global monetary policy.
“The Global South, tiring of wonky and inconstant dollar policies, may be truly thinking about dumping dollars for BTC,” Grant explained, clarifying, “That’s a reserve manager decision, not a spec/leverage position.”
Increased institutional adoption strengthens the idea that Bitcoin now serves as a way to reduce risk against issues pertinent to financial systems, like inflation or currency devaluation.
“The proliferation of SMLR, 21Cap, and many others, including NVDA deciding they need to derisk their balance sheets by rerisking on BTC—even as it approaches the top decile of all-time prices,” Grant pointed to as evidence.
Simply put, even large institutions are choosing to take on the risk of Bitcoin’s price fluctuations as a potential offset to other, potentially larger financial risks.
Despite the excitement surrounding Bitcoin’s approach to $100,000, the true anticipation centers on its continuing development as an increasingly permanent component of the financial system.
