Solana (SOL) has shown limited price movement recently despite a substantial accumulation of the token. The price has remained relatively stable in May, likely due to the altcoin’s overheating.
While this stagnation is a sign of caution, the market is optimistic, which could lead to potential gains for Solana in the near future.
Solana Investors Continue Accumulation
Over the past 10 days, the balance of Solana on exchanges has dropped by 2.2 million SOL, valued at approximately $381 million. This decline in supply indicates that investors have been accumulating Solana during this period.
The ongoing accumulation is likely driven by a mix of factors, including the broader bullish market sentiment, fear of missing out (FOMO), and the expectation of future price appreciation.
This reduction in supply reflects increased investor confidence, with many choosing to hold rather than sell their SOL. As more investors accumulate the token, the supply on exchanges decreases, potentially creating upward pressure on the price in the long run.
Solana’s overall market momentum shows signs of potential volatility. Technical indicators, such as the Bollinger Bands, reveal that the bands are narrowing.
This tightening of the bands is a classic signal of a potential squeeze, which often precedes a surge in price volatility.
Should the squeeze result in a bullish breakout, Solana could see a rise in price, especially with the broader market showing positive momentum.
However, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands also suggests that a period of consolidation could occur before any significant move.
Solana’s price has been moving sideways for much of May, likely due to the token overheating in the previous weeks. However, this cooling-off period could create an opportunity for a bullish move.
As the broader market continues to show positive signals and the accumulation trend persists, Solana may rise from its current consolidation phase.
At $173, Solana is testing critical support levels. To initiate a rally, Solana would need to secure $178 as support. If it manages to break above $180 and successfully breaches $188, it could indicate the start of an uptrend.
A successful breakout above these levels would signal further upward potential.
On the other hand, if Solana fails to maintain support at $178, it could fall below the $168 mark, potentially reaching $161. Such a decline would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest further downside risk for the token.
The price of SUI has seen a significant uptick recently, outshining XRP in terms of growth and demand. However, it’s not just the price action that’s noteworthy. In May, SUI has drawn the attention of institutional investors, marking a shift in demand that could have long-term implications for the crypto market.
As institutional inflows flow more freely into SUI, the focus shifts from its price performance to its potential as a Web3-focused ecosystem.
SUI Sees A Surge In Demand
Institutions are increasingly flocking to SUI, as evidenced by $21 million in inflows month-to-date, making it one of the top-performing altcoins, second only to Ethereum. In comparison, XRP, historically an institutional favorite, has seen inflows of just $8.6 million in the same period.
This shift is concerning for XRP as institutions begin to focus more on SUI’s potential rather than its established presence in the market. SUI’s appeal to institutional investors is based on its scalability and focus on the Web3 space, which aligns well with current trends in decentralized finance (DeFi) and blockchain-based applications.
SUI vs XRP Institutional Flows. Source; CoinShares
SUI’s increasing institutional inflows highlight a growing preference for projects that offer more than just financial transactions. XRP, while still maintaining institutional backing with $263 million in 2025, has not been able to capture as much attention in recent weeks. SUI’s ability to scale decentralized applications (dApps) more effectively than XRP positions it as a better choice for institutions looking to align with long-term trends in blockchain technology.
XRP Makes It To CME
One key factor driving institutions to SUI is its lack of listing on major platforms like CME, unlike XRP Futures, which further solidifies its untapped potential. XRP Futures recently launched on CME, making the token more accessible to a wider range of investors.
However, this development also diminishes XRP’s image as an overlooked asset, giving SUI a unique advantage by remaining relatively underexposed. As more investors seek high-growth opportunities, SUI offers them the chance to get in early before the token is fully accessible on major platforms.
SUI’s decentralized, Web3-focused design also plays a large role in its growing appeal. Unlike XRP, which is predominantly centered around payment and remittance solutions, SUI focuses on scaling dApp ecosystems, a feature highly sought after by institutions entering the Web3 space. This increased focus on scalability and decentralized applications positions SUI as an ideal choice for institutions looking to diversify their blockchain investments.
SUI vs XRP – Which Has A Better ETF Prospect?
XRP has its own advantages, especially regarding the potential for exchange-traded funds (ETFs). XRP’s status as an established digital asset gives it an edge when it comes to ETF approvals. The ongoing Ripple lawsuit also seems close to a resolution, pending court proceedings, likely boosting XRP’s clean image.
The SEC’s settlement with Ripple would increase investor confidence in XRP, giving it a stable footing in the long term. However, for the time being, SUI’s scalability and Web3 ambitions have won the attention of institutional investors, pushing it ahead of XRP in terms of demand. Nevertheless, XRP ETF will likely see the light of day first.
Furthermore, Juan Pellicer, Head of Research at Sentora, discussed with BeInCrypto the major factors that could push XRP for an early ETF.
“XRP’s decade-long trading record and early ETF filings put it first in the regulatory queue, while Sui still needs deeper liquidity and a longer track-record before the SEC is likely comfortable green-lighting a SUI ETF.”
XRP Price Needs A Boost
XRP has risen by 14% over the last 30 days, but it is still fighting against a macro downtrend. The broader market conditions make a breakout rally unlikely, with XRP struggling under resistance levels.
The current price range for XRP is facing challenges, as a lack of bullish momentum continues to hold it back. However, if XRP follows Bitcoin’s rise and leverages its CME debut hype, it could see an increase in price, potentially reaching $2.56 and beyond. A breakout above this level would end the downtrend and allow XRP to surge higher.
But if XRP fails to breach this resistance level, it risks further consolidation. This would likely send it toward a drop to $2.12, falling through $2.27, invalidating any bullish predictions for the short term.
SUI Price Wins This Round
SUI has shown an impressive 82% rise over the past month, trading at $3.85 at the time of writing. Despite encountering resistance at $4.05, SUI has yet to see a significant correction, suggesting continued bullish momentum.
Given the ongoing demand for SUI, its price is expected to stay above $3.59, allowing it to break through the $4.05 resistance. A breach of this level could propel SUI towards $4.35 or higher.
On the other hand, a drop below the support level of $3.59 would suggest that investors are beginning to book profits. In that case, the price could fall to $3.18, invalidating the current bullish outlook for SUI. However, based on institutional demand and SUI’s infrastructure, it appears likely that its price will continue to rise in the short to medium term.
According to a new analysis, the character of the current crypto bull market has changed. Institutional participation is paving the way for a longer, more sustained period of growth at the expense of the explosive gains seen in past cycles.
On-chain data analyst ‘Yonsei_dent’ of CryptoQuant argued Wednesday that key metrics show the market is maturing. He pointed to the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator, explaining that it shifts toward “longer, more sustainable cycles” that may feature fewer sharp, short-term rallies that defined previous bull runs.
USD/NUPL chart. Source: Yonsei_dent
Institutional Investors Transformed the Market Nature
The NUPL metric essentially gauges the market’s overall profitability. When it’s high, many investors hold significant unrealized profits, which increases the temptation to sell and take profits.
“Historically, NUPL peaks have been a remarkably accurate signal for market cycle tops. The 2017 cycle had one massive peak. The 2021 cycle had two. In the current cycle, NUPL appears to be attempting a third peak. What we’re seeing now is new.”
Yonsei_dent attributes this fundamental shift to the influx of institutional capital, particularly through the successful US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs. This new source of demand is more consistent and less speculative than the retail-driven frenzy of past cycles.
“The ETFs have been a game-changer,” the analyst noted. “They bring a stabilizing force and immense liquidity.”
This new stability, however, comes at a price. While the market is larger and less volatile, the analysis shows that the percentage gains during each successive rally in this cycle have gradually decreased.
“The era of frenzied, 100x rallies in a short period might be behind us. The data suggests we are entering a new paradigm. Bull markets may last longer and be built on a more solid foundation, but investors should adjust their expectations for the kind of sharp, overheated gains we saw in the past.”
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