The Bitcoin price is another halt amid the rising selling pressure in the market after its bullish performance in the previous week. Although 2025 had a great start and the BTC is maintaining its spot above the $100k mark, the experts’ prediction of witnessing a $250k mark within this year may seem far-fetched to investors. Interestingly, Arthur Hayes has re-confirmed his bullish take on this trajectory. Let’s discuss. Bitcoin Price to Hit $250k by 2025 End, Here’s How Arthur Hayes, a renowned crypto analyst and the co-founder of BitMEX, has reconfirmed his bullish outlook on the biggest cryptocurrency in the market. In his private interview at the Token2049 Dubai, he talked about the Bitcoin price rally to $250k and even $1M, along with providing insights on other assets like Gold, Ethereum, and even the U.S. Debt. Amid various discussions, he revealed the timeline of the BTC price hitting $250k, claiming that… Read More at Coingape.com
The old financial market adage “Sell in May and go away” has long been a guiding principle for investors looking to avoid potential summer volatility. However, some analysis suggests that this adage may not hold true for Bitcoin in the coming month.
Several arguments indicate significant differences in the market landscape for 2025. These factors suggest that May could see price increases instead of decreases.
4 Reasons Why Selling in May Could Be a Big Mistake in 2025
M2 measures the amount of money circulating in the economy. It includes cash, savings deposits, and highly liquid assets. Historically, M2 has shown a strong correlation with Bitcoin prices. When central banks such as the FED, ECB, or PBoC increase the money supply, Bitcoin tends to rise.
Bitcoin And Global M2 (90-day Lag). Source: Kaduna
Kaduna shared a chart that confirms this trend will continue in 2025. According to this pattern, May could be a breakout month for Bitcoin. While not all analysts agree with this view, investors are increasingly accepting it, creating positive sentiment in the market.
“Sell in May and go away would be a huge mistake,” Kaduna emphasized.
Second, historical data backs up Kaduna’s outlook. According to Coinglass, Bitcoin has delivered an average return of over 7.9% in May over the past 12 years. Although financial markets often experience turbulence in summer, Bitcoin doesn’t always follow that pattern.
Bitcoin Price Performance by Month. Source: Coinglass
Instead, May often shows positive performance. It’s not the strongest month, but it outperforms June and September. One investor on X observed that since 2010, Bitcoin has seen nine green Mays and six red ones.
The original proverb comes from the stock market, where historical data shows it works better for equities, not necessarily for crypto.
Another major point supporting Kaduna’s thesis is the surge in inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. BeInCrypto recently reported that spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted fresh investor demand on Monday. They recorded net inflows of $591.29 million and extended their winning streak to seven consecutive days.
Notably, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the way. It recorded the largest inflow among its peers, attracting $970.93 million in one day, bringing its total accumulated net inflows to $42.17 billion.
Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow. Source: SosoValue
This increase reflects growing investor confidence and long-term optimism for Bitcoin in 2025. That sentiment may well carry into May, giving further upward momentum to Bitcoin’s price.
Finally, Bitcoin is clearly decoupling from the S&P 500, which historically has signaled large price surges.
Investor arndxt noted this divergence. BeInCrypto also reported a growing disconnect between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ index. Bullish analysts interpret this as a sign that Bitcoin behaves more like an independent asset, less tied to traditional markets.
“The old ‘Sell in May and go away’ mantra doesn’t apply the same way for crypto, liquidity pressures are easing, and this time, May could mark the beginning of an acceleration, not a pause.” – arndxt predicted.
M2 Global, Bitcoin Price, and S&P500 Index Correlation. Source: arndxt
Strong support from M2 correlation, positive May performance in Bitcoin’s history, large ETF inflows, and decoupling from traditional indexes suggest that selling Bitcoin in May 2025 could be a serious mistake.
However, investors should remain cautious. Key data from the Fed, such as CPI, interest rates, and updates on trade tensions, could still introduce uncertainty into May’s outlook.
According to a recent survey by Brown Brothers Harriman, 71% of ETF investors wish to invest more in crypto this year. This bullish signal comes as the crypto ETF market is beginning to recover from recent volatility.
The firm is one of the oldest and most prestigious investment banks in the US, adding credibility to its claims. This data also aligns with other surveys that suggest wealthy investors are interested in Bitcoin.
Crypto ETFs Are Becoming Popular Among TradFi Investors
According to a new survey from Brown Brothers Harriman, 71% of ETF investors are planning to further their allocations into crypto.
“Good news for the crypto crowd, 71% [of surveyed investors] said they aim to increase their allocation to crypto ETFs in the next 12 months.. That’s higher than I would have thought, I’d have guessed 40-50% and i’m pretty bullish on this space, relatively speaking,” claimed Eric Balchunas, a prominent ETF analyst.
Brown Brothers Harriman is one of the oldest and most prestigious investment banks in the US, and its survey is a credible indicator of ETF sentiment. Additionally, other recent surveys have drawn similar conclusions.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs have largely recovered this week after seeing net outflow for five consecutive weeks. At the same time, more asset managers are filing diverse ETF applications with the SEC. Given the current positive sentiment among institutional investors, the long-term outlook is likely to be bullish for such funds.
