South Korea is racing to finalize a trade agreement with the U.S. before August 1, when tariffs on Korean exports could rise to 25%. Seoul aims to secure terms at least as favorable as Japan’s recent 15% tariff cap. Key issues include shipbuilding cooperation, while sensitive topics like beef and rice imports are off the table. Despite strong export growth in tech sectors, failure to reach a deal risks heavy tariffs on 44% of South Korea’s GDP from exports.
Pi Coin is showing strong signs of recovery after breaking free from a two-month-long downtrend.
The altcoin is now benefiting from improving market sentiment, especially as signs of an approaching altcoin season grow stronger. This momentum could position Pi Coin for a major price surge.
Pi Coin Is Receiving Market Support
At the time of writing, Pi Coin’s Bollinger Bands are converging. This technical pattern typically signals incoming volatility, and the last similar event occurred in May. Back then, Pi Coin recorded a massive 114% price increase shortly after the bands widened. A repeat of this move would depend on the broader crypto market’s direction.
Currently, as Bitcoin consolidates and Ethereum leads altcoins upward, conditions favor another bullish breakout for Pi Coin. The tightening Bollinger Bands are hinting at imminent movement, and with sentiment leaning bullish, the next wave of volatility may well push Pi Coin higher once again.
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The macro indicators also align with a bullish forecast. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is trending upward, indicating capital inflow into Pi Coin. This inflow suggests that investors are gaining confidence and could be positioning themselves ahead of a possible altcoin rally.
As money enters the ecosystem, Pi Coin benefits from renewed market participation and rising demand. These factors often precede price breakouts and are especially influential when combined with technical signals of volatility.
Pi Coin is currently trading at $0.47 after consolidating sideways for several days. This consolidation has worked in its favor, helping the altcoin escape its two-month downtrend. Investors are now watching closely for the next resistance to be broken.
Despite being only 15% from its all-time low of $0.40, the technical indicators suggest this support will hold. If Pi Coin can flip $0.45 into a reliable support level, it could initiate a rally toward $0.51 and beyond, especially if the altcoin season intensifies.
However, if holders begin to exit their positions prematurely, Pi Coin could slip back toward $0.40. Such a move would invalidate the bullish scenario and place the altcoin at risk of retesting its historical low.
Pi Network’s native token, PI, has witnessed a 22% price plunge over the past week, extending its downtrend to trade at a seven-day low of $ 0.61 at press time.
The double-digit decline reflects growing bearish sentiment around the token and coincides with a broader contraction in the crypto market.
PI’s Outlook Worsens as Bearish Trend Deepens
The global cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped by over 5% in the past seven days, shedding over $170 billion. The widespread pullback has shaken investor confidence, triggering fresh PI selloffs over the past few days.
The strengthening sell-side pressure is evident in PI’s BBTrend indicator, which has continued to print red histogram bars, a clear signal of mounting bearish momentum. As of this writing, the indicator sits at -4.52.
The BBTrend measures the strength and direction of a trend based on the expansion and contraction of Bollinger Bands. When BBTrend values are positive, it typically signals a strong uptrend, while negative values indicate increasing bearish momentum.
PI’s persistent negative BBTrend suggests that its price consistently closes near the lower Bollinger Band. This trend indicates sustained selling activity and hints at the potential for a sustained price decline.
Further, PI’s Smart Money Index (SMI) has fallen over the past few days, signaling an exit of “smart money” or institutional-grade investors. This is often considered a leading indicator of deeper price declines, as it suggests reduced confidence from these key investors.
An asset’s SMI tracks the activity of institutional investors by analyzing market behavior during the first and last hours of trading. When it rises, these investors are increasing their buying activity, indicating the likelihood of an extended rally.
Conversely, as with PI, when it falls, it indicates that institutional demand for the asset is weakening, signalling potential for further downside.
PI Teeters Near Key Support—Will Bulls Hold the Line at $0.55?
PI’s climbing selling activity suggests that the token could be vulnerable to further losses in the short term. If selloffs continue, the altcoin risks breaking below the critical support formed at $0.55.
If the bulls fail to defend this support floor, PI could revisit its all-time low of $0.40.
However, a spike in new demand for the token could prevent this from happening. If the PI Network token buying pressure spikes, it could push its price to $0.86.
As geopolitical tensions intensify and investor sentiment deteriorates, bearish pressure has continued spreading across Bitcoin’s spot and derivatives markets.
The uncertainty surrounding global macroeconomic stability has led many market participants to take a risk-off approach, with the coin showing signs of vulnerability as the second quarter draws to a close.
Bitcoin Futures Turn Bearish
With the coin struggling to rally momentum around the $103,000 price mark, Bitcoin futures traders have increasingly positioned against the coin.
According to Coinglass, the coin’s long/short ratio — a key measure of trader sentiment — has tilted heavily toward shorts since June 17, indicating a growing belief that BTC’s recent rally may be losing momentum. At press time, the ratio is 0.95, indicating more traders are betting against the altcoin.
This ratio compares the number of long and short positions in a market. When an asset’s long/short ratio is above 1, there are more long than short positions, indicating that traders are predominantly betting on a price increase.
Conversely, as seen with BTC, a ratio below one indicates that most traders are positioning for a price drop. This reflects heightened bearish sentiment and growing expectations of continued downside movements in the short term.
Moreover, daily chart readings from BTC’s BBTrend indicator reinforce the bearish outlook. As BTC’s price momentum weakens, the green histogram bars on the indicator have steadily fallen in size, signaling a decline in buying pressure and a loss of bullish strength.
The BBTrend is used to gauge the strength and direction of price trends. It appears as histogram bars — green when the trend is bullish and red when bearish.
When the BBTrend turns negative or the green bars shrink, upward momentum is fading, and the asset may be entering a consolidation phase or facing a reversal.
A consistently negative BBTrend suggests that selling pressure is dominating, increasing the likelihood of an extended price correction for BTC.
BTC Slips to Two-Week Low: Will Support at $102,000 Hold?
Yesterday, BTC’s price fell to a 15-day low of $102,345. Although it rebounded and closed at $103,297, bearish pressure remains, with the coin still down 2% over the past 24 hours.
If new demand continues to be limited, BTC’s price could extend its dip toward $101,520. Should the bulls fail to defend this critical support level, the asset could plunge further to $97,658.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
On the other hand, if buying pressure strengthens, BTC could rebound and attempt a break above $103,952. A successful move past this level may open the door for a rally toward $106,295.
