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As the broader crypto market begins to recover from recent lows, on-chain data reveals a growing behavioral divide between Bitcoin’s long-term and short-term holders.

Its Long-term holders (LTHs) have resumed net accumulation for the first time since the last local top, while short-term holders (STHs) appear to be exiting the market.

BTC LTHs Return to Accumulation as STHs Capitulate

In a new report, pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst IT Tech noted that a clear behavioral divide has emerged between BTC’s LTHs and STHs, suggesting the early formation of a re-accumulation phase.

This is based on an assessment of BTC’s Net Position Change for Long-Term Holders (LTH), which, per the analyst, has now flipped positive for the first time since BTC’s last local peak.

“This suggests that experienced, conviction-driven participants are gradually returning to accumulation after several months of sustained distribution. Their activity often reflects strategic, cycle-aware repositioning, not necessarily whale-sized capital flows,” the analyst noted.

Meanwhile, BTC STHs—those who have held BTC for less than 155 days—are selling into weakness, with net outflows remaining firmly in negative territory. This trend suggests capitulation, as newer investors reduce their exposure to the coin in response to recent price troubles. 

IT Tech noted that this behavioral divergence “tends to signal early stages of a re-accumulation phase.”

“Suppose long-term participants continue increasing their positions while short-term supply gets flushed out. This setup may serve as a constructive base for future price recovery, even if short-term price action remains choppy,” the analyst said. 

Momentum Builds for Bitcoin as Buying Pressure Surges

On the daily chart, BTC’s positive Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) reflects increasing investor demand and positive cash flow momentum. This further reinforces the possibility of a bullish breakout as projected by the analyst. 

At press time, this momentum indicator, which measures how money flows into and out of an asset, is at 0.10. A positive CMF reading like this indicates that buying pressure outweighs selloffs among market participants and hints at an extended price growth for BTC. 

Moreover, the coin’s Aroon Up Line currently sits at 100%, reinforcing the strength of its ongoing uptrend.

An asset’s Aroon Indicator measures the strength and direction of a trend by tracking the time since the highest and lowest prices over a given period. It comprises two lines: Aroon Up, which measures bullish momentum, and Aroon Down, which tracks bearish pressure. 

As with BTC, when the Aroon Up line is at 100, it signals strong upward momentum and a dominant bullish trend. This suggests that buying pressure is high, and the price may continue rising.

BTC Bulls Eye New Highs

BTC now trades firmly above the key support formed at $91,851. If the bullish pressure holds and demand rockets, the king coin could continue its uptrend to exchange hands at $95,971.

However, if traders resume profit-taking, this bullish projection will be invalidated. In that scenario, BTC’s price could retest the support at $91,851. Should it fail to hold, its price could fall to reach $87,730.

The post How Bitcoin Holders’ Sentiment Split Signals Early Re-Accumulation Phase appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Several experienced investors suggest it may be time for altcoin traders to shift their mindset rather than wait for market conditions to improve. Half of 2025 has already passed, and nothing guarantees the second half will be easier.

Meanwhile, the buy-and-hold approach for altcoins has failed as Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has risen for two consecutive years.

Why Shifting From Buy-and-Hold to Disciplined Trading

Facing widespread losses among altcoin traders, Stockmoney Lizards, a well-known investor on X, shared a straightforward strategy designed for those with limited experience. Named the “Low-IQ Altcoin Strategy,” it consists of four main steps.

• Choose reputable altcoins: Focus on coins that have proven resilient over multiple market cycles, such as SOL, ADA, or ETH. These coins usually have stronger foundations and lower risk than new, smaller projects.
• Allocate capital carefully: Divide trading capital into five equal parts to spread risk across different buying points.
• Define clear entry points: Enter positions when the daily RSI drops below 30 (an oversold signal). Continue adding after each further 10% price drop from the last purchase.
• Set strict exit points: Exit the entire position once profits reach 30–50%. Avoid hesitation or waiting for even higher gains, as altcoin markets remain highly volatile and vulnerable to sudden moves by whales.

Stockmoney Lizards emphasized that this method does not promise quick wealth but aims to help traders avoid losing everything, like most altcoin investors. The recommendation includes reinvesting half of the profits into stablecoins and the other half into Bitcoin for long-term accumulation.

“You won’t get rich quick. But you also won’t lose everything like 99% of altcoin traders do…This boring strategy is exactly how I survived my early trading days,” Stockmoney Lizards noted.

Michaël van de Poppe, CIO and founder of MNFund, also highlighted a common mistake: many investors rush in to buy only when prices have already soared, which raises the risk of losses.

The disciplined method suggested by Stockmoney Lizards helps lower risk and reduce the FOMO mindset described by Michaël van de Poppe.

However, maintaining discipline can be challenging, as many traders still hope for rapid and large profits.

“Not the strategy most people in crypto believe in, but need to. They want that Lambo yesterday,” another investor on X commented.

Will Altcoin Season Arrive in H2 2025?

A recent BeInCrypto report identified signs that the altcoin winter may continue. Analysis of the altcoin market cap (TOTAL2) on a six-month chart shows that TOTAL2 has completed four consecutive green candles and now appears to be entering a red candle phase.

In previous cycles, four green six-month candles typically ended with two red candles, suggesting that the second half of 2025 could remain challenging for altcoins.

However, investor Milk Road observed a more optimistic historical pattern: the market cap bottom for altcoins excluding the top 10 often forms in June each year.

“Every June since 2021 has marked a key turning point in the altcoin market… And June 2025 could be following the same script,” Milk Road observed.

This perspective is supported by other investors who hope the altcoin market cap could reach new highs in late 2025.

Conflicting signals from different data models add uncertainty to forecasts for H2 2025. At the same time, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), which typically needs to decline to signal an altcoin season, remains above 65%, its highest level since February 2021, with no signs of retreat.

Altcoin investors remain divided. Some try to adjust expectations and strategies after previous losses, while others continue to wait for significant returns to justify years of holding.

The post Why Altcoin Traders Must Shift From Buy-and-Hold to Smart Trading in 2025 appeared first on BeInCrypto.