Polymarket’s Crypto Predictions 2025 : Bitcoin, ETFs & Trump’s Reserve

Monicah W

The post Polymarket’s Crypto Predictions 2025 : Bitcoin, ETFs & Trump’s Reserve appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Polymarket offers insights into where the market is heading in 2025. From the price targets of Bitcoin to upcoming crypto ETFs, Polymarket bettors are placing bets on major crypto industry events. Here is a breakdown of the top predictions of Polymarket and what they mean for the future of the cryptocurrency sector. 

Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2025

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? Let’s see how Polymarket bettors respond to this crucial question.  

At the time of writing, according to Polymarket bettors, there is a 69% chance that Bitcon will hit $70,000 this year. The possibility for the price of BTC to reach $110,000 is 59%, and $120,000 is 47%.

There is a 37% probability for the price of BTC to reach $130,000 and a 29% chance to reach $150,000. 

The probability for the Bitcoin price to hit $1,000,000 is 4%, $250,000 is 12%, and $200,000 is 15%.

At the beginning of 2025, the probability for the BTC price to reach $120,000 this year was nearly 71%. On January 22, it reached as high as 87%. After the inauguration of Donald Trump, it has declined consistently. Now, it remains at the lowest level since the start of January. 

Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve: Will It Happen?

Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in the first 100 days? Let’s see how Polymarket bettors respond to this. 

As of now, as per Polymarket bettors, there is a 22% probability that Trump will create a Bitcoin reserve in the first 100 days. On January 20, it was around 48%.  In early March, it plummeted to a low of 11%. On March 7, it quicked rebounded to 45%. Since March 7, it has steadily dropped. 

Crypto ETFs Likely to Launch in 2025

As of now, the Solana ETF has the highest probability of 89%, according to Polymarket bettors. As per the same betting platform, there is a 77% chance of a XRP ETF this year, a 72% possibility of a Litecoin ETF, a 69% chance of a Dogecoin ETF, and a 68% chance of a Cardano ETF. 

Unlikely but Possible Crypto Events 

According to Polymakret bettors, there is a 20% chance that the Bitcoin market will create a new all-time high this year. 

Strategy, the public company that holds the highest number of BTC tokens, is the most vocal advocate for corporate crypto adoption.

Interestingly, Polymarket bettors forecast that there is a 12% chance that Strategy will go bankrupt this year. The same platform also predicts that there is a 7% probability that Bybit will shut down in 2025.

However, the platform forecasts that there is a 6% chance that Amazon will buy Bitcoin by June. 

In conclusion, Polymarket’s predictions highlight both optimism and skepticism in the crypto space. While Bitcoin’s future remains uncertain, traders expect major developments like a Solana ETF and Trump’s Bitcoin reserve. Whether these bets come true or not, Polymarket remains a fascinating insight into market sentiment.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: 4 Factors Influencing BTC Traders this week, and Next Big Move to Expect

How Will Bitcoin Price React to Trump's March 7 Crypto Summit and Nonfarm Payrolls?

Bitcoin’s price remains volatile as traders react to major economic events, including Trump’s crypto reserve, tariffs, and the Federal Reserve’s latest stance.

Bitcoin (BTC) Finds Support at $86,000 after Volatile Week

Bitcoin’s price has experienced significant volatility over the past week, influenced by various economic and political developments. As of Saturday, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $86,000, reflecting a 7% decline from its peak earlier in the week.

Several key factors have contributed to this price movement, including President Donald Trump’s announcement of a strategic cryptocurrency reserve, the implementation of new tariffs, the outcomes of a White House summit on digital assets, and the latest U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.

1. Trump Announces Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve

On March 2, President Trump unveiled plans for a U.S. strategic cryptocurrency reserve, dubbed the “Digital Fort Knox,” aiming to bolster the nation’s position in the digital asset space. This reserve is set to include major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA).

Bitcoin Price Action, March 8, 2025
Bitcoin Price Action, March 8, 2025

The announcement led to a swift market reaction, with Bitcoin surging 13% moving from  local lows around $78,200 to hit a monthly time frame peak of $95,000 within 48 hours of Trump’s crypto strategic reserve announcement . Altcoins like XRP and Cardano saw even more substantial gains, with XRP rising by 40% and Cardano doubling in value.
While the inclusion of altcoins sparked debate among Bitcoin purists, the administration defended the decision as a move to support a diverse range of blockchain projects.

However, further market events prompted short-term traders to take profits, causing Bitcoin’s momentum to record 4 consecutive losing days as the week unfolded.

  • 2) Implementation of New Tariffs Introduces Volatility

On March 3, President Trump announced a 25% blanket tariff on all imports from China and Mexico, aiming to protect domestic industries. This policy shift rattled global financial markets, leading to a sharp sell-off in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s price retraced its earlier gains, dipping to a weekly low of $81,400 by March 4.

In response to retaliatory measures from the affected countries and domestic pushback, the administration partially rolled back the tariffs. On March 6, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce announced exemptions for Mexican imports and a one-month delay for auto import tariffs. This policy reversal provided a relief rally for Bitcoin, contributing to consecutive days of price appreciation.

  • 3) White House Summit on Digital Assets

The week culminated with a White House summit on digital assets, where industry leaders and policymakers convened to discuss the future of cryptocurrencies in the U.S. Prior to the summit, David Sacks, the administration’s crypto and AI policy advisor, criticized the previous administration for missing out on potential profits from seized Bitcoin assets. He highlighted that the government currently holds approximately 200,000 BTC, valued at over $17 billion, acquired through legal seizures.

During the summit, President Trump signed an executive order to formalize the creation of the “Digital Fort Knox,” reinforcing the administration’s commitment to integrating cryptocurrencies into the national financial infrastructure. However, the lack of immediate actionable policies led to a 4% decline in Bitcoin’s value post-summit, reflecting market disappointment over the absence of concrete regulatory guidance.

  • 4) Impact of Non-Farm Payrolls Report

The latest U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on March 7, revealed an increase in unemployment rates, raising concerns about persistent inflation and the potential for more aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. These macroeconomic factors have added downward pressure on Bitcoin, as investors reassess risk exposures in light of potential interest rate hikes.

Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bulls must hold $85,000 Support to Maintain Upside Prospects

BTC price stabilization around the $86,000 level suggests a consolidation phase as the market digests recent developments. Traders will closely monitor upcoming economic indicators, Federal Reserve communications, and any further policy announcements related to digital assets will likely dictate the next directional move in the coming days.

Bitcoin price forecast signals on the the 12-hour chart shows Bitcoin trading within a tight range, with Bollinger Bands compressing, indicating lower volatility. The price hovers near the 50-day moving average, acting as immediate support, while the upper Bollinger Band at $93,822 serves as resistance.

Bitcoin Price Forecast
Bitcoin Price Forecast

Momentum indicators suggest mixed signals. The MACD histogram shows declining bullish momentum, with the signal line approaching a bearish crossover. However, the overall structure remains intact, as long as Bitcoin holds above $85,000.

A break below this level could trigger further downside towards $80,800, the lower Bollinger Band, while a rebound could send Bitcoin toward the $87,346 mid-band resistance before a possible push to the $90,000 psychological level.

Leverage remains a key factor, with increased open interest potentially amplifying Bitcoin’s next move. Traders should watch volume trends and liquidity imbalances, as a sharp liquidation event could define the next major price swing.

 

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: 4 Factors Influencing BTC Traders this week, and Next Big Move to Expect appeared first on CoinGape.

Crypto Market Recovers from Heavy Sell-Offs, Boosted by Macro Trends

After a rough start to the week with massive liquidations, the crypto market has finally experienced some relief, with a rebound driven by favorable broader macroeconomic changes. 

Liquidations over the past day totaled $384.4 million, a significant drop from previous days. Meanwhile, the global market cap rose 1.1% over the last day.

Crypto Market Recovers After Massive Liquidations

The market’s dip was primarily driven by fears of a global recession, trade wars, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. As a result, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) plunged to monthly and yearly lows.

This sharp decline led to widespread liquidations. Nearly $1 billion was liquidated from the market yesterday. Nonetheless, the latest data paints a slightly more favorable picture.

According to Coinglass data, $384.4 million was liquidated in the past 24 hours. Of this, $138.2 million came from long positions, while $246.2 million were short positions. 

crypto liquidation
Crypto Market Liquidation. Source: Coinglass

Specifically, Bitcoin saw $186.7 million in liquidations, with $146.0 million attributed to short positions. Ethereum experienced $73.6 million in liquidations, with $40.3 million from long positions and $33.1 million from short positions.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin regained ground over $80,000, trading at $82,299. This marked a 3.6% increase over the past day. 

bitcoin price
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Notably, the recovery could be attributed to recent diplomatic developments. According to Bloomberg, Ukraine agreed to a temporary 30-day ceasefire in response to a US proposal. This has reduced geopolitical tensions that had previously weighed on the market. 

Furthermore, Ontario suspended 25% tariffs on electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. This was also a major step towards easing trade tensions.

US political figures, including House Speaker Mike Johnson, have also provided much-needed reassurance to the markets. Johnson suggested that President Trump’s economic policies, which initially contributed to market instability, would eventually stabilize the economy. 

“Give the president a chance to have these policies play out,” he said.

In addition, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt noted that the market dip represented a temporary state rather than a definitive or permanent trend. 

“We are in a period of economic transition,” Leavitt stated.

She emphasized the idea that market numbers, such as stock prices, trading volumes, and liquidations, reflect a specific point in time and can evolve. These combined factors—political reassurances, easing trade tensions, and a reduction in geopolitical risks—have contributed to the crypto market’s recent recovery.

The post Crypto Market Recovers from Heavy Sell-Offs, Boosted by Macro Trends appeared first on BeInCrypto.