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Bitcoin’s (BTC) market dominance has surged to 64%, reaching its highest level in over four years.
However, experts remain divided on what this means for the future. Some predict an impending altcoin season, and others caution that Bitcoin’s dominance could continue to suppress altcoins.
“Excluding stable coins, Bitcoin dominance is now at 69%,” Cowen revealed.
The rise in Bitcoin dominance has sparked debate among analysts about its implications for altcoins. Cowen believes there will be a correction or downward movement in altcoins before any substantial gains can be expected in the market. This implies that the altcoin season may not be imminent yet.
“I think ALT/ BTC pairs need to go down before they can go up,” he stated.
Nordin, founder of Nour Group, also expressed caution. He stressed that Bitcoin dominance is nearing the levels seen during the peak of the 2020 bear market.
“This isn’t just a BTC move. Its capital rotating out of alts,” he noted.
“Bitcoin dominance back to 64%. No Alt seasons in 2024 or 2025,” analyst, Alessandro Ottaviani, predicted.
On the other hand, analyst Mister Crypto predicts that Bitcoin’s dominance may follow a long-term descending triangle pattern. A descending triangle typically suggests bearish momentum, where the price or dominance gradually decreases as lower highs are formed.
However, this could prolong its market control before a broader correction allows altcoins to gain traction.
Another analyst mentioned that Bitcoin dominance is currently testing the resistance zone between 64% and 64.3%. Therefore, a possible retracement may be on the horizon. Should this retracement occur, altcoins could begin to gain traction, with some potentially emerging as top performers in the market as capital shifts away from Bitcoin.
“However, a breakout from this zone could mean further declines for alts,” the analyst remarked.
Finally, Junaid Dar, CEO of Bitwardinvest, offered a more optimistic view. According to Dar’s analysis, if Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 63.45%, it could trigger a strong upward movement in altcoins. This, he believes, would create an ideal opportunity to profit from altcoin positions.
“For now, alts are stuck. Just a matter of time,” Dar added.
Tether Dominance Signals Potential Altcoin Season
Meanwhile, many analysts believe that the trends in Tether dominance (USDT.D) signal a potential altcoin season. From a technical analysis standpoint, USDT.D has reached a resistance zone and may be due for a correction, suggesting the possibility of capital flowing from USDT into altcoins.
“The USDTD is in a rejection zone, as long as it does not close above 6.75% it will be favorable for the market,” a technical analyst wrote.
Another analyst also stressed that the USDT.D and USD Coin dominance (USDC.D) have reached resistance, forecasting an incoming altcoin season. Doğu Tekinoğlu drew similar conclusions by observing the combined chart of BTC.D, USDT.D, and USDC.D.
As Bitcoin’s dominance climbs, investors are closely monitoring these technical and on-chain signals. The interplay between Bitcoin’s strength and stablecoin dynamics could dictate whether altcoins stage a comeback this summer or face further consolidation. For now, Bitcoin’s grip on the market remains firm.
Since April 23, Solana’s price has oscillated within a tight trading range, facing resistance near $153.67 and finding support around $145.68.
A growing wave of bearish pressure threatens to break this range to the downside, with a key technical indicator on the verge of confirming a major sell signal.
Solana Faces Breakdown Risk as Sellers Tighten Grip
SOL’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is poised to form a death cross, a bearish crossover where the MACD line dips below the signal line.
As of this writing, the coin’s MACD line (blue) rests near the signal line (orange), awaiting a catalyst to push it under. This pattern often precedes a sustained downtrend and is widely viewed by traders as a sign of weakening price strength.
Further, SOL’s Balance of Power (BoP) is currently negative, reinforcing the downtrend. This indicates that sellers have gained market control. At press time, this stands at -0.12.
The BoP indicator measures the strength of buying versus selling pressure by comparing the closing price to the trading range over a given period.
When an asset’s BoP is positive, it signals that buyers are in control, indicating strong upward momentum and potential for continued price gain.
On the other hand, as with SOL, a negative BoP value indicates that sellers dominate the market. It suggests an increase in downward pressure on SOL and hints at the potential commencement of a new decline phase.
SOL Faces Key Support Test Amid Mounting Sell Pressure
As bearish momentum builds, SOL risks breaking below the support level at $145.68. A decisive break beneath this threshold would confirm a short-term downtrend and potentially trigger a deeper decline toward $142.32.
Should buyers fail to regain control at that point, SOL could slide further to test the lower support at $133.94.
However, this bearish outlook could be invalidated if fresh demand emerges and buying interest strengthens. In that bullish scenario, SOL may overcome resistance at $153.67, opening the door for a rally toward $171.50.