Over the past few months, Onyxcoin’s (XCN) price has struggled to break free from a persistent downtrend. Despite some optimistic sentiment from investors, recent attempts at an upward breakout have been unsuccessful.
The broader market conditions remain bearish, which is dampening the cryptocurrency’s price action and limiting recovery potential.
Onycoin Needs Stronger Support
The NVT (Network Value to Transaction) ratio for Onyxcoin is currently at a four-month high, which highlights an imbalance between the network value and the asset’s market value. High NVT ratios indicate that although the network is gaining attention, actual transactions are weak.
This is a bearish signal because it suggests that the hype surrounding Onyxcoin is not backed by substantial user activity or adoption. Consequently, the altcoin’s recent price movements are driven more by speculative interest rather than organic growth, making it difficult for the coin to escape its current downtrend.
Onyxcoin’s overall macro momentum also looks concerning. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently below the neutral mark of 50.0, signaling that the cryptocurrency is in a bearish zone.
The RSI has been weak for some time, reflecting investor pessimism and weak market sentiment. This bearish momentum is likely to continue, especially given that the broader cryptocurrency market is also showing weak performance, reinforcing the downward trend for XCN. The lack of positive momentum in the broader market further affects Onyxcoin’s ability to recover.
Currently trading at $0.0122, Onyxcoin is holding just above the critical support of $0.0120. The coin has been trapped in a nearly two-month-long downtrend, and unless there is a significant shift in market conditions, this downtrend is expected to persist.
The next key support level for Onyxcoin is at $0.0100. Given the ongoing bearish indicators, it seems likely that the price will fall to this level, extending the downtrend. If the broader market conditions fail to show signs of improvement, Onyxcoin could see further declines, possibly testing even lower support levels.
However, the bearish outlook could be invalidated if Onyxcoin manages to breach its downtrend line and push past the $0.0150 mark. Successfully flipping this resistance into support would signal a potential recovery and could lead the price to $0.0182 or higher.
Welcome to the US Morning Crypto News Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee to see what data says about the Bitcoin (BTC) price outlook, alongside insights into the current sentiment in the options market. Remember, this being the last Friday of April, monthly options expired today at 8:00 UTC on Deribit.
Strong Market Expectations of Bitcoin Reaching $100,000
Interestingly, Bitcoin traded well above its max pain or strike price of $86,000. Ordinarily, as options near expiration, an asset’s price would tend to gravitate toward its max pain level. While Bitcoin traded for $93,471 minutes before the options expiry, it is now selling for $94,581.
BeInCrypto contacted Bitfinex analysts for insights into the current market outlook and their perspective on what lies ahead for the Bitcoin price in the short term. According to the analysts, Bitcoin’s price could record further upside after clearing option-based resistance.
“Post-expiry, the market is leaning cautiously bullish, and with the $90,000 strike cluster now cleared, there’s less option-based resistance overhead,” Bitfinex analysts told BeInCrypto.
Further, the analysts observed that many traders have rolled exposure to higher strikes, with $95,000 and $100,000 showing increased call open interest for end-April and May expiries.
While this reflects the expected continued upside, the analysts did not rule out a potential short-term chop.
This aligns with Deribit analysts’ statements that the highest open interest for BTC options was around the $100,000 strike price. This indicates strong market expectations of Bitcoin reaching this level.
As BeInCrypto reported, the analysts ascribed this to traders selling cash-secured put options on Bitcoin. These traders also use stablecoins to collect premiums while buying BTC at lower prices.
BeInCrypto also reported that the Cumulative delta (CD) across BTC and related ETF (exchange-traded fund) options on Deribit reached $9 billion. Bitfinex analysts agree, citing rising spot flows and ETF demand.
“Spot flows and ETF demand have picked up significantly for BTC over the past few days and will now continue to dictate if BTC can establish $90,000 as support,” the analysts added.
Meanwhile, these forecasts add to the list of growing bullish bets on Bitcoin’s price, credibly confirming a sentiment shared in the previous US Crypto News publication.
However, despite strong prospects for more Bitcoin price gains, some analysts urge investors to temper their optimism. One is Innokenty Isers, the Chief Executive Officer at Paybis Exchange.
“Current market outlook suggests that Bitcoin price may face more stiff resistance moving forward. In the last two months, the uncertainty around the tariff war triggered an unusual concern for investors as many decided to temporarily steer clear of more volatile assets like Bitcoin,” Isers told BeInCrypto.
Moreover, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has spotlighted the inflationary risks the tariff war may introduce. Nevertheless, Isers acknowledged clear indications of sustained accumulation of BTC by institutional investors and market whales.
This chart shows that the top Bitcoin options by trading volume over the past 24 hours are call options with strike prices of $95,000 and $100,000, ahead of the May 2 expiry.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Bitcoin rebounds 25% in April, shifting market sentiment from fear to greed, per the Crypto Fear & Greed Index readings.
Cardano gained 15% in a week, holding a bullish structure despite a volume dip and early signs of consolidation near key price levels.
USD1 stablecoin, launched by World Liberty Financial, is subject to the EU’s MiCA regulations, which require compliance with transparency, reserve backing, and conflict of interest rules.
The crypto market reflected significant losses as the US officially entered the Iran-Israel war late Saturday night. According to President Trump, the US has bombed notable nuclear sites in Iran, signaling its first active strike in this geopolitical conflict.
The crypto market reacted with notable liquidations across the altcoin sector. Ethereum dropped over 5% following the news, trading below $2,300 for the first time in a month.
Also, Cardano is nearing a 3-month low following the news – down 6% today. AI agent coins suffered the biggest blow, as VIRTUAL and FET dipped nearly 10%.
Crypto Market Liquidations After US Strikes Iran. Source: Coinglass
While Bitcoin still holds above $102,500, indicators suggest it could potentially fall below the $100,000 psychological level if further escalations are reported over the weekend.
As of now, the market will be cautiously looking at Iran’s response. President Trump has stated that any response from Iran would result in further US actions.
Overall, crypto liquidations exceeded $670 million today, and further escalation could very well signal a short-term bearish cycle.
