Made in USA coins have underperformed in the first 100 days of Trump’s new term, with all five leading US-linked assets down at least 20% since January 20. This comes despite the administration’s more crypto-friendly tone and a recent wave of regulatory relief.
In contrast, non–USA coins like Bitcoin and TRON have held up better, showing more resilience even as Ethereum and Dogecoin posted steep losses. The divergence highlights the impact of broader policy pressures—such as tariffs—potentially offsetting domestic crypto reforms.
Made in USA Coins Struggle Under the Trump Era
All five leading “Made in USA” coins have declined by at least 20% since January 20, the day of Trump’s inauguration. While recent short-term gains have helped improve sentiment, the broader 100-day trend remains negative for these U.S.-linked assets.
This performance comes despite expectations of a more favorable environment for crypto under the current administration.
Solana (SOL) is the weakest performer in this group, down over 41% since Trump took office, even after gaining more than 18% in the past 30 days.
On the other hand, SUI has rallied 58% in the same period, supported by strong growth in meme coin trading and decentralized exchange (DEX) volume. Recently, it became the fifth-largest chain by DEX activity.
ADA, LINK, and XRP have all posted modest gains between 7% and 10% over the past month, but remain down more than 24% in the first 100 days of the administration.
Made in USA Coins Performance Since January 20. Source: Messari.
The overall performance of Made in USA coins has diverged from initial expectations following Trump’s return, which included promises of a more crypto-friendly stance.
While the SEC, now under Paul Atkins, has dropped several cases against crypto firms, removing regulatory overhang, other policy developments may limit the upside.
In particular, ongoing trade pressures tied to Trump’s tariff strategy may create additional headwinds for U.S.-linked crypto assets.
Despite ETH and DOGE Losses, Non–USA Coins Hold Up Better
Among the five largest non–USA coins, only two have posted significant losses over the last 100 days. Ethereum (ETH) has fallen by more than 43%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) has fallen by nearly 51%.
These declines stand out sharply, especially given the more stable performance of other top assets. Bitcoin (BTC) is down just 6% in the same period, while BNB has slipped by nearly 12%.
Short-term trends offer a more balanced view. Bitcoin has gained nearly 16% over the past 30 days, reflecting stronger momentum than its peers.
Biggest Coins (Excluding Made in USA Coins) Performance Since January 20. Source: Messari.
DOGE is up more than 7% in the same window, while BNB and ETH have remained largely flat. TRON (TRX) is the only top coin outside the US-linked group to post gains over both timeframes, up 7.5% over the last 100 days.
The broader group of global assets has fared relatively better than Made in USA coins. Despite steep losses in ETH and DOGE, the group has outperformed Made in USA coins like SOL and ADA, many of which have dropped more than 20–40% in the same timeframe.
This divergence suggests that while regulatory sentiment in the US may improve, macro and policy-specific headwinds could weigh more heavily on domestic crypto assets.
Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee as we analyze Standard Chartered’s Bitcoin (BTC) price projections. According to the bank, Bitcoin price could hit $500,000 as global institutions accumulate Strategy’s MSTR stock for indirect exposure to Bitcoin.
Crypto News of the Day: Standard Chartered’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction
Bitcoin was trading for $105,178, up by a modest 2.27% in the last 24 hours. In recent developments, the pioneer crypto market capitalization has ascended to an all-time high of $2.09 trillion.
However, analysts hold that institutional interest has much to do with Bitcoin’s value surge. Firstly, Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds), which offer Traditional Finance (TradFi) players indirect exposure to BTC, drive institutional interest.
In the same way, institutions are gaining indirect exposure to Bitcoin via Strategy’s MSTR stock. A recent US Crypto News publication indicated that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) held 576,230 BTC as of May 19.
Holding a significant amount of Bitcoin on its balance sheet, Strategy’s MSTR stock price correlates closely with Bitcoin’s price movements.
MSTR vs. BTC performance in the past year. Source: ivanhoff.com on X
Analysts ascribe this correlation to a dynamic where Bitcoin is the base layer while MSTR operates as a vehicle with different risks, mechanics, and rewards.
Against this backdrop, BeInCrypto contacted Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered. According to Kendrick, Bitcoin is still on course to hit $500,000 before the end of Trump’s second administration.
Kendrick ascribes this to deepening institutional adoption, particularly through indirect exposure via MicroStrategy’s MSTR shares.
Standard Chartered Says Increasing Allocations to MSTR Is Bullish for Bitcoin
Newly released Q1 2025 13F filings from the US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) support the bank’s bullish thesis. Specifically, Strategy saw increasing allocations to MSTR by a range of global sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities.
“As more investors gain access to the asset and as volatility falls, we believe portfolios will migrate towards their optimal level from an underweight starting position in Bitcoin,” Kendrick said in an email to BeInCrypto.
While direct holdings of Bitcoin ETFs declined slightly overall, largely due to the State of Wisconsin Investment Board selling its entire 3,400 BTC-equivalent position in BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, other entities quietly increased exposure via MSTR, which Kendrick described as a “Bitcoin proxy.”
“Government entities increased their holdings of Strategy Incorporated (MSTR), which typically trades like a Bitcoin proxy. Entities in Norway, Switzerland, and South Korea reported significant MSTR increases, and Saudi Arabia added a very small position for the first time,” Kendrick told BeInCrypto.
The Standard Chartered executive emphasized that while Bitcoin ETF flows were “unexciting,” the MSTR accumulation trend was the real story this quarter.
“The MSTR ownership detail was where the excitement was,” he added.
Geoff Kendrick went further, detailing Standard Chartered’s analysis of the filings. Based on their analysis:
Norway added 700 BTC-equivalent via MSTR, now holding 6,300 BTC-equivalent.
Switzerland also added 700 BTC-equivalent, reaching 2,300 BTC-equivalent.
South Korea added 700 BTC-equivalent, bringing its total to 1,300 BTC-equivalent.
US state funds (California, New York, North Carolina, Kentucky) added 1,000 BTC-equivalent collectively, now at 3,300 BTC-equivalent.
Saudi Arabia’s Central Bank opened a small MSTR position—its first.
Meanwhile, Abu Dhabi’s quasi-sovereign wealth fund Mubadala added 300 BTC equivalent via ETF holdings, increasing its position to 5,000 BTC equivalent.
“SEC 13F data for Q1 supports our thesis that Bitcoin is attracting a wider range of buyers. While data on Bitcoin ETF holdings was disappointing, MSTR – a Bitcoin proxy – saw increased buying. Overall sovereign positions were unchanged due to the Wisconsin pension fund selling its ETF holdings,” Kendrick concluded.
The data reinforce Standard Chartered’s outlook that institutional and sovereign flows—both direct and indirect—will be a key driver of Bitcoin’s ascent to $500,000 in the coming years.
Chart of the Day
Governement holdings of BTC ETFs and MSTR. Source: Standard Chartered
This chart illustrates the total government holdings of Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s MSTR stock from Q4 2023 to Q1 2025, measured in ‘000 (thousands) BTC equivalents. Based on the chart, holdings have grown steadily, peaking in Q1 2025 at around 18,000 BTC.
The chart shows that key contributors include Abu Dhabi (ETFs), Norway, Sweden, South Korea, France, New York, Wisconsin (ETFs), Michigan (ETFs), Switzerland, Liechtenstein, California, North Carolina, Saudi Arabia, and Kentucky, with varying contributions across quarters.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Here’s a summary of more US crypto news to follow today:
Today, over $3 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire. It will see over $2.5 billion worth of BTC and nearly $500 million worth of ETH contracts settled. How will the prices of both assets react?
These options’ expiry will take place at 8:00 UTC on Deribit, potentially inspiring volatility across the crypto market.
Bitcoin Faces $89,000 Max Pain in Today’s Options Expiry
Today, March 7, 29,005 Bitcoin contracts with a notional value of $2.54 billion are set to expire. According to Deribit data, Bitcoin’s put-to-call ratio is 0.67. The maximum pain point—the price at which the asset will cause financial losses to the greatest number of holders—is $89,000.
Additionally, Ethereum sees the expiration of 223,395 contracts with a notional value of $481.9 million. The maximum pain point for these contracts is $2,300, with a put-to-call ratio of 0.72.
The maximum pain point in the crypto options market represents the price level that inflicts the most financial discomfort on option holders. At the same time, the put-to-call ratios, below 1 for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicate a higher prevalence of purchase options (calls) over sales options (puts).
Crypto options trading tool Greeks.live provided insights into the current market sentiment. They cited an overall bearish market sentiment, with traders expressing frustration over extreme volatility and choppy price action.
Bitcoin’s sharp intraday swings, such as recent moves of $6,000, have led to what traders describe as “scam both ways” conditions. According to analysts at Greeks.live, this makes it difficult to establish a clear directional trend.
“Most traders are watching the 87,000-89,000 range as key resistance, with 82,000 noted as a recent bottom, though there is significant disagreement on whether a sustainable bottom has been found,” wrote Greeks.live.
Further, the pronounced put skew reflects the broader pessimism, as traders continue to favor downside protection despite occasional upward moves. The analysts also observe that traders are adjusting their strategies amidst the high volatility.
“Several traders are selling calls at 89,000-90,000 range as a preferred strategy in this environment, with one trader reporting they’re at -260% on calls bought at lower levels,” Grreeks.live added.
As a result, many traders are choosing to stay on the sidelines, waiting for clearer signals before committing to new positions.
“With markets on edge, where do you think price action will land? Above or below max pain?” Deribit posed in a post on X (Twitter).
Nonetheless, traders must remember that option expiration has a short-term impact on the underlying asset’s price. Generally, the market will return to its normal state shortly after and possibly even compensate for strong price deviations.
Traders should stay vigilant, analyzing technical indicators and market sentiment to navigate potential volatility effectively. Meanwhile, these developments come after US President Donald Trump signed the strategic Bitcoin reserve order.
Notably, the order was short of specific details, with many questions likely to be answered later during the White House Crypto Summit.
