Bitcoin Short Positions Increase as Market Sentiment Shifts to Fear

Bitcoin recently broke above the $111,000 mark, setting a new all-time high. However, data across major exchanges suggests that traders are growing increasingly wary of a sustained rally.

CoinGlass data indicate that over 53% of Bitcoin positions are currently short, meaning a majority of traders are betting on a price drop. By contrast, just 47.43% of active positions are long.

Most Traders Turn Bearish Despite Bitcoin’s Recent All-Time High

The pattern is mirrored on Binance, where short trades make up 54.05% of open interest, compared to 45.95% for longs.

This growing tilt toward shorts reflects mounting skepticism in the market, despite Bitcoin reaching new highs.

The sentiment shift is reinforced by the latest move from prominent crypto whale James Wynn, who reversed his bullish stance after a multi-million dollar loss.

Wynn had previously maintained an aggressively leveraged 40x long position worth around $1.25 billion but exited after Bitcoin’s price dipped from $109,000 to roughly $107,107.

The trader closed his long exposure at a loss of $13.39 million, with liquidation unfolding in under an hour on May 25.

He has since opened a short position of 3,523 BTC—valued at approximately $377 million—at an entry price of $107,128. The new trade carries a liquidation threshold near $118,380.

James Wynn Bitcoin Bet on Hyperliquid.
James Wynn Bitcoin Bet on Hyperliquid. Source: X/EmberCN

Market analysts have suggested that Wynn’s pivot reflects broader signs of exhaustion in the current bull cycle.

According to blockchain analytics firm Alhpractal, short-term holders (STHs) have begun distributing coins. Historically, a decline in STH supply often signals that Bitcoin is approaching a local top.

The firm noted that the Short-Term Holder Realized Price currently stands at $94,500, which is the last strong support before losses set in.

In contrast, long-term holders (LTHs) remain firm, with their realized price climbing to $33,000—highlighting a widening behavioral gap.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Distribution.
Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Distribution. Source: Alphractal

Alphractal stated that while Bitcoin previously hit record highs under similar conditions in 2021, it warned that the current cycle may be nearing exhaustion.

It added that several macro indicators and historical halving trends point to a possible correction after October 2025.

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Traders Accumulate $381 Million SOL – Is Solana Preparing for a Breakout?

Solana (SOL) has shown limited price movement recently despite a substantial accumulation of the token. The price has remained relatively stable in May, likely due to the altcoin’s overheating. 

While this stagnation is a sign of caution, the market is optimistic, which could lead to potential gains for Solana in the near future.

Solana Investors Continue Accumulation

Over the past 10 days, the balance of Solana on exchanges has dropped by 2.2 million SOL, valued at approximately $381 million. This decline in supply indicates that investors have been accumulating Solana during this period.

The ongoing accumulation is likely driven by a mix of factors, including the broader bullish market sentiment, fear of missing out (FOMO), and the expectation of future price appreciation.

This reduction in supply reflects increased investor confidence, with many choosing to hold rather than sell their SOL. As more investors accumulate the token, the supply on exchanges decreases, potentially creating upward pressure on the price in the long run.

Solana Exchange Balance
Solana Exchange Balance. Source: Glassnode

Solana’s overall market momentum shows signs of potential volatility. Technical indicators, such as the Bollinger Bands, reveal that the bands are narrowing.

This tightening of the bands is a classic signal of a potential squeeze, which often precedes a surge in price volatility.

Should the squeeze result in a bullish breakout, Solana could see a rise in price, especially with the broader market showing positive momentum.

However, the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands also suggests that a period of consolidation could occur before any significant move.

Solana Bollinger Bands
Solana Bollinger Bands.. Source: TradingView

SOL Price Needs To Break Out

Solana’s price has been moving sideways for much of May, likely due to the token overheating in the previous weeks. However, this cooling-off period could create an opportunity for a bullish move.

As the broader market continues to show positive signals and the accumulation trend persists, Solana may rise from its current consolidation phase.

At $173, Solana is testing critical support levels. To initiate a rally, Solana would need to secure $178 as support. If it manages to break above $180 and successfully breaches $188, it could indicate the start of an uptrend.

A successful breakout above these levels would signal further upward potential.

Solana Price Analysis.
Solana Price Analysis.. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if Solana fails to maintain support at $178, it could fall below the $168 mark, potentially reaching $161. Such a decline would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest further downside risk for the token.

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TRUMP Traders Fear $30 Million Liquidations If Meme Coin Rallies 15%

TRUMP, the meme coin that gained attention after the much-discussed TRUMP dinner, has been facing difficult price action in recent days. The token has lost traction, with its price slipping and bearish sentiment creeping into the market. 

As the price continues to struggle, the likelihood of a further decline now outweighs any potential recovery, leaving traders in a precarious position.

TRUMP Traders Face Losses

The liquidation map for TRUMP reveals data concerning traders. Approximately $31 million worth of short contracts are at risk of liquidation if the price of TRUMP rises to $14.52. This is a critical threshold for shorts, as their positions would be liquidated if the price surges beyond this point.

The demand for a price drop signals that many investors no longer believe in the potential for further gains. Instead, they are positioning themselves for a fall in price, suggesting waning optimism in the short-term outlook for TRUMP.

TRUMP Liquidation Map.
TRUMP Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

On the macro level, technical indicators paint a bearish picture for TRUMP. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently slipped below the neutral 50 mark, signaling a shift into the bearish zone. This decline in the RSI indicates that the price of TRUMP is vulnerable to further downward pressure if the negative momentum strengthens.

As the RSI continues to trend lower, TRUMP is increasingly susceptible to price declines. The inability to regain bullish momentum leaves the token in a precarious state, with the potential for further losses if the current trend persists.

TRUMP RSI
TRUMP RSI. Source: TradingView

TRUMP Price Awaits Recovery

At $12.65, TRUMP is currently grappling with a lack of bullish momentum. Despite the hype surrounding the TRUMP dinner, the token has fallen by nearly 15% since the event, indicating that the market has failed to sustain its earlier enthusiasm.

This decline reflects broader skepticism about the token’s future performance.

For TRUMP to recover, it would need to see a significant rally, requiring a nearly 15% increase to reach $14.53. However, given the current market conditions and broader sentiment, this level seems difficult to achieve.

Instead, it is more likely that TRUMP could break through its current support at $12.18, leading to a further drop to $10.97.

TRUMP Price Analysis.
TRUMP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

That said, if there is a sudden shift in demand driven by new investors, TRUMP could see a surge. A strong push past $13.36 could set the stage for a rise to $14.53, triggering a liquidation of $31 million worth of short positions.

Such a move would cause significant volatility in the market, potentially providing a sharp rebound for the altcoin.

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Coinbase’s Base Network Plans Major Upgrades to Challenge Solana

Coinbase-backed Base, an Ethereum Layer 2 network, is set to undergo significant upgrades to make it faster, cheaper, and more decentralized.

Jesse Pollak, the lead developer of Base, posted the network’s upgrade plans on X on May 24.

Base Targets Overhaul That Could Challenge Solana and Sui

The Coinbase executive explained that the improvements would scale Base to meet rising demand from both users and developers

According to Pollak, the team is working to reduce transaction confirmation times to 200 milliseconds and keep network fees consistently under $0.01.

Those two goals are part of a broader plan to process over 200 transactions per second in the short term. Pollak confirmed that Base ultimately aims to reach 1 million TPS.

Pollak also stressed that Base is moving toward a more decentralized architecture. The plan involves shifting key components of the protocol, such as the base state transition logic, directly onto Ethereum’s Layer 1 via smart contracts.

This change would allow multiple independent developers and validators to shape the network’s evolution.

Base is undergoing several infrastructure upgrades to support these enhancements. The goal is to make it the most scalable and user-friendly Ethereum Layer 2 network.

A central part of the upgrade is Flashblocks, a system that enables near-instant “preconfirmation blocks” to give users a faster and smoother experience. The team is already running testnet trials and expects to introduce the update on mainnet by summer 2025.

The Coinbase-backed network also intends to expand its gas throughput. Base is targeting a rise from the current 25 million gas per second (Mgas/s) to 50 Mgas/s in Q2, eventually reaching 250 Mgas/s by the end of the year. This would mark a 100-fold improvement over its original capacity.

Pollak believes these upgrades will significantly enhance Base’s speed and efficiency. Once fully implemented, they could position the network as a strong competitor to chains like Solana and Sui.

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Ethereum Holder Sold Over $570 Million in 48 Hours – What’s Next for ETH?

Ethereum (ETH) has shown little price movement over the past two weeks despite the broader cryptocurrency market displaying bullish momentum. 

This stagnation in ETH’s price comes at a time when selling activity has intensified. These factors suggest a cautious short-term outlook for Ethereum as the week continues.

Ethereum Investors Secure Their Profits

Recent data indicates significant selling pressure on Ethereum. Over the last 48 hours, investors have sold more than 225,779 ETH tokens. This volume translates to a supply worth approximately $576 million, reflecting a rapid pace of offloading.

Such extensive selling indicates reduced investor confidence. Many appear to be securing profits amid doubts about further price appreciation. This behavior often signals a shift toward risk aversion in the short term.

Ethereum Exchange Position Change
Ethereum Exchange Position Change. Source: Glassnode

Technical indicators add to the bearish sentiment surrounding Ethereum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bearish crossover after nearly seven weeks of bullish momentum. This change often precedes a price decline or increased volatility.

Losing bullish momentum weakens Ethereum’s price support. Without fresh buying interest, ETH may face further downward pressure as traders adjust positions in response to technical signals.

Ethereum MACD
Ethereum MACD. Source: TradingView

ETH Price is Stuck

Ethereum is currently trading near $2,553, maintaining a critical support level of around $2,500. The altcoin king has hovered above this threshold for some time, but its ability to hold this level is being tested.

If bearish pressures continue, Ethereum could break below $2,500 and move lower toward the next support at $2,344. However, if buying interest returns, ETH may consolidate between $2,500 and the resistance level of $2,654 for a period.

Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

For the short-term bearish outlook to change, Ethereum must breach the resistance near $2,654. A sustained move beyond this point could push the price up toward $2,814, reigniting investor optimism and supporting further gains.

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Solana Launches New Tool for DeFi KYC and User Verification

The Solana Foundation has launched the Solana Attestation Service (SAS). This is a decentralized identity verification protocol designed to simplify compliance and enhance trust across the network.

Announced on May 23, the tool allows applications to validate off-chain data, such as Know Your Customer (KYC) checks and user accreditation. It does this without directly handling sensitive user information.

Solana Launches Identity Layer Amid Rising Global Crypto Interest

Solana Foundation said SAS introduces cryptographically signed, reusable credentials that trusted parties can issue. Once verified, users can seamlessly interact with multiple platforms without repeating onboarding or verification steps.

“SAS enables compliance, access control, reputation systems, and programmable identity across the Solana ecosystem. It’s a better, easier experience for both end users and builders,” the Solana Foundation stated.

This design removes the need for developers to maintain identity backends, significantly lowering the barrier for integrating compliance features.

According to the Foundation, SAS supports a wide range of use cases. These include DeFi compliance, access control in blockchain games, Sybil resistance in DAOs, and location-based verification for connected devices.

Builders can use the tool to enforce region-based restrictions, establish user uniqueness, and create programmable reputation systems.

SAS marks the first release from the newly established Solana Identity Group, a coalition of contributors including Civic, Solana.ID, Solid, Trusta Labs, and the Foundation itself. The group aims to develop privacy-preserving identity primitives tailored for the Web3 era.

Meanwhile, the launch comes amid rising interest from traditional finance in Solana’s infrastructure. Nzube Ezido, country lead for Solana Superteam NG, described SAS as a critical piece of the network’s evolving financial stack.

“This might be one of the most important primitives launched in a very long time. As we quickly ramp up on the capital market narrative, oracles that keep RWA in sync will need this to offer trust for on-chain to off-chain state,” Ezido stated.

Over the past months, several traditional financial institutions have been exploring the network’s potential for asset tokenization due to its speed, scalability, and low fees.

This is evidenced by the fact that R3—a blockchain infrastructure provider with over $10 billion in assets on its Corda platform—was partnering with Solana. The collaboration aims to onboard clients like HSBC and other major financial institutions to leverage the network’s features.

At the same time, Kraken, a major US-based exchange, announced plans to use Solana’s infrastructure to enable international trading of US-listed stocks.

Market observers said these collaborations reflect Solana’s growing role in bridging real-world finance and blockchain infrastructure.

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BONK’s Upcoming Golden Cross: Will It Spark a 77% Price Rally?

BONK has experienced a notable price rise recently, helping investors recover much of their earlier 2025 losses. 

Despite this progress, the altcoin still has significant ground to cover before fully reversing the year’s downturn. Positive signals from investors and market indicators suggest a rally may be on the horizon.

BONK Nears Bullish Trigger

Technical analysis reveals BONK is approaching a Golden Cross, as the 50-day EMA nears overtaking the 200-day EMA. This crossover is widely regarded as a strong bullish signal, often triggering upward momentum.

For BONK, this event could mark the end of nearly four months of bearish pressure and kickstart a sustained price increase.

Investors are increasingly optimistic, with growing confidence reflected in trading volumes and sentiment. The anticipation of the Golden Cross is fueling buying interest, which is expected to amplify bullish momentum and help BONK reclaim lost value.

BONK EMAs
BONK EMAs. Source: TradingView

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator supports this optimism, showing consistent capital inflows into BONK over recent weeks.

These strong inflows suggest investors are actively accumulating BONK, further strengthening its price foundation. The broader crypto market’s positive trends enhance this momentum, positioning BONK to benefit from growing demand.

As market confidence rises, BONK is likely to continue attracting investments, providing the fuel necessary to sustain its rally. The alignment of bullish technical indicators and market dynamics reinforces the probability of further gains in the near term.

BONK CMF
BONK CMF. Source: TradingView

BONK Price Has A Long Way To Go

Currently, BONK trades at $0.00002130 and faces resistance at $0.00002285. To fully recover the losses recorded since the start of 2025, BONK must climb approximately 77%, reaching $0.00003769.

Although this target may take time, the immediate focus is to breach and hold $0.00002748 as support.

Securing this support level is crucial for maintaining the bullish trajectory. If BONK successfully flips $0.00002748 into a support zone, it will likely continue its upward climb, gradually working toward higher price points and restoring investor confidence.

BONK Price Analysis.
BONK Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, failure to hold the $0.00002285 resistance could trigger a reversal. A drop below $0.00001995 and further to $0.00001779 would undermine the bullish outlook, potentially leading to renewed selling pressure and a return to bearish conditions.

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Celestia’s 3-Month Downtrend Continues as TIA Falls 10% Again – What’s Next?

Celestia (TIA) has struggled to break out of a three-month-long persistent downtrend, with several unsuccessful attempts to sustain gains above key resistance levels. 

This suggests a market lacking strong conviction, with investors hesitant to push the altcoin into a clear upward trajectory.

Celestia Finds Support From Investors

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has shown a modest increase recently but remains just below zero. This implies that while capital inflows are present, overall investor confidence is tentative.

Buyers seem to be attracted by TIA’s relatively low price, yet the momentum isn’t strong enough to decisively break the downtrend.

The CMF’s failure to climb above zero signals lingering caution and suggests that traders are only cautiously entering positions. This tentative interest may result in heightened volatility unless broader market support emerges.

TIA CMF
TIA CMF. Source: TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) spiked briefly into bullish territory but has since retreated below the neutral 50 level. This pattern points to fragile bullish momentum, likely hampered by selling pressure or external market uncertainties.

The drop below 50 reinforces the notion that TIA’s price recovery is precarious. Without renewed buying strength, it faces difficulty overcoming resistance and may continue to languish in subdued trading ranges.

TIA RSI
TIA RSI. Source: TradingView

TIA Price Aims To Jump

Currently trading around $2.54, TIA is testing a critical support level at $2.53. This level is pivotal for stabilizing price action and preventing further losses, especially after failing to surpass the $3.00 resistance during its prolonged downtrend.

A significant upward breakout appears unlikely for now. However, if support at $2.53 holds, TIA might consolidate, potentially building momentum to retest the $3.00 resistance after breaching $2.73.

TIA Price Analysis.
TIA Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a decisive break below $2.53 could intensify bearish pressure, pushing the price down toward $2.27. Such a move would invalidate short-term bullish prospects and increase downside risks.

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Sui Faces Backlash Over Controversial $162 Million Recovery Plan for Cetus

The Sui blockchain is under growing scrutiny after backing a controversial proposal from DeFi platform Cetus Protocol to recover $162 million in frozen assets.

This decision follows a May 21 incident in which Cetus lost over $223 million to a hacker. In response, more than a third of Sui validators froze a portion of the stolen assets by refusing to process transactions from two wallets believed to be tied to the attacker.

Sui’s Support for Cetus Plan Raises Questions on Decentralization

Cetus offered the hacker a $6 million bounty to recover the remaining funds. However, the offer has drawn sharp criticism from community members who argue it is too low.

At the same time, Cetus is pushing for a protocol upgrade to return the frozen funds. The proposal aims to achieve this without altering historical blockchain records or rolling back transactions.

While this approach is framed as a compromise, it has triggered debates over the integrity of Sui’s decentralization.

Meanwhile, the Sui Foundation has agreed to support an on-chain vote but stated it will remain neutral and abstain from participating.

“Earlier today, Cetus called for a community vote on a protocol upgrade to return the frozen funds, without rolling back chain history or reversing transactions. This is an extraordinary request in response to extraordinary need–Cetus’s customer funds are at stake. After consideration, we support their call for an on-chain vote,” Sui stated.

The Foundation also stated that Cetus must use all its available financial resources to compensate affected users until it repays all losses.

Critics warn that freezing smart contracts can be problematic even without reversing the chain. They argue that censoring transactions may also undermine the principle of blockchain immutability.

Sui’s Bounty Offer Draws Outrage

Meanwhile, the Sui Foundation’s decision to offer a $5 million reward has sparked further controversy. The bounty targets anyone who can provide information leading to the hacker’s identification.

On-chain investigator ZachXBT called the bounty “vague” and unhelpful. He argued that such offers only pay upon success and fail to compensate the significant time and effort that investigators invest upfront.

ZachXBT Criticizing the Bounty Offer from Cetus Protocol. Source: X/ZachXBT

Yu Xian, co-founder of blockchain security firm SlowMist, also criticized the offer. He warned that unless a hacker willingly returns the funds or faces pressure to do so, investigators often end up in prolonged chases with little hope of resolution.

“The investment cost of tracking services is very uncertain, such as threat intelligence cooperation network resource coordination, stolen user communication, law enforcement communication, investigation and evidence collection, evidence fixation, negotiation promotion, analysis reports, etc. If there is no upfront cost or deep enough cooperation resources to guarantee, it is difficult to continue to advance,” Xian added.

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PI Decouples from Bitcoin as Recovering Above $1 Looks More Difficult

Pi Network (PI) has recently faced a challenging period in its price action. After dipping below the $1 mark, the altcoin’s recovery appears to be losing momentum. 

Unlike previous rebounds, current market conditions suggest that Pi Network might find it more difficult to regain the $1.00 price level.

Pi Network Is Losing Traction

The Average Directional Index (ADX) currently sits at 32, which is notably above the 25 threshold. This reading indicates that the prevailing trend is gaining strength. In this case, Pi Network’s trend is downward, reinforcing bearish sentiment among traders and investors.

Further evidence of this strengthening downtrend is visible through the Parabolic SAR indicator. The dots are positioned above the candlesticks, a classic signal that the price is likely to continue falling. Such technical indicators often prompt cautious trading behavior and can increase selling pressure.

Pi Network Parabolic SAR and ADX
Pi Network Parabolic SAR and ADX. Source: TradingView

Pi Network’s price has shown a weakening correlation with Bitcoin, currently measured at 0.25 and steadily declining. This low and falling correlation suggests that PI is starting to behave more independently rather than mirroring Bitcoin’s movements.

This decoupling is significant because Bitcoin recently set a new all-time high (ATH) and may continue to rise. However, Pi Network is less likely to capitalize on Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, given its diverging price dynamics.

The falling correlation implies that PI could struggle to follow Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.

Pi Network Correlation With Bitcoin
Pi Network Correlation With Bitcoin. Source: TradingView

PI Price Aims For A Rally

At its current price of $0.77, Pi Network would need to rise approximately 28% to reach the $1.00 mark again. Given the indicators pointing to a strengthening downtrend and weakening correlation with Bitcoin, this price target seems ambitious in the near term.

Heightened bearishness may erode investor confidence, leading to increased selling. Should the price break below the critical support level of $0.71, Pi could face a further decline, potentially sliding down to $0.61. Such a drop would deepen the bearish outlook.

Pi Network Price Analysis.
Pi Network Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if broader market conditions improve, Pi Network might break through resistance levels at $0.78 and $0.87. Surpassing these points could invalidate the current bearish thesis and pave the way for a renewed push toward the $1.00 price target.

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