The crypto markets have triggered a strong recovery phase, but the Cardano price has remained stuck within a range. The token has been consolidating within a tight range between $0.66 and $0.73, suggesting a massive drop in the volatility. The trading activity has dropped significantly but it does point towards a potential upswing, as a couple of reasons indicate that the ADA price rally is about to go 10x from here.
The platform is about to undergo a revolutionary upgrade called the ‘Loas’ upgrade, which aims to transform the network’s capabilities. This upgrade is set to enhance the transaction speed while maintaining the decentralization. The upgrade targets the DeFi and NFT applications as the NFT ecosystem is expanding at a greater pace. On the other hand, the institutional adoption is expected to grow after the inclusion of ADA into the National crypto reserve and with the launch of an ADA ETF.
In the times when the development activity of Cardano has surpassed Ethereum, when will the ADA price revive a strong upswing beyond $1?
The ADA price is stuck within a descending triangle and seems to have found a strong base at the 50-day MA at $0.673. Meanwhile, the RSI remains elevated, which suggests the ascending consolidation may continue. With this, the price may continue to rise and reach the resistance at above $0.7. This could keep the 50-day MA elevated and further help the token to undergo a bullish crossover with the 200-day MA called the Golden cross. With this, the price is expected to break above the pattern and secure the levels above $1.
The third-generation token has surged over $1 multiple times before but the bulls failed to keep up the rally above the gains. However, the MACD shows a drop in the buying pressure while the levels are heading for a bearish crossover. This could keep the Cardano consolidated within a range for a while, followed by a massive breakout once the volume rises in favor of the bulls. Therefore, the ADA price is primed to rise as the markets are displaying huge potential of maintaining a strong upswing in the coming days.
Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee to understand why the share price of Cantor Equity Partners Inc. (CEP) is seeing downside pressure while the share price of Strategy’s stock (MSTR) is increasing. CEP is the company behind 21 Capital, a newly established firm imitating Strategy’s Bitcoin model.
Crypto News of the Day: Max Keiser Issues 21 Capital Warning as CEP Shares Sink
Twenty One Capital’s ambitions to become the next major corporate Bitcoin player are under fire. The share price of its holding company, Cantor Equity Partners Inc., is bearing the brunt of overhead pressure.
The CEP stock price is down by over 6% in the last five trading days. Meanwhile, the share price of its market rival, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), is up by over 7%.
Headed by James Mallers, Twenty One Capital presented as Strategy’s inadvertent market rival, or peer. It introduced BTC-native metrics like Bitcoin Per Share (BPS), effectively challenging Strategy’s model, where investors have indirect exposure to Bitcoin through MSTR stock.
In a recent US Crypto News publication, Bitcoin pioneer Max Keiser said institutions must “Saylorize” or die. Nevertheless, despite Twenty One Capital extending the “Saylorization” trend, the CEP stock price continues to endure downward pressure while Strategy’s stock price is gaining.
Against this backdrop, investors hoped that hype around Cantor Equity Partners Inc.’s planned SPAC merger could reverse the trend, but this appears to be false hope. Notably, the merger would see CEP stock listed under the new ticker XXI.
“Cantor Equity Partners (CEP) announced a merger with bitcoin treasury company Twenty One Capital in a $3.6 billion merger,” reports indicated.
The announcement propelled shares of the SPAC vehicle, Cantor Equity Partners (CEP), sharply higher, but now momentum is fading.
Investors who hoped for a post-merger rally have watched the stock drift downward toward the mid-$20s over the past five days.
BeInCrypto contacted Max Keiser for insights into why this is happening, with the Bitcoin maxi blaming it on Twenty One Capital’s model mimicking Strategy.
Mimicking Strategy Could Be Detrimental, Max Keiser Says
According to Max Keiser, Twenty One Capital’s attempt to mimic Strategy could prove far riskier and less effective.
“There’s a big difference between a company with a Bitcoin treasury strategy and a Bitcoin strategy company,” Keiser told BeInCrypto.
Keiser says Strategy is leveraging its heft as a company with lots of Bitcoin, harnessing volatility to buy more BTC. However, Cantor Equity Partners Inc. or Twenty One Capital does not meet that standard.
“CEP is a company that is looking to buy lots of Bitcoin, which is very volatile. I question if they can effectively harness that volatility like Strategy does,” he added.
Twenty One Capital is the third-largest corporate Bitcoin holder after Strategy and Bitcoin mining firm MARA Holdings. Data on Bitcoin Treasuries shows Strategy holds 568,840 BTC, while MARA holds 48,237 Bitcoin tokens.
Meanwhile, after Tether acquired 4,812.2 Bitcoin (now held in an escrow wallet as Twenty One Capital prepares to complete a SPAC merger with Cantor Equity Partners), Twenty One Capital holds 36,312 Bitcoin tokens.
Corporate Bitcoin holders by portfolio size. Source: Bitcoin Treasuries.
In the interview with BeInCrypto, Keiser articulated that trying to copy Strategy’s model without the infrastructure, discipline, or scale puts 21 Capital in a precarious position.
“A Bitcoin strategy company is inherently riskier, with no clear path to be as competitive as Strategy in leveraging market volatility to capture more Bitcoin,” he stated.
Further, despite the surge in interest from investors hoping to jump on what appeared to be the “next big BTC play, Keiser believes the long-term winner is already clear.
“Ultimately, the big winner will continue to be Strategy, with dozens of knock-offs trying to catch them, failing to generate the same returns, but increasing demand for Bitcoin substantially. That ends up benefiting STRATEGY proportionately more than the knock-offs, with less risk,” he concluded.
This aligns with a sentiment from Steven Lubka, the Head of Swan Private Wealth. As BeInCrypto noted in one of the US Crypto News publications, Lubka said the inadvertent competition between Twenty One Capital and Strategy will ultimately bode well for Strategy.
“Ironically, someone throwing the gauntlet at Microstrategy, ‘we want to become the most successful company in Bitcoin, ‘ Only makes Microstrategy more valuable,” Lubka remarked.
Charts of the Day
Strategy’s MSTR stock price performance. Source: Google Finance
This chart shows Strategy Inc.’s stock price rose by $28.61 or 7.28% over the past five days, closing at $421.61 on May 14.
Cantor Equity Partners (CEP) stock price performance. Source: Google Finance
This chart shows a 5-day decline in Cantor Equity Partners Inc.’s stock price, down by 6.22% since May 7. CEP closed at $29.84 on Tuesday and is attempting a slight pre-market recovery.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Here’s a summary of more US crypto news to follow today:
The XRP price continues to rise this week, aided by numerous bullish Ripple news items, including the growth of RLUSD stablecoin. It rallied by 7% in the last seven days, and has jumped by over 37% from its lowest level in April.
Ripple Labs and community members hope that RLUSD will gain market share from other stablecoins like Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC). This article explores how high the value of XRP would get if RLUSD captured 80% of Tether’s market cap.
XRP Price Would Rise if RLUSD Got 80% of Tether’s Market Cap
A potential bullish catalyst for the XRP price is the growth of Ripple USD into a bigger force in the stablecoin industry. Its stablecoin now has a market cap of $294 million, making it the 20th biggest player in the sector.
It is also a much smaller coin compared to Tether, which has over $146 billion in tokens in circulation. As such, unless something major happens, it is highly unlikely that RLUSD will dethrone USDT.
However, there is a likelihood that stablecoin will continue gaining market share over time. This will accelerate now that Ripple’s legal issues have been resolved, a move that will help it secure more deals with US banks and other financial services.
For RLUSD to gain a 80% market share of Tether, its market cap needs to rise from $293 million today to $116.8 billion. Such a move would make it the second-largest stablecoin, surpassing USD Coin, which is valued at $62 billion.
The XRP price would likely perform well if such a move were to happen, as it would make Ripple a highly profitable company. Tether generated over $13 billion in profits last year, meaning that RLUSD would have generated approximately $10 billion. Some of these funds would be used to burn the XRP token.
Ripple Price Technical Analysis
The most likely XRP forecast is where the coin surges if its stablecoin market cap soars. However, it is somewhat challenging to pinpoint the exact price target. That’s because the Ripple USD’s growth to $116 billion market cap will likely take some time.
The weekly chart presents a bullish outlook for the XRP price. It has surpassed the crucial resistance level at $1.9857, its highest point in 2021. This price was the upper side of the cup-and-handle-like pattern that formed between 2021 and late last year.
XRP price has also received important support at the 50-week moving average. Therefore, the initial target will be the year-to-date high of $3.4, which is about 55% higher than the current level.
The Fibonacci extension can help you identify the next key level. By joining last year’s low of $0.288 and the all-time high, the extension brings the Ripple price target to $4.7187, up by 115% from the current level. Such a move would push its market cap to over $400 billion. It is also possible that the coin would surge to $17, where its market cap would get to $1 trillion if the RLUSD stablecoin had such a growth.
XRP Price Chart
The value of XRP will become invalid if the price drops below the psychological level at $1.5. Such a drop will increase the likelihood of it falling below $1.
As Q2 began, the crypto market gained momentum, with many tokens showing strong performance in the latter half of April. Following Bitcoin’s lead, most altcoins have seen significant improvements, posting triple-digit gains. Some altcoins are even approaching their all-time highs, reflecting increased market optimism and growth.
BeInCrypto has analysed three such altcoins that are close to forming new all-time highs in the coming month.
Walrus (WAL)
WAL has surged by 50% over the past week, reaching a price of $0.622. This strong uptick also saw the altcoin hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $0.690. The recent gains reflect growing investor interest and confidence in the altcoin’s performance in the market.
Currently, WAL is just 11% away from breaching its ATH and potentially forming a new high at $0.750. However, this progress depends on sustaining the bullish momentum. If the market conditions remain favorable and buying pressure continues, WAL may break through this resistance and push toward the $0.750 target.
If investors decide to sell early and the bullish momentum fades, WAL could struggle to maintain its upward trend. A failure to break the $0.634 resistance level could lead to a drop to $0.546. This would invalidate the current bullish outlook and signal a potential correction in the altcoin’s price.
Saros (SAROS)
SAROS has not posted significant gains this month but did manage to hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $0.1712 before falling to $0.1311 at the time of writing. Despite the drop, the altcoin remains within a range that could allow for potential recovery and further price growth.
Currently, SAROS is facing resistance at $0.1344, and breaking through this level is crucial for the altcoin to return to its ATH of $0.1712. A successful breach would open the path toward $0.2000, providing the altcoin with a strong opportunity for continued upward movement if the bullish momentum sustains.
If SAROS fails to breach the $0.1344 resistance, it could remain consolidated above $0.1153. A failure to hold above this level would put the bullish outlook at risk, potentially leading to further downward movement and invalidating any potential for short-term growth.
BNB
BNB is currently priced at $609, needing a 30% rise to reach its all-time high (ATH) of $793. However, achieving this requires strong market conditions and investor support, both of which have been lacking throughout April. A sustained rally would be crucial for the altcoin to reclaim its ATH.
Currently trapped under a nearly five-month downtrend, BNB faces significant resistance. A 30% rally would be needed to break through this trend and reach $793. If BNB can surpass the $700 mark, it would confirm that the altcoin is on track to challenge its previous ATH and establish a new high.
However, BNB is struggling to gain traction among investors, making such a rise difficult. Failing to breach the $618 resistance could result in a decline, with BNB potentially falling below $600. If this occurs, BNB could slide toward $576, further invalidating the bullish outlook and prolonging its downtrend.
XRP
XRP is breaking out of a descending wedge pattern that has held since the start of the year. Currently trading at $2.28, the altcoin is heading toward the $2.40 resistance level. A successful breakout would indicate the potential for continued upward momentum, boosting optimism among investors.
Despite the recent surge, XRP is still more than 48% away from its all-time high (ATH) of $3.40. A sustained rally or bull run could propel XRP toward its ATH, especially if the current breakout is confirmed. Successfully flipping $2.56 into support would indicate that further gains are likely.
If XRP fails to breach the $2.40 resistance, a price reversal could occur, leading to a decline back to $2.02. Such a move would invalidate the bullish outlook, and XRP could fall back into the descending wedge pattern.
