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Made in USA coins have underperformed in the first 100 days of Trump’s new term, with all five leading US-linked assets down at least 20% since January 20. This comes despite the administration’s more crypto-friendly tone and a recent wave of regulatory relief.
In contrast, non–USA coins like Bitcoin and TRON have held up better, showing more resilience even as Ethereum and Dogecoin posted steep losses. The divergence highlights the impact of broader policy pressures—such as tariffs—potentially offsetting domestic crypto reforms.
Made in USA Coins Struggle Under the Trump Era
All five leading “Made in USA” coins have declined by at least 20% since January 20, the day of Trump’s inauguration. While recent short-term gains have helped improve sentiment, the broader 100-day trend remains negative for these U.S.-linked assets.
This performance comes despite expectations of a more favorable environment for crypto under the current administration.
Solana (SOL) is the weakest performer in this group, down over 41% since Trump took office, even after gaining more than 18% in the past 30 days.
On the other hand, SUI has rallied 58% in the same period, supported by strong growth in meme coin trading and decentralized exchange (DEX) volume. Recently, it became the fifth-largest chain by DEX activity.
ADA, LINK, and XRP have all posted modest gains between 7% and 10% over the past month, but remain down more than 24% in the first 100 days of the administration.
Made in USA Coins Performance Since January 20. Source: Messari.
The overall performance of Made in USA coins has diverged from initial expectations following Trump’s return, which included promises of a more crypto-friendly stance.
While the SEC, now under Paul Atkins, has dropped several cases against crypto firms, removing regulatory overhang, other policy developments may limit the upside.
In particular, ongoing trade pressures tied to Trump’s tariff strategy may create additional headwinds for U.S.-linked crypto assets.
Despite ETH and DOGE Losses, Non–USA Coins Hold Up Better
Among the five largest non–USA coins, only two have posted significant losses over the last 100 days. Ethereum (ETH) has fallen by more than 43%, and Dogecoin (DOGE) has fallen by nearly 51%.
These declines stand out sharply, especially given the more stable performance of other top assets. Bitcoin (BTC) is down just 6% in the same period, while BNB has slipped by nearly 12%.
Short-term trends offer a more balanced view. Bitcoin has gained nearly 16% over the past 30 days, reflecting stronger momentum than its peers.
Biggest Coins (Excluding Made in USA Coins) Performance Since January 20. Source: Messari.
DOGE is up more than 7% in the same window, while BNB and ETH have remained largely flat. TRON (TRX) is the only top coin outside the US-linked group to post gains over both timeframes, up 7.5% over the last 100 days.
The broader group of global assets has fared relatively better than Made in USA coins. Despite steep losses in ETH and DOGE, the group has outperformed Made in USA coins like SOL and ADA, many of which have dropped more than 20–40% in the same timeframe.
This divergence suggests that while regulatory sentiment in the US may improve, macro and policy-specific headwinds could weigh more heavily on domestic crypto assets.
Stellar (XLM) enters May 2025 in a fragile position, underperforming Bitcoin and other altcoins both in price action and trading volume. Despite following BTC’s general trajectory, XLM has failed to capture the same upside, while still participating fully in market corrections.
Volume has also collapsed from early-year highs, highlighting a drop in market interest and liquidity. With price sitting just above a key support and a potential death cross on the horizon, Stellar faces a critical month that could define its near-term trend.
XLM Lags Behind Bitcoin With Asymmetric Volatility
While Bitcoin has climbed over 14%, XLM has managed only a 2.8% gain, falling behind BTC and other altcoins like Hedera, which have shown stronger bullish reactions.
This muted upside signals a lack of conviction among traders and raises questions about Stellar’s momentum in the current market cycle.
Normally, altcoins are expected to amplify Bitcoin’s movements both ways: outperforming during rallies and underperforming in downturns. Stellar, however, only shows downside volatility without the upside benefit.
This imbalance makes the token vulnerable, signaling weaker market confidence and potentially limiting its appeal in a risk-on environment.
Stellar Trading Volume Collapses From Early 2025 Highs
This is well below previous highs—$480 million on April 7 and $930 million on March 3—showing a clear downtrend in market participation.
Declining volume often signals weakening interest from traders and can limit price momentum, especially in a token that already underperforms on the upside.
Daily volume frequently surpassed $1 billion in January and February, even reaching above $2 billion. That level of liquidity helped fuel stronger price action and volatility.
With current figures sitting at a fraction of those peaks, Stellar faces a market backdrop that lacks energy and conviction—potentially capping any meaningful rallies in the near term.
Stellar at Make-or-Break Support as Death Cross Looms
Stellar is hovering just above a key support level at $0.26, a zone that could determine its next major move. The EMA lines are tightening, and a potential death cross may be forming where short-term EMAs cross below long-term ones.
If the $0.26 support is lost and the death cross confirms, XLM could slide further toward $0.239 and even $0.20, signaling a deeper bearish shift.
Conversely, bullish momentum could return if Stellar price manages to bounce and break through the $0.297 resistance.
Moving past that level could open the door to $0.349 and $0.375, with further upside potential toward $0.44 and even $0.495 if volume and sentiment improve.
HBAR noted a 20% rally during Wednesday’s intraday trading session. This double-digit gain was fueled by Nasdaq’s filing of a 19b-4 form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to list and trade Grayscale’s spot HBAR exchange-traded fund (ETF).
However, the rally appears to be losing momentum. Market indicators suggest that bearish sentiment is strengthening, putting HBAR at risk of losing recent gains.
HBAR Faces Downward Pressure as Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
HBAR’s negative Balance of Power (BoP) reading indicates weakening buying pressure among its spot market participants. At press time, this indicator, which compares the strength of an asset’s bulls and bears, is below zero at -0.09.
When an asset’s BoP is negative, its sellers exert more control over price action. This suggests weakening buying pressure in the HBAR market and hints at a potential continuation of the bearish momentum.
Moreover, HBAR’s Long/Short ratio indicates an increasing dominance of short positions, confirming the bearish sentiment among its futures traders. As of this writing, this stands at 0.98.
The Long/Short ratio measures the proportion of long positions (bets on price increases) to short positions (bets on price declines) in the market. When the ratio is below 1, it indicates that short positions outnumber long positions. It highlights the bearish sentiment among HBAR holders and increases the downward pressure on its price.
HBAR’s Fate Hangs in the Balance
HBAR exchanges hands at $0.24 at press time. On the daily chart, it trades above support formed at $0.22. If bearish pressure gains momentum, this level may fail to hold. HBAR’s price could decline further to $0.17 if the bulls cannot defend this support level.
Conversely, a positive shift in market sentiment could prevent this. If new demand trickles into the market, HBAR’s price could breach resistance at $0.26 and rally toward $0.31.
