This includes a rising capital inflow into the Bitcoin network, with total and speculative capital flows recently bottoming out. The alignment of these flows creates a solid, bullish environment for the asset.
“BTC fundamentals have turned bullish, not a bad setup to break all-time highs,” he stated.
Additionally, Woo highlighted that Bitcoin’s liquidity is deepening, as evidenced by his downward-trending Risk Model. This downtrend suggests market liquidity has returned. Therefore, future price drops will likely be smaller and less severe, reducing the risk of sharp sell-offs.
“All dips are for buying under the present regime. In the very short term, there’s good chances of dips,” Woo asserted.
Willy Woo’s Risk Signal Model for Bitcoin. Source: X/Woonomic
The analyst further noted that Bitcoin has already reclaimed medium-term price targets of $90,000 and $93,000. In addition, a new interim target at $103,000 has formed, suggesting that Bitcoin will likely reach this level before pushing toward the $108,000 all-time high.
He clarified that these targets are supported by sustained capital inflows rather than mere speculative trading, strengthening the case for a durable upward trajectory.
This implies that the coin’s current price is far above its typical range. When an asset moves this far above its average, it’s considered overextended.
“It’ll be hard to move upwards with decent momentum due to overextension,” Woo explained.
According to Woo, this metric indicates that upward momentum may be limited in the near term. Instead, the most likely outcomes are moving sideways or a slow, gradual increase rather than a fast rally.
BeInCrypto data showed that the coin’s value has recovered by 7.7% over the past week. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $94,125, representing a minor downtick of 0.07% over the past day.
Cardano (ADA) has been experiencing a period of fluctuating price action. Despite efforts to recover, ADA has faced challenges in maintaining its upward momentum.
While the altcoin has held onto an uptrend since the beginning of the month, it now faces a challenge. Traders may be pulled back from participating, potentially stalling any further price recovery.
Cardano Traders Are In Trouble
The sentiment around Cardano (ADA) is mixed. According to the Liquidation Map, short traders are at a disadvantage if ADA continues its uptrend. A breach of $0.77 would lead to the liquidation of approximately $20 million worth of short contracts.
This could result in upward pressure on the price as shorts are forced to close their positions.
However, without strong bullish momentum, this upside potential may not materialize, keeping traders cautious. While short traders could face substantial losses if ADA rises, this risk does not necessarily mean that the uptrend is sustainable.
Overall, Cardano’s market momentum reflects a sense of uncertainty. The number of active addresses on the network has recently dropped to a four-month low of 20,700. This decline in investor participation indicates a lack of enthusiasm among ADA holders. Many investors are seemingly pulling back, waiting for clearer signals of recovery before re-engaging with the token.
This lack of participation has had a negative impact on Cardano’s liquidity and transaction volume, further influencing its price dynamics. The decreasing number of active addresses also suggests that traders are hesitant to invest in ADA, which could slow down any potential price recovery.
Cardano is currently trading at $0.70, holding above the support level of $0.70, and the uptrend line has supported the price since early March. The immediate target for ADA is to breach the $0.77 resistance level, but this remains a challenge. Achieving this would require a rise of approximately 9%, which may be difficult under the current market conditions.
In the absence of a broader market rally, ADA is likely to remain consolidated under the $0.77 resistance. Should the altcoin fail to hold the $0.70 support, it could experience a decline, potentially falling to $0.62. This would invalidate the recent bullish outlook, further dampening investor confidence.
If ADA successfully breaches the $0.77 resistance, it could rise to $0.85, thereby invalidating the bearish thesis. Such a move would likely signal a more sustained recovery, as it would clear a significant hurdle for Cardano.
Welcome to the US Morning Crypto News Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee to see what experts say about Bitcoin’s (BTC) price amid recovery efforts. The status of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty is progressively becoming questionable, with institutional influence adding to the concerns.
Can Strategy’s $555 Million BTC Purchase Send Bitcoin Past $90,000?
Michael Saylor, the chairman of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), revealed the firm’s latest Bitcoin purchase, comprising 6,556 BTC tokens worth approximately $555.8 million. With this, the firm has attained a Bitcoin yield of 12.1% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025.
“MSTR has acquired 6,556 BTC for ~$555.8 million at ~$84,785 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 12.1% YTD 2025. As of 4/20/2025, Strategy holds 538,200 BTC acquired for ~$36.47 billion at ~$67,766 per bitcoin,” Saylor shared.
Strategy uses the Bitcoin Yield YTD to measure the BTC holdings per share increase. This model has been a key part of their financial strategy firm since their first Bitcoin purchase in August 2020.
This acquisition aligns with a bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin, which is steadily nearing the $90,000 milestone, as the recent US Crypto News indicated.
Despite a mild recovery in Bitcoin prices this week, up by over 3% in the last 24 hours, it is worth noting that Bitcoin is highly sensitive to economic indicators.
Similarly, the global market is highly sensitive to monetary policies set by major economies, particularly the US. BeInCrypto contacted Paybis founder and CEO Innokenty Isers for insights on the current market outlook, particularly for Bitcoin.
“Given the strong concentration of investors in technology stocks, shifts in trade policies and government interventions that influence key indices like the Nasdaq Composite create ripple effects across financial markets,” Isers told BeInCrypto.
“With its relatively higher volatility, risk-averse investors may favor alternative inflation hedges instead of Bitcoin,” he added.
Iners expressed cognizance of the longer stretch of the trade war and the potential inflation that will emerge. Based on this, he noted that capital allocation to Bitcoin as a hedge against economic instability might be reduced.
Strategy’s Stock Premium Narrows as Bitcoin Hype Cools
Meanwhile, Strategy has seen a significant shift in its stock valuation dynamics over the past year. Saylor recently revealed that as of Q1 2025, over 13,000 institutions and 814,000 retail accounts held MSTR directly.
“An estimated 55 million beneficiaries have indirect exposure through ETFs, mutual funds, pensions, and insurance portfolios,” Saylor added.
According to data on Bitcointreasuries.net, the premium investors once paid for exposure to its Bitcoin holdings has notably narrowed.
Specifically, the NAV multiplier, a measure of how much the stock trades above the value of Strategy’s Bitcoin assets, has decreased compared to last year. This indicates that MSTR is now trading closer to the actual value of its Bitcoin reserves.
In 2024, investors were willing to pay a substantial premium for MSTR shares, driven by Bitcoin’s hype and MicroStrategy’s aggressive accumulation strategy.
“I don’t know if buying strategy equity is a good idea for the government. The stock would just pump, and it’s likely trading at a premium over NAV with a higher risk profile. Also, I believe the gov will find it difficult to find institutions that would be willing to sell their BTC in large quantities,” an analyst said recently.
The shrinking NAV multiplier suggests a more cautious market sentiment. Analysts believe this reflects a shift toward valuing MicroStrategy based on its fundamentals rather than speculative Bitcoin enthusiasm.
This suggests a maturing market approach to the company’s unique investment strategy.
This chart shows how Strategy’s stock price (blue) moves with Bitcoin price (orange). When Bitcoin goes up, MicroStrategy usually follows, but it swings even more.
However, the NAV multiplier has narrowed compared to last year, meaning MicroStrategy’s stock is now trading closer to the actual value of its Bitcoin holdings.
Last year, investors paid a bigger premium for exposure to MSTR, but that gap has shrunk. This suggests a more cautious sentiment or a shift toward valuing the company based on fundamentals rather than just Bitcoin hype.
Accumulation signals from whale activity and consolidation at $0.60 indicate a possible rally for Pi Network, despite concerns about the lack of exchange listings and use cases.
