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XRP is up 7% over the last week of April, but May 2025 could bring even bigger moves as major catalysts line up. Key metrics like NUPL and active addresses show a market at a crossroads, with strong optimism and warning signs.
Hype around ETF approvals has stirred volatility, and real institutional inflows could decide XRP’s next major trend. Traders should prepare for a month where both sharp rallies and deep corrections remain firmly on the table.
XRP NUPL Signals Rising Confidence, but ETF Rumors Stir Volatility
XRP Long-Term Holders Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is currently at 0.73. This places it firmly in the “Belief – Denial” stage of the market cycle. The indicator measures the average unrealized profit among long-term holders.
It has been stuck in this zone since March 27, over a month ago. In general, NUPL values above 0.75 indicate “Euphoria—greed.”
Readings between 0.5 and 0.75 show belief that prices can rise, but there is also the risk of denial if momentum weakens.
The current value has risen from 0.68 three weeks ago to 0.73 today. Long-term XRP holders are seeing larger paper gains. Still, the market could soon face a critical moment where either continuation or a correction emerges.
Rumors about an SEC-approved spot XRP ETF have recently caused confusion, adding more fuel to market volatility. In reality, only ProShares’ leveraged and short XRP Futures ETFs were approved to begin trading on April 30. A true spot ETF has not been approved.
Although the futures approval is seen as a positive step for XRP’s long-term legitimacy, spreading false information has damaged investor confidence. It has also created unnecessary instability.
Some experts predict that a future spot ETF could eventually drive up to $100 billion in capital inflows into XRP. However, until that happens, volatility driven by rumors and miscommunication remains a major risk for the token.
XRP User Engagement Slows as Active Addresses Stay Below 200,000
XRP’s 7-day active addresses have dropped significantly, currently at 147,000, compared to their all-time high of 1.22 million, which reached March 19.
Monitoring active addresses is crucial because it offers real-time insight into user engagement, transaction volume, and overall ecosystem health—lower address activity often signals waning interest, reduced transaction flow, and a softer foundation for sustained price growth.
Since April 1, XRP’s 7-day active address count has consistently stayed below 200,000, reinforcing that user activity has yet to recover fully.
While the drop does not necessarily mean a major price collapse is imminent, it highlights a critical point: strong rallies are often backed by growing network participation.
Without a meaningful pickup in active addresses, XRP could struggle to maintain momentum or ignite a new bullish phase soon.
XRP ETF Approval Could Trigger 49% Rally, But Downside Risks Remain
The final approval of a Spot XRP ETF could become a major catalyst for the token’s price. It would potentially unlock significant institutional inflows. Recently, the world’s first XRP ETF began trading in Brazil.
Experts predict that, if real demand follows the approval like it did with Bitcoin, XRP price could rally sharply. The next major upside target is $3.40, representing a 49% increase from current levels.
This move would be driven by fresh inflows, greater mainstream acceptance, and a tightening supply as more investors gain direct exposure through regulated channels.
On the downside, if momentum fails to recover and a strong downtrend takes hold, it could face a sharp correction. A break below the psychological $2.00 level would expose the token to deeper losses, with the next major support around $1.61.
Such a move would imply a 29% drop from current prices, reflecting a scenario where optimism around ETFs fades and selling pressure takes over.
In this case, XRP could remain stuck in a broader consolidation or bearish phase until stronger catalysts appear.
When it comes to crypto, bold predictions are often met with skepticism.
But Standard Chartered Bank has thrown down a big one: BNB (Binance Coin) could hit a massive $2,800 by 2028. For a coin that’s usually flying under the radar, this prediction is both surprising and intriguing.
What’s behind this claim? Let’s dive in together.
Can BNB Really Reach $2,800?
Let’s be honest – a nearly fivefold increase in BNB’s price over the next three years sounds pretty wild. At the time of writing, BNB is trading at $604.8. So, to think it could shoot up to $2,800? That’s a pretty big leap.
But here’s where it gets interesting. Standard Chartered’s forecast is based on something solid: a stable pattern that’s been in place since May 2021, where BNB has moved almost in lockstep with Bitcoin and Ethereum.
It’s this consistent correlation that gives the prediction some weight, making BNB a potential benchmark for how the broader crypto market moves.
Still not convinced?
Understanding Standard Chartered’s Prediction for BNB
So, what’s driving this bullish outlook?
Stable Correlation: BNB has been tracking Bitcoin and Ethereum’s performance for years now. If that pattern holds, BNB could very well see a price surge, just like BTC and ETH.
Binance’s Dominance: Binance is one of the biggest centralized exchanges in the world. As long as it stays on top, BNB’s value will likely continue to benefit from the exchange’s massive influence in the market.
BNB as a Benchmark: Standard Chartered also suggests that BNB could become a reference point for investors looking to track the overall crypto market. Instead of always focusing on Bitcoin or Ethereum, BNB could emerge as a solid alternative.
But, of course, there’s a catch.
The crypto market is known for its volatility, so while these factors make sense, there’s always a chance things could shift. Can BNB continue to follow in the footsteps of BTC and ETH, or will the market take an unexpected turn?
BNB ETF: A Potential Boost to Adoption!
And the story continues…
VanEck, a major U.S. asset manager, just filed with the SEC for a BNB spot ETF, the first one ever. This is a huge step, especially as the race for altcoin ETFs heats up. If this ETF gets approved, it could give BNB a significant boost by making it more accessible to institutional investors.
This would likely lead to more adoption, which could, in turn, push BNB’s price even higher.
BNB’s current price is sitting at $604.8, but with an ETF on the horizon, we could see that price rise as more people pile in. The added exposure from an ETF might be the catalyst that helps BNB reach its potential target of $2,800.
Let’s wait to see if the stars align as well as SC hopes!
The post Can BNB Hit $2,800? Standard Chartered’s Crypto Prediction Will Get You Thinking appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
When it comes to crypto, bold predictions are often met with skepticism. But Standard Chartered Bank has thrown down a big one: BNB (Binance Coin) could hit a massive $2,800 by 2028. For a coin that’s usually flying under the radar, this prediction is both surprising and intriguing. What’s behind this claim? Let’s dive in …
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