Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap BTC has acquired 3,724 Bitcoin for about $387 million to strengthen its balance sheet. The Bitcoin purchase for its balance sheet followed Monday’s announcement of a proposed $1 billion quest to accumulate more BTCs via a strategic merger with Columbus Circle Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: CCCM).
The company has already managed to raise $750 million, after selling $516.5 million in equity and $235 million in convertible notes. As a result, the ProCap BTC investors have a direct exposure to the flagship coin and in a regulated manner.
“If you can’t beat it, you buy it,” the announcement highlighted.
Rising Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin
According to market data from BitcoinTreasuries, 245 entities now hold more than 3.45 million BTCs for their respective treasury management. The palpable success of Strategy and MetaplanetMetaplanet has convinced other companies globally to follow in the same path.
The pro-crypto legislations in the United States have helped attract more institutional investors into the Bitcoin market. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve has identified BTC as a digital gold, thus heavily influencing states that have implemented strategic Bitcoin reserves bills.
The undeniable success of the U.S. spot BTC ETFs is a clear indication of the high demand of the flagship coin by institutional investors.
What Next for BTC Price?
Bitcoin price has been hovering around a crucial crossroads that could either result in a parabolic rally or further midterm correction. Despite the notable high demand for Bitcoin by institutional investors, the flagship coin faces intense selling pressure from over $12 billion in short leveraged positions entered around $112k.
Consequently, if the BTC price does not consistently closes above $110k in the coming weeks, a retrace below $100k will be inevitable in the next three months.
Bitcoin (BTC) is less than 5% away from revisiting its ATH as the Federal Reserve’s September rate cut odds skyrocket to 94%. Coupled with bullish technical indicators on multiple timeframes, the BTC price appears poised for an uptrend. Is $118K the next all-time high for BTC? Let’s explore price analysis and key levels to watch.
On April 11, 2025, China’s State Council Tariff Commission issued an official notice announcing an increase in additional tariffs on imported US goods—from 84% to 125%. The new rate takes effect on April 12.
This move directly responds to the United States’ decision, announced on April 10, to impose a “reciprocal” 125% tariff on Chinese exports to the US.
Crypto Market Stays Calm Amid Escalating US-China Trade War
Despite escalating tensions between the world’s two largest economies, the cryptocurrency market has shown remarkable stability. Investors appear unfazed by the intensifying trade conflict.
Crypto market capitalization remains around $2.5 trillion. Bitcoin’s price holds above $81,000 after recovering 10% since April 9, when Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause, excluding tariffs on China.
According to the Chinese statement, the tariff hike follows China’s Customs Law, Tariff Law, and Foreign Trade Law. The government reaffirmed its commitment to international rules. It accused the US of violating global trade norms and called Washington’s policy “unilateral bullying.”
Notably, China warned that it would not respond to further tariff increases from the US, arguing that American goods have already lost their competitiveness in the Chinese market at the current tariff level.
“Given that US exports to China are no longer market-viable under the current tariff rate, China will not respond further if the US continues to raise tariffs on Chinese goods,” the statement said.
The tariff dispute is not new. Since 2018, the US and China have imposed retaliatory tariffs on each other. Key sectors affected include agriculture, tech, and energy.
The latest hike pushes tariffs to a record 125%. Economists warn this could disrupt global supply chains, raise prices, and add pressure to inflation in both nations.
China’s tariff hike sends a strong message about its tough stance in trade negotiations. While the crypto market remains stable for now, analysts urge investors to monitor upcoming developments—especially any potential response from the US.
If no resolution is reached, the ongoing standoff could trigger a broader economic fallout. The world is now watching to see whether the trade war will de-escalate or further entrench the divide between the two economic superpowers.
Bitcoin slid 0.7% on Sunday, May 4, falling below $96,000 for the first time since midweek. The drop marks a second consecutive day of losses, following a strong institutional-led rally that pushed BTC to a 70-day high of $98,200 on Friday, per Coingecko data.
Despite reclaiming a $2 trillion market capitalization briefly, Bitcoin’s bullish momentum has stalled, coinciding with soft weekend volumes and renewed macro uncertainty.
On a weekly basis, Bitcoin is still up 4.5%, while 30-day performance remains strong at 12.8%, supported by ETF inflows and renewed accumulation from U.S. corporate treasuries.
However, resistance around the $98,000 level has proven tough to break, especially in the absence of clear macro tailwinds.
At the same time, Ethereum’s inability to hold above $1,900 and declining futures trading volume across top exchanges like Binance and CME further confirm the cautious short-term sentiment over the weekend.
DeMark Warns: Bear Market in U.S. Stocks Could Be Imminent
Tom DeMark, creator of the TD Sequential indicator and a trusted technical advisor to major hedge funds, has issued a fresh warning: a U.S. stock market top is imminent and could give way to a full-blown bear market within months.
DeMark, who accurately predicted the February top and April low in the S&P 500, says the index is showing clear signs of exhaustion.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis | DeMark/Market WIT
His analysis highlights that two more closing highs in the S&P 500 would complete a 9-count exhaustion cycle, a historically reliable signal for trend reversals.
Once this occurs, DeMark expects a retracement below 4,835 the intraday low from Aprilrepresenting a 20%+ drop from February’s highs.
“A top is imminent. Too much technical damage has been done,” DeMark said,
He also, added that the market remains vulnerable to improvement in global trade outlook or liquidity conditions.
What’s Next: Will DeMark’s Prediction Derail Bitcoin’s $100K Target?
Bitcoin price correlation to traditional markets, especially the S&P 500, has become increasingly relevant in the current macro environment.
On February 19, when China imposed retaliatory tariffs and global markets dipped, Bitcoin’s correlation to the S&P 500 fell to a yearly low of 0.27%. At the time, BTC acted as a partial hedge, decoupling from equities.
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 Price Correlation
However, President Donald Trump’s softening stance on tariffs and aggressiv push for rate cuts, have boosted broader market sentiment in recent weeks.
As a result, the BTC/S&P 500 correlation has surged, reaching 0.82% at press time.
This implies that Bitcoin may now respond more directly to U.S. equity moves than earlier this year.
If the market correction predicted by DeMark is driven by geopolitical tensions or inflationary trade tariffs, Bitcoin could attract safe-haven flows and maintain upward momentum.
Historical data shows BTC often benefits from global instability and monetary easing.
On the other hand, if the S&P 500’s decline stems from systemic risk such as a recession, financial contagion, or an energy shock.
Bitcoin may not be spared. In such scenarios, investors typically flee risk assets broadly, and BTC could experience significant drawdowns.
Conclusion: Bitcoin’s $100K Outlook Hinges on Crash Catalyst
Bitcoin’s $100K target and sustained $2 trillion market cap remain within reach, but macro risks are now front and center.
Whether Tom DeMark’s bear market call derails the BTC rally will largely depend on what drives the next wave of equity losses.
If it’s policy or trade-related, Bitcoin may rally as a hedge. But if the downturn it triggered by deep economic stress, recession or energy crisis, Bitcoin price could fall with the pack, as Demark predicts
