Bitcoin (BTC) price recently surged to a new all-time high (ATH) at $123,218 but faced a slight dip, trading at $117,500 today. The decline is likely owing to the anticipation surrounding the upcoming inflation data, as US CPI is expected to rise 2.7% Year-on-Year (YOY) in June.
Nevertheless, current investor behavior reflects ongoing optimism, but market conditions exhibit concern about a potential pullback.
Bitcoin Is Observing Support From the Spot Market
The spot volume has surged by 50% since July 9, indicating a strong interest in Bitcoin purchases. This increase is a sign that the rally isn’t solely driven by derivatives, as futures volume rose by 31.9%. These numbers point to a growing interest from spot investors, although both volumes remain below the 2025 year-to-date (YTD) averages.
The spot volume stands 23.4% under the YTD average, while futures are 21.9% under, showing that market participation is improving but remains relatively cautious compared to earlier this year.
Despite the positive uptick, investors are still hesitant. The slower volume growth, particularly in futures, shows a degree of caution from institutional and retail traders alike.
Looking at the macro momentum of Bitcoin, the IOMAP (In/Out of the Money Around Price) data reveals an important demand zone between $114,000 and $117,500. In this range, more than 189,590 BTC were bought, equating to over $22.3 billion.
This accumulation means that many holders bought at these levels and are unlikely to sell at a loss. This demand zone is crucial as it creates a cushion for Bitcoin’s price, making it less likely for the cryptocurrency to dip below this range. If the price approaches this level, it could trigger buying activity, reinforcing Bitcoin’s upward momentum and providing confidence to traders.
Bitcoin is currently trading at $117,209, down from its recent all-time high of $123,218. Despite this, the cryptocurrency has risen by about 9% since the start of the month.
The above-mentioned factors suggest that Bitcoin could rebound in the coming days. However, it may first drop to $115,000 before bouncing off this support level and pushing toward the $120,000 mark. This movement will likely follow the established market patterns.
However, market concerns are growing ahead of the upcoming U.S. inflation report, with expectations that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will rise to 2.7% YoY in June, up from 2.4% YoY in May. This potential inflation increase could trigger monetary tightening, which may negatively impact risk assets like cryptocurrencies, leading to a possible dip.
As a result, Bitcoin could drop below $115,000 and even fall to $110,000. Such a decline would invalidate the current bullish thesis, suggesting a deeper market correction.
The Solana-based meme coin FARTCOIN has emerged as an unlikely outperformer over the past month. The altcoin has defied the broader market troubles and surged by nearly 250% in the past 30 days.
However, buyer exhaustion could soon set in, potentially triggering a wave of profit-taking among FARTCOIN holders eager to lock in gains.
FARTCOIN Enters Overbought Zone
FARTCOIN’s triple-digit rally has pushed its price above the upper band of its Bollinger Bands (BB) indicator, a sign that the meme coin is overbought.
The BB indicator identifies overbought or oversold conditions and measures an asset’s price volatility. It consists of three lines: a simple moving average (middle band) and two bands (upper and lower) representing standard deviations above and below the moving average.
When the price breaks above the upper band, it means the asset’s current value is moving significantly away from its average, making it overbought and due for a price correction.
This pattern suggests that FARTCOIN’s current price level may not be sustainable, increasing the likelihood of a near-term pullback.
Moreover, readings from the token’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) confirm its nearly overbought status. At press time, this momentum indicator rests at 69.09.
The RSI indicator measures an asset’s overbought and oversold market conditions. It ranges between 0 and 100. Values above 70 suggest that the asset is overbought and due for a price decline, while values under 30 indicate that the asset is oversold and may witness a rebound.
At 69.09, FARTCOIN’s RSI signals that the meme coin is nearly overbought. Its upward momentum may be weakening, and a price correction could be near.
Will It Hit $1.16 or Slip Back to $0.37?
If the current momentum fades, FARTCOIN could face a short-term correction that causes it to shed some recent gains. In that scenario, the Solana-based asset could retest support at $0.74.
Should it fail to hold, the downtrend strengthens and could continue toward $0.37.
FARTCOIN has experienced ongoing volatility, with significant price fluctuations over the last few weeks. Despite sudden drops, the meme coin has shown signs of recovery.
To continue this upward momentum, FARTCOIN must break through key resistance levels, and current market conditions suggest it could achieve this soon.
Fartcoin Has The Strength To Rise
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently moved above the neutral line, marking the first time in two weeks that the RSI is in the bullish zone. This shift is a positive sign for FARTCOIN, as it indicates that bullish momentum is starting to build.
A strong RSI is crucial for the altcoin’s recovery, signaling renewed buying interest in the market.
As the RSI remains in the bullish zone, it suggests that the potential for a breakout is increasing. This could lead to further price growth for FARTCOIN, especially if investors continue to support the meme coin.
The Squeeze Momentum Indicator is also showing signs of bullish potential for FARTCOIN. Currently, the indicator is noting a squeeze, which typically signals a period of consolidation before a potential breakout.
The histogram reveals that bearish momentum is waning, which suggests the altcoin could experience a shift toward upward movement.
The last time the Squeeze Momentum Indicator showed a similar pattern, FARTCOIN surged, indicating that the squeeze may be a precursor to more gains. If the squeeze is released, the meme coin could see a significant rise, potentially pushing the price higher.
FARTCOIN has risen by 11% over the last 24 hours, currently trading at $1.12, and is approaching the key resistance level at $1.20.
If the meme coin manages to break through this resistance, it could signal a continuation of the recent upward movement. A breach of $1.20 would open the door for further gains.
Securing $1.20 as support would be a critical next step for FARTCOIN. If it can maintain this level, the meme coin could rise to $1.42, recovering losses from June. This upward momentum would indicate a strong recovery and could lead to more sustained price growth if the trend continues.
However, if selling pressure builds in the coming days, FARTCOIN could fall below the $1.02 support level. A drop below $1.00 would be concerning and could result in further losses, potentially pushing the price down to $0.91.
Such a decline would invalidate the bullish thesis and signal a shift in market sentiment.
The collapse of the MANTRA (OM) token has left investors reeling, with many facing significant losses. As analysts comb through the causes of the collapse, many questions remain.
BeInCrypto consulted industry experts to identify five critical red flags behind MANTRA’s downfall and reveal strategies investors can adopt to steer clear of similar pitfalls in the future.
MANTRA (OM) Crash: What Investors Missed and How to Avoid Future Losses
On April 13, BeInCrypto broke the news of OM’s 90% crash. The collapse raised several concerns, with investors accusing the team of orchestrating a pump-and-dump scheme. Experts believe that there were many early signs of trouble.
In addition, the project adopted an inflationary tokenomic model with an uncapped supply, replacing the previous hard cap. As part of this transition, the total token supply was also increased to 1.7 billion.
However, the move wasn’t without drawbacks. According to Jean Rausis, co-founder of SMARDEX, tokenomics was a point of concern in the OM collapse.
“The project doubled its token supply to 1.77 billion in 2024 and shifted to an inflationary model, which diluted its original holders. Complex vesting favored insiders, while low circulating supply and massive FDV fueled hype and price manipulation,” Jean Rausis told BeInCrypto.
Moreover, the team’s control over the OM supply also raised centralization concerns. Experts believe this was also a factor that could have led to the alleged price manipulation.
“About 90% of OM tokens were held by the team, indicating a high level of centralization that could potentially lead to manipulation. The team also maintained control over governance, which undermined the project’s decentralized nature,” said Phil Fogel, co-founder of Cork.
Phil Fogel acknowledged that a concentrated token supply isn’t always a red flag. However, it’s crucial for investors to know who holds large amounts, their lock-up terms, and whether their involvement aligns with the project’s decentralization goals.
Moreover, Ming Wu, the founder of RabbitX, also argued that analyzing this data is essential to uncover any potential risks that could undermine the project in the long term.
“Tools like bubble maps can help identify potential risks related to token distribution,” Wu advised.
2. OM Price Action
2025 has been marked as the year of significant market volatility. The broader macroeconomic pressures have weighed heavily on the market, with the majority of the coins experiencing steep losses. Yet, OM’s price action was relatively stable until the latest crash.
OM vs. TOTAL Market Performance. Source: TradingView
“The biggest red flag was simply the price action. The whole market was going down, and nobody cared about MANTRA, and yet its token price somehow kept pumping in unnatural patterns – pump, flat, pump, flat again,” Jean Rausis disclosed.
He added that this was a clear sign of a potential issue or problem with the project. Nevertheless, he noted that identifying the differentiating price action would require some technical analysis know-how. Thus, investors lacking the knowledge would have easily missed it.
Despite this, Rausis highlighted that even the untrained eye could find other signs that something was off, ultimately leading to the crash.
Strategies to Protect Yourself
While investors remained optimistic about OM’s resilience amid a market downturn, this ended up costing them millions. Eric He, LBank’s Community Angel Officer, and Risk Control Adviser emphasized the importance of proactive risk management to avoid OM-style collapses.
“First, diversification is key—spreading capital across projects limits single-token exposure. Stop-loss triggers (e.g., 10-20% below buy price) can automate damage control in volatile conditions,” Eric shared with BeInCrypto.
Ming Wu had a similar perspective, emphasizing the importance of avoiding over-allocation to a single token. The executive explained that a diversified investment strategy helps mitigate risk and enhances overall portfolio stability.
“Investors can use perpetual futures as a risk management tool to hedge against potential price declines in their holdings,” Wu remarked.
Meanwhile, Phil Fogel advised focusing on a token’s liquidity. Key factors include the float size, price sensitivity to sell orders, and who can significantly impact the market.
3. Project Fundamentals
Experts also highlighted major discrepancies in MANTRA’s TVL. Eric He pointed out a significant gap between the token’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) and the TVL. OM’s FDV reached $9.5 billion, while its TVL was only $13 million, indicating a potential overvaluation.
“A $9.5 billion valuation against $13 million TVL, screamed instability,” Forest Bai, co-founder of Foresight Ventures, stated.
Notably, several issues were also raised regarding the airdrop. Jean Rausis called the airdrop a “mess.” He cited many issues, including delays, frequent changes to eligibility rules, and the disqualification of half the participants. Meanwhile, suspected bots were not removed.
“The airdrop disproportionately favored insiders while excluding genuine supporters, reflecting a lack of fairness,” Phil Fogel reiterated.
The criticism expanded further as Fogel pointed out the team’s alleged associations with questionable entities and ties to questionable initial coin offerings (ICOs), raising doubts about the project’s credibility. Eric He also suggested that MANTRA was allegedly tied to gambling platforms in the past.
Strategies to Protect Yourself
Forest Bai underscored the importance of verifying the project team’s credentials, reviewing the project roadmap, and monitoring on-chain activity to ensure transparency. He also advised investors to assess community engagement and regulatory compliance to gauge the project’s long-term viability.
Ming Wu also stressed distinguishing between real growth and artificially inflated metrics.
“It’s important to differentiate real growth from activity that’s artificially inflated through incentives or airdrops, unsustainable tactics like ‘selling a dollar for 90 cents’ may generate short-term metrics but don’t reflect actual engagement,” Wu informed BeInCrypto.
Finally, Wu recommended researching the background of the project’s team members to uncover any history of fraudulent activity or involvement in questionable ventures. This would ensure that investors are well-informed before committing to any project.
4. Whale Movements
As BeInCrypto reported earlier, before the crash, a whale wallet reportedly associated with the MANTRA team deposited 3.9 million OM tokens into the OKX exchange. Experts highlighted that this wasn’t an isolated incident.
“Large OM transfers (43.6 million tokens, ~$227 million) to exchanges days prior were a major warning of potential sell-offs,” Forest Bai conveyed to BeInCrypto.
Ming Wu also explained that investors should pay close attention to such large transfers, which often act as warning signals. Moreover, analysts at CryptoQuant also outlined what investors should look out for.
“OM transfers into exchanges amounted to as much as $35 million in just an hour. This represented an alert sign as: Transfers into exchanges are below $8 million in a typical hour (excluding transfers into Binance, which are typically large given the size of the exchange). Transfers into exchanges represented more than a third of the total OM transferred, which indicates a high transfer volume into exchanges,” CryptoQuant informed BeInCrypto.
Strategies to Protect Yourself
CryptoQuant stated that investors need to monitor the flows of any token into exchanges, as it could indicate increasing price volatility in the near future.
Meanwhile, Risk Control Adviser Eric He outlined four strategies to stay up-to-date when it comes to large transfers.
Chain Sleuthing: Tools like Arkham and Nansen allow investors to track large transfers and monitor wallet activity.
Set Alerts: Platforms like Etherscan and Glassnode notify investors of unusual market movements.
Track Exchange Flows: Users need to track large flows into centralized exchanges.
Check Lockups: Dune Analytics helps investors determine if team tokens are being released earlier than expected.
He also recommended focusing on the market structure.
“OM’s crash proved market depth is non-negotiable: Kaiko data showed 1% order book depth collapsed 74% before the fall. Always check liquidity metrics on platforms like Kaiko; if 1% depth is below $500,000, that’s a red flag,” Eric revealed to BeInCrypto.
Additionally, Phil Fogel underlined the importance of monitoring platforms like X (formerly Twitter) for any rumors or discussions about possible dumps. He stressed the need to analyze liquidity to assess whether a token can handle sell pressure without causing a significant price drop.
Interestingly, experts were slightly divided on how CEXs contributed to OM’s crash. Forest Bai claimed that CEX liquidations during low-liquidity hours worsened the crash by triggering cascading sell-offs. Eric He corroborated this sentiment.
“CEX liquidations played a major role in the OM crash, acting as an accelerant. With thin liquidity—1% depth falling from $600,000 to $147,000—forced closures triggered cascading liquidations. Over $74.7 million was wiped in 24 hours,” he mentioned.
“Analyzing the open interest in the OM derivatives market reveals that it was less than 0.1% of OM’s market capitalization. However, what’s particularly interesting is that during the market collapse, open interest in OM derivatives actually increased by 90%,” Wu expressed to BeInCrypto.
According to the executive, this challenges the idea that liquidations or forced closures caused the price drop. Instead, it indicates that traders and investors increased their short positions as the price fell.
Strategies to Protect Yourself
While the involvement of CEXs remains debatable, the experts did address the key point of investor protection.
“Investors can limit leverage to avoid forced liquidations, choose platforms with transparent risk policies, monitor open interest for liquidation risks, and hold tokens in self-custody wallets to reduce CEX exposure,” Forest Bai recommended.
Eric He also advised that investors should mitigate risks by adjusting leverage dynamically based on volatility. If tools like ATR or Bollinger Bands signal turbulence, exposure should be reduced.
The MANTRA (OM) collapse is a powerful reminder of the importance of due diligence and risk management in cryptocurrency investments. Investors can minimize the risk of falling into similar traps by carefully assessing tokenomics, monitoring on-chain data, and diversifying investments.
With expert insights, these strategies will help guide investors toward smarter, more secure decisions in the crypto market.
