Bitcoin may be on the edge of a breakout, as the highly anticipated Bitcoin 2025 Conference kicks off May 27 in Las Vegas. While traders set their sights on a potential all-time high near $135,000, one critical support level could decide everything.
Analyst CrypNuevo warns that if Bitcoin loses this zone, a sharp drop to the $100K mark might follow. Here’s what’s happening with Bitcoin’s chart right now.
Retesting Support: A Bullish Flip in Action
According to CrypNuevo, Bitcoin has successfully flipped a former resistance level into support, a promising structure known in technical analysis as an R/S (resistance/support) flip.
This move is crucial because holding this level could keep the bullish momentum alive. If Bitcoin manages to stay above this level in the next few days, it could climb even higher.
At the same time, well-known crypto expert Wise Advice believes that if Bitcoin follows the movement of the money supply (M2), its price could rise by about 24%, reaching $135K by July.
Liquidation Zones Hint at $115K Target
Looking at longer timeframes, CrypNuevo points out a cluster of liquidations between $112K and $114K. These areas tend to attract price movement, especially since they are above Bitcoin’s recent highs.
If Bitcoin can break through this zone, a rise to $115K, a new all-time high, might happen.
This level also matches where many traders’ long leveraged positions could be forced to close, which might speed up the price jump.
Key Support Test Around $106K
However, the short-term picture tells a slightly different story. There’s some liquidation pressure around $105,700, which suggests the price may dip and retest support near $106,000. If Bitcoin holds that level, it could offer a fresh and more favorable entry point for traders.
However, if $106K fails, the price could fall further to the psychological $100K level. CrypNuevo notes this dip could shake weak hands but might also attract long-term buyers.
As of now, Bitcoin is trading around $$109,700, reflecting a slight rise in the last 24 hours, with a market cap hitting $2.18 trillion.
Token unlocks have the power to move markets. They inject fresh liquidity, trigger price swings, and influence investors’ feelings about a project. During these events, projects release previously locked tokens, making them available for public trading.
This week, three major projects are stepping into the spotlight—Scroll (SCR), Plume Network (PLUME), and Altlayer (ALT)—as they prepare to release a wave of tokens into circulation.
Scroll (SCR)
Unlock Date: April 22
Number of Tokens to be Unlocked: 40 million SCR (4% of Total Supply)
Current Circulating Supply: 190 million
Total supply: 1 billion SCR
Scroll is a Layer 2 solution that boosts Ethereum’s scalability and efficiency. It uses zkRollup technology to lower transaction costs and increase throughput, helping ease issues like high gas fees and congestion.
On April 22, 40 million SCR tokens, valued at about $9.2 million, will be unlocked. This unlock could introduce added liquidity to the market and maybe renewed interest in Scroll.
Number of Tokens to be Unlocked: 108.34 million PLUME (1.08% of Total Supply)
Current Circulating Supply: 2 billion
Total supply: 10 billion Plume
Plume Network is a Layer 1 blockchain that brings real-world assets onto the chain. From fine art to green energy, it enables diverse asset-backed investments with fast, low-cost transactions. The network seamlessly integrates these assets into a composable RWAfi ecosystem, enhancing their utility and enabling broader financial interactions.
The April 21 unlock will consist of over 108 million PLUME tokens valued at about $17.82 million at press time. Early backers and contributors will receive the majority of these tokens, while the team will allocate 7% for a community airdrop.
Number of Tokens to be Unlocked: 240.80 million ALT (2.41% of Total Supply)
Current Circulating Supply: 3.03 billion
Total supply: 10 billion ALT
AltLayer is a project focusing on enhancing blockchain scalability through Restaked Rollups. It uses “Restaked Rollups,” integrating existing rollup stacks like OP Stack and Arbitrum Orbit with EigenLayer’s restaking mechanism for improved security and decentralization.
On April 25, AltLayer will unlock 240 million ALT tokens, releasing approximately $6.5 million worth into the market. This unlock could introduce added liquidity to the market and maybe renewed interest in Altlayer. The network will allocate the majority of these tokens to the Foundation, and for protocol development.
Welcome to the US Morning Crypto News Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee to see what data says about the Bitcoin (BTC) price outlook, alongside insights into the current sentiment in the options market. Remember, this being the last Friday of April, monthly options expired today at 8:00 UTC on Deribit.
Strong Market Expectations of Bitcoin Reaching $100,000
Interestingly, Bitcoin traded well above its max pain or strike price of $86,000. Ordinarily, as options near expiration, an asset’s price would tend to gravitate toward its max pain level. While Bitcoin traded for $93,471 minutes before the options expiry, it is now selling for $94,581.
BeInCrypto contacted Bitfinex analysts for insights into the current market outlook and their perspective on what lies ahead for the Bitcoin price in the short term. According to the analysts, Bitcoin’s price could record further upside after clearing option-based resistance.
“Post-expiry, the market is leaning cautiously bullish, and with the $90,000 strike cluster now cleared, there’s less option-based resistance overhead,” Bitfinex analysts told BeInCrypto.
Further, the analysts observed that many traders have rolled exposure to higher strikes, with $95,000 and $100,000 showing increased call open interest for end-April and May expiries.
While this reflects the expected continued upside, the analysts did not rule out a potential short-term chop.
This aligns with Deribit analysts’ statements that the highest open interest for BTC options was around the $100,000 strike price. This indicates strong market expectations of Bitcoin reaching this level.
As BeInCrypto reported, the analysts ascribed this to traders selling cash-secured put options on Bitcoin. These traders also use stablecoins to collect premiums while buying BTC at lower prices.
BeInCrypto also reported that the Cumulative delta (CD) across BTC and related ETF (exchange-traded fund) options on Deribit reached $9 billion. Bitfinex analysts agree, citing rising spot flows and ETF demand.
“Spot flows and ETF demand have picked up significantly for BTC over the past few days and will now continue to dictate if BTC can establish $90,000 as support,” the analysts added.
Meanwhile, these forecasts add to the list of growing bullish bets on Bitcoin’s price, credibly confirming a sentiment shared in the previous US Crypto News publication.
However, despite strong prospects for more Bitcoin price gains, some analysts urge investors to temper their optimism. One is Innokenty Isers, the Chief Executive Officer at Paybis Exchange.
“Current market outlook suggests that Bitcoin price may face more stiff resistance moving forward. In the last two months, the uncertainty around the tariff war triggered an unusual concern for investors as many decided to temporarily steer clear of more volatile assets like Bitcoin,” Isers told BeInCrypto.
Moreover, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has spotlighted the inflationary risks the tariff war may introduce. Nevertheless, Isers acknowledged clear indications of sustained accumulation of BTC by institutional investors and market whales.
This chart shows that the top Bitcoin options by trading volume over the past 24 hours are call options with strike prices of $95,000 and $100,000, ahead of the May 2 expiry.
Byte-Sized Alpha
Bitcoin rebounds 25% in April, shifting market sentiment from fear to greed, per the Crypto Fear & Greed Index readings.
Cardano gained 15% in a week, holding a bullish structure despite a volume dip and early signs of consolidation near key price levels.
USD1 stablecoin, launched by World Liberty Financial, is subject to the EU’s MiCA regulations, which require compliance with transparency, reserve backing, and conflict of interest rules.
