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Bitcoin’s (BTC) market dominance has surged to 64%, reaching its highest level in over four years.
However, experts remain divided on what this means for the future. Some predict an impending altcoin season, and others caution that Bitcoin’s dominance could continue to suppress altcoins.
“Excluding stable coins, Bitcoin dominance is now at 69%,” Cowen revealed.
The rise in Bitcoin dominance has sparked debate among analysts about its implications for altcoins. Cowen believes there will be a correction or downward movement in altcoins before any substantial gains can be expected in the market. This implies that the altcoin season may not be imminent yet.
“I think ALT/ BTC pairs need to go down before they can go up,” he stated.
Nordin, founder of Nour Group, also expressed caution. He stressed that Bitcoin dominance is nearing the levels seen during the peak of the 2020 bear market.
“This isn’t just a BTC move. Its capital rotating out of alts,” he noted.
“Bitcoin dominance back to 64%. No Alt seasons in 2024 or 2025,” analyst, Alessandro Ottaviani, predicted.
On the other hand, analyst Mister Crypto predicts that Bitcoin’s dominance may follow a long-term descending triangle pattern. A descending triangle typically suggests bearish momentum, where the price or dominance gradually decreases as lower highs are formed.
However, this could prolong its market control before a broader correction allows altcoins to gain traction.
Another analyst mentioned that Bitcoin dominance is currently testing the resistance zone between 64% and 64.3%. Therefore, a possible retracement may be on the horizon. Should this retracement occur, altcoins could begin to gain traction, with some potentially emerging as top performers in the market as capital shifts away from Bitcoin.
“However, a breakout from this zone could mean further declines for alts,” the analyst remarked.
Finally, Junaid Dar, CEO of Bitwardinvest, offered a more optimistic view. According to Dar’s analysis, if Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 63.45%, it could trigger a strong upward movement in altcoins. This, he believes, would create an ideal opportunity to profit from altcoin positions.
“For now, alts are stuck. Just a matter of time,” Dar added.
Tether Dominance Signals Potential Altcoin Season
Meanwhile, many analysts believe that the trends in Tether dominance (USDT.D) signal a potential altcoin season. From a technical analysis standpoint, USDT.D has reached a resistance zone and may be due for a correction, suggesting the possibility of capital flowing from USDT into altcoins.
“The USDTD is in a rejection zone, as long as it does not close above 6.75% it will be favorable for the market,” a technical analyst wrote.
Another analyst also stressed that the USDT.D and USD Coin dominance (USDC.D) have reached resistance, forecasting an incoming altcoin season. Doğu Tekinoğlu drew similar conclusions by observing the combined chart of BTC.D, USDT.D, and USDC.D.
As Bitcoin’s dominance climbs, investors are closely monitoring these technical and on-chain signals. The interplay between Bitcoin’s strength and stablecoin dynamics could dictate whether altcoins stage a comeback this summer or face further consolidation. For now, Bitcoin’s grip on the market remains firm.
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw strong demand yesterday, with total net inflows exceeding $350 million. This followed BTC’s breakout past the $105,000 resistance level to close above the $110,000 price.
With strengthening bullish pressure, the leading coin is poised to continue its rally, further fueling the demand for ETF products.
BTC ETFs See $386 Million Inflows as Investor Confidence Returns
On Monday, BTC spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $386.27 million. This capital inflow marked a significant shift in market sentiment following last week’s decline.
Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow. Source: SosoValue
These inflows reversed the previous week’s trend of net outflows, as BTC’s lackluster performance and waning investor confidence had dragged down demand. The surge followed BTC’s breakout above the $105,000 resistance level, with the asset closing at $110,263 during yesterday’s trading session.
As a result, renewed optimism spread across the market, driving heightened activity in ETF trading as well. On Monday, Fidelity’s CBOE-listed FBTC fund led the charge, posting the largest single-day net inflow among all US BTC ETF issuers.
BTC Futures and Options Flash Bullish as Price Holds Above $109,000
BTC trades at $110,227 at press time, up 4% over the past day. The coin’s funding rate has flipped back into positive territory on the derivatives front, signaling a shift toward bullish market positioning. It currently stands at 0.0017%.
The funding rate is a periodic payment exchanged between traders in perpetual futures contracts to keep prices aligned with the spot market.
When its value is positive, it indicates bullish sentiment and a higher demand for longs. It means that traders holding long BTC positions pay those holding short positions, a trend that could drive the coin’s value upward in the near term.
Furthermore, traders are buying BTC call options today, signaling growing bullish sentiment on the asset’s future price.
Therefore, the combination of institutional inflows, rising price momentum, and a return to positive sentiment in derivatives suggests that the market may be entering a renewed accumulation phase.
