US PCE Inflation Data Comes In At 2.3%, Will The Fed Cut Rates?

US PCE Inflation Data Comes In At X%, Will The Fed Cut Rates?

The much-anticipated March PCE inflation data has come out in line with expectations, leaving market participants wondering about the Federal Reserve’s next move. This inflation metric is the Fed’s most preferred inflation gauge and suggests that Chair Jerome Powell and the FOMC will likely keep rates unchanged at the May meeting.

US PCE Inflation Data Comes In At 2.3%

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data show that the March U.S. inflation data came in at 2.3% year-over-year (YoY), in line with expectations, and 0% month-over-month.

Meanwhile, the core PCE data came in at 2.6% YoY, the lowest since June 2024. This development is significant as this data is what the Fed uses as its primary inflation gauge and could determine its decision at the May FOMC meeting.

With the PCE inflation data stalling, Powell and the FOMC look unlikely to cut interest rates at the May meeting holding between the 6th and 7th.

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