Shiba Inu (SHIB) price has gained significant attention amid market volatility. With the potential for a 500% surge before April, the meme coin future remains uncertain. The SHIB price is currently hovering around $0.000012, but could strong demand and market trends fuel such an increase? In this article, we explore the factors that might drive a potential rally in Shiba Inu’s value.
Is It Time To Buy SHIB if Shiba Inu Price Can Rally 500% Before April?
The Shiba Inu price is drawing attention as many speculate a potential 500% price jump before April. If this occurs, SHIB’s price could reach $0.000076, an impressive surge for a meme coin. However, investors should exercise caution as this price rally is not guaranteed and comes with risks.
SHIB, like many meme coins, is primarily influenced by social sentiment. This makes its price movements unpredictable and speculative. While a 500% surge is a possibility, market sentiment could also lead to a sharp price drop.
Additionally, broader crypto market conditions can play a significant role in SHIB’s price action. If major cryptocurrencies like the BTC price or ETH experience price rallies, altcoins like SHIB often follow suit.
Moreover, factors such as the burn rate of SHIB, which recently increased by 27%, could influence its price. In the past 24 hours, over 16 million SHIB tokens were burned.
The Shiba Inu ecosystem, including the ShibaSwap platform and Shibarium, could also contribute to this surge, particularly if other Ethereum meme coins like BONK or FLOKI rise in value.
Shiba Inu Price Analysis
The latest SHIB price is hovering at $0.00001269, showing a decrease of 4% over the last 24 hours. As of now, the SHIB price is fluctuating within a defined range, with strong support at $0.000012 and resistance at $0.000013. The current price action suggests that the asset is testing these key levels.
The MACD shows some bullish momentum, with the blue line above the orange line signaling potential upward movement. However, the histogram is relatively neutral, indicating that momentum is not yet fully established.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 44, which is in the neutral zone. This suggests that SHIB is currently under no overbought or oversold pressure.
A break above the resistance could propel the Shiba Inu price forecast toward $0.000015, while a decline below the support could see SHIB testing the lower level of $0.000012.
The recent trend in Shiba Inu saw early holders accumulate over 20% of the total supply at lower prices. As these holders sold at key price peaks, sharp corrections followed, creating volatility in the market. This mass exit of early investors highlights how concentrated ownership can lead to amplified price fluctuations.
The potential for a 500% jump in Shiba Inu’s price remains speculative. Investors should stay cautious, as market conditions and social sentiment can greatly influence SHIB’s volatile price movements.
US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman nominee Paul Atkins will appear before the Senate Banking Committee for his long-awaited confirmation hearing in the coming week. The committee will decide whether Atkins is a suitable replacement for Gary Gensler and will also consider other pro-crypto nominations.
Paul Atkins US SEC Chair Hearing
According to the released schedule, the US Senate hearing for Atkins is scheduled for Thursday, March 27.
In addition to this hearing, the Senate panel intends to weigh the nomination of Jonathan Gould to serve in the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Anyone who occupies this office is responsible for overseeing U.S. national banks. This is a key area of interest for crypto firms, especially to reverse the debanking menace permanently.
Before now, Paul Atkins served as a commissioner with the US SEC but is very supportive of digital asset initiatives.
He was in charge of a Washington firm that managed clients with financial compliance issues. The broader crypto ecosystem expects him to sustain the pro-crypto momentum that President Donald Trump brought to the US following his inauguration.
Paul Atkins the Trump Choice for SEC
In December, President Donald Trump nominated Paul Atkins as the next chair of the SEC, citing his pro-crypto stance.
Trump also highlighted that Atkins is a proven leader in “common sense” regulations. At the time, several market observers pointed out the SEC’s regulation-by-enforcement approach.
Prior to his confirmation, Trump designated Mark Uyeda as acting Chairman. Uyeda has upheld the president’s pro-crypto agenda, and Atkins is expected to maintain the current status quo.
In the long term, he is expected to implement policies that favor the crypto ecosystem, which may eventually change the regulatory outlook of the region and attract more investors.
US SEC Turnaround Under Mark Uyeda
Mark Uyeda has served as the SEC’s interim chairman since January 20, when Trump was inaugurated.
In this position, many changes have come to the crypto ecosystem within two months. Some lawsuits against crypto firms have been retracted. While it started with the Coinbase lawsuit, other cases tied to Uniswap, Robinhood Crypto, OpenSea, and Kraken have also been closed.
The US SEC closed the Ripple lawsuit earlier this week, a major pivot that shows no legal obligation for Paul Atkins if confirmed. Similarly, the US President also recently signed an executive order establishing the strategic Bitcoin reserve.
This reserve, according to industry leaders, may also expand to altcoins like XRP soon.
Solana has emerged as a powerful presence in the crypto industry. Since its inception in 2020, the network has dominated the market, demonstrating remarkable levels of user engagement and practical utility, particularly in decentralized finance (DeFi). Many in the industry view it as the next natural contender to receive an ETF approval in the United States.
However, others are more cautious in their evaluations. BeInCrypto spoke with representatives from Gravity, Variant, and OKX to understand the areas where Solana is still lacking. Industry leaders referred to centralization, network reliability, and excessive regulation as points of contention for Solana’s ETF approval.
Bitcoin and Ethereum’s Precedent
The availability of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for prominent cryptocurrencies has grown over the past year. These funds offer investors diversified investment opportunities and act as a bridge between traditional finance and the increasingly mainstream cryptocurrency market.
Meanwhile, the deadline for some filings, including Grayscale’s, was extended until October. Nonetheless, posts on X and some analytical reports suggest yesterday’s deadline as a date of interest for an initial or consolidated SEC response to several applications.
2025 Predictions and Market Expectations
The tentative approval of a Solana ETF has generated much debate across social media platforms. ETF President Nate Geraci formally predicted that 2025 would be the year of crypto ETFs and that Solana would receive its approval this year.
Per previous reports, former Trump White House Secretary Anthony Scaramucci expressed that, with a Trump reelection, Solana ETFs could gain approval during Q1 of 2025. According to his predictions, Solana would receive the SEC’s green light during the next two weeks.
Meanwhile, the prediction market Polymarket estimates an 82% chance that a Solana ETF will get approved in 2025.
According to a Polymarket poll, Solana has an 82% chance of getting an ETF approval in 2025. Source: Polymarket
Several factors make an imminent Solana ETF approval seem plausible. Less than five years after the network launched, Solana quickly became a major player in the crypto industry, attracting users for its high transaction speeds and low gas fees.
“From a network perspective, Solana’s performance has been remarkable, now driving nearly 50% of all global DEX volume– a dominance that fundamentally reshapes the DeFi landscape. The blockchain is not just handling unprecedented transaction volumes… it’s transforming our understanding of blockchain scalability at scale,” Lennix Lai, Global Chief Commercial Officer at OKX told BeInCrypto.
Solana has established itself as a dynamic force in the crypto industry following a successful 2024.
A Messari report detailed particular growth in Solana’s final quarter across DeFi, liquid staking, NFTs, and institutional involvement. The total value locked (TVL) in Solana’s DeFi sector increased substantially, growing by 64% to $8.6 billion, which placed it behind Ethereum as the second-largest network based on TVL.
Solana’s positive performance, coupled with Donald Trump’s reelection to the US presidency, further amplified the crypto industry’s optimism over an ETF approval.
However, some industry experts have expressed more tempered expectations.
Experts Offer Tempered Expectations
A few days before Trump assumed the presidency, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart said Solana ETFs may not be launched in the US until 2026. He cited the SEC’s precedent of taking a lot of time to review filings as the cause for delay.
In another post, Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said that ETF approvals for other cryptocurrencies were more likely to occur before Solana.
“We expect a wave of cryptocurrency ETFs next year, albeit not all at once. First out is likely the BTC + ETH combo ETFs, then prob Litecoin (bc its fork of btc = commodity), then HBAR (bc not labeled security) and then XRP/Solana (which have been labeled securities in pending lawsuits),” Balchunas said.
Balchunas further explained that complex legal issues around Solana, relating to its status as a security, need to be resolved before it can gain ETF approval. Consequently, he deemed the approval of Litecoin or Hedera ETFs more likely.
Uncertainty over whether Solana classifies as a security is a major driver fueling doubts over its ETF approval.
Security Classification Concerns
Martins Benkitis, co-founder and CEO of Gravity, explained that Solana’s regulatory classification complicates its path to approval.
“It’s no secret there’s currently a lack of precedent for Layer-1 blockchains beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum in the ETF space, this suggests cautious optimism but with higher regulatory hurdles. Bitcoin, being a commodity in the SEC’s eyes, and Ethereum’s gradual transition to PoS had different legal considerations. Solana, on the other hand, faces concerns over potential classification as a security due to its token distribution and foundation’s involvement,” Benkitis told BeInCrypto.
The SEC identified Solana as a security in lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase over the past two years, although these lawsuits have since been dropped. The SEC argued that these tokens could be considered investment contracts under the Howey Test.
While some interpreted the SEC’s lawsuit withdrawal as a softening stance on Solana’s security classification, others quickly challenged this assumption.
“There is no reason to think [the] SEC has decided SOL is a non-security. That they don’t want to do discovery on a dozen tokens in the Binance case appears to be a litigation tactic, not a change in policy,” said Jake Chervinsky, Chief Legal Officer at Variant, following the Binance lawsuit withdrawal in July 2024.
Others believe that a pro-crypto administration should be enough to influence the SEC to consider Solana as a non-security. Lai disagrees.
“The changing political landscape, particularly with Trump’s victory and pro-crypto stance, could create a more constructive environment for innovative blockchain platforms like Solana. However, the technical and market structure considerations will remain crucial regardless of administration changes,” he said.
In the meantime, there are several other requirements Solana must meet.
On his part, Lai added other aspects to the list of considerations.
“While Polymarket shows high odds for 2025 approval, several critical factors suggest a more complex pathway: Solana’s technological architecture presents unique challenges with its PoS mechanism; The absence of CME futures raises liquidity and risk management concerns; Historical network downtime incidents need addressing; Centralization questions relative to BTC and ETH remain unresolved; Institutional interest hasn’t matched BTC and ETH levels despite the network driving 48% of global DEX volume; [and] the temporary nature of trending themes suggests caution in using current volumes as primary indicators,” Lai told BeInCrypto.
Concerns about centralization and scalability have long been discussed regarding Solana, even outside of discussions over an ETF approval.
Since 2021, Solana has suffered over a dozen network outages varying in severity. These outages have jeopardized the network’s reputation as stable and reliable– two strongly considered characteristics during the ETF approval process.
“From a market making standpoint, network reliability is crucial as any downtime or congestion can significantly impact trading operations and order execution,” Benkitis affirmed.
However, Solana has successfully curbed the number of outages it has experienced. Once notorious for the frequency of its shutdowns, the last time Solana experienced one was in February 2024.
Meanwhile, developers designed Solana’s upcoming Firedancer validator client to improve network stability and transaction processing. Its distinct codebase offers greater resilience against widespread outages and will enhance Solana’s performance.
Yet, Solana must also mitigate centralization concerns to improve its chances of obtaining ETF approval.
Centralization Concerns
Solana’s validator node requirements, which demand significant hardware investments, can create barriers to entry. These obstacles can potentially concentrate power within the network among those capable of affording the necessary infrastructure.
In turn, the protocol’s limited number of validators compared to other networks raises concerns over centralization. For context, while Solana currently has around 2,000 active validators, Ethereum passed the one million benchmark last year—the largest number recorded by any blockchain network.
Though Solana’s hardware reliance speeds up the network, it also raises decentralization concerns. Benkitis factored this aspect into his evaluation of an ETF approval.
Its currently underdeveloped futures market infrastructure further complicates Solana’s viability as an ETF candidate.
Its filings were unprecedented because the network did not have a previously established futures market. This factor was crucial in determining an ETF approval for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
“The lack of CME futures and institutional frameworks comparable to BTC/ETH could influence [the SEC’s] evaluation,” Lai said.
He added that the proliferation of meme tokens minted on Solana could present themselves as a potential roadblock.
“Market reactions reflect Solana’s emergence as the primary driver of this cycle, with DEX volumes exceeding $100 billion and dominating major aggregators. However, I believe the temporary nature of trending themes suggests continued volatility. While technological advancement and growing institutional adoption may provide stronger foundations, we need to maintain perspective on the cyclical nature of crypto trends,” Lai said.
This more recent development in Solana’s attraction also brings its set of downsides.
Meme Coin Influence and Regulatory Concerns
The expanding meme coin market on Solana partially explains its popularity. Platforms like Pump.fun allow anyone to launch their tokens, and this design has even led to celebrities launching their tokens on the platform.
More recently, political figures like Donald Trump and Argentine president Javier Milei have also launched meme tokens on Solana platforms. Yet, these activities have proven to be high-risk. In many cases, meme coin investments have caused smaller retailers millions of dollars in losses.
Benkitis said that the SEC might frown upon the speculative nature of these trading activities.
“While an ETF approval could unlock liquidity opportunities, the market’s heavy dependence on speculative sentiment calls for a measured and cautious approach,” he said.
With so many considerations, approving a Solana ETF in 2025 is far from guaranteed. The SEC’s eventual decision will be a defining moment for the network and the broader crypto industry.
