Rome is a city with layers. Literally. Stretching back thousands of years, the ancient Italian capital has been built and rebuilt, sieged and sacked, and rebuilt some more. Its history is linked to countless world-changing events over the past 2,500 years, intricately connecting it to the entirety of Western civilization. (They don’t call it the Eternal City for nothing.)
Wandering through Rome and you little stumbled upon everywhere you go as there’s some ancient column or area that built around. In fact, it takes so long to build anything in the city because every time they try to build a subway, building, or change something, they stumble across new ruins and have to send in the archeologists to investigate.
Cardano has traded within a tight range over the past week as the broader crypto market attempts a recovery. It has faced resistance at $0.75 and found support at $0.69.
Despite the price consolidation, on-chain data reveals a strengthening bullish bias that could pave the way for an upward breakout.
Cardano Stuck in a Range—HODLing Points to a Potential Breakout
Amid ADA’s sideways price movements over the past week, investors have increased their holding times. According to IntoTheBlock, holding time has increased by 77% during the review period.
An asset’s coin holding time is a metric that tracks the average duration of time its tokens are held in wallet addresses before being sold or transferred.
As this time spikes, it signals Cardano holders are opting to hold onto their assets rather than sell. This suggests growing confidence in the asset’s long-term potential. If the trend persists, it could reduce selling pressure and cause ADA to attempt a break above the resistance at $0.75.
Additionally, ADA’s Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) remains negative, meaning most Cardano holders would incur losses if they sold now. At press time, this indicator stands at -2.33 million.
This metric measures the total profit or loss realized by investors when they move their coins on-chain, indicating overall market sentiment. When NPL is negative, more investors are at a loss, reducing the incentive to sell.
This would help reduce selling pressure in the ADA market and increase the likelihood of a potential rebound as more investors hold onto their assets instead of realizing losses.
ADA’s Next Move: Break Above $0.75 or Drop to $0.65?
At press time, ADA trades at $0.71. The horizontal trend of its Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart confirms the coin’s sideways movements.
The RSI indicator measures an asset’s oversold and overbought market conditions. When it is flat, as with ADA, it indicates a balance between buying and selling pressure, meaning there is no clear momentum in either direction. This suggests market consolidation, where the asset trades within a range without strong bullish or bearish dominance.
However, with the steady uptick in ADA accumulation, a break above the resistance at $0.75 could be on the horizon. If successful, ADA could rally toward $0.77.
XRP has been struggling to make any significant upward movement, with its price failing to breach a crucial resistance level. Despite attempts at recovery, the altcoin remains stuck, with no sustainable progress beyond the $2.56 barrier.
The drastic drop in circulation is worsening the situation, signaling a lack of investor activity and growing market concern.
XRP Loses Interest
The circulation of XRP has seen a sharp decline, with its velocity falling to a five-year low. This metric, which tracks the rate at which XRP is transacted, has not been this low since January 2020. A drop in circulation often reflects investor hesitation, as less movement indicates a lack of confidence in the market.
This low velocity is a negative sign for XRP, suggesting that holders are not actively moving their assets. It points to a sense of bearishness in the market, as investors are reluctant to trade or engage with the asset. The absence of significant transaction activity further indicates that XRP may struggle to break out of its current rut without a shift in sentiment.
XRP’s macro momentum is not showing signs of strength, with technical indicators reflecting the overall market sentiment. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) for XRP has dropped to a four-month low, remaining below the zero line and signaling bearishness. This suggests that investors are unwilling to invest more money in XRP due to the current market conditions.
The CMF being in the negative zone indicates that buying pressure is lacking and that holders are not injecting capital into the asset. This weak investor confidence could continue to hinder XRP’s potential for a rebound, making it more challenging to regain upward momentum in the near future.
XRP’s price is currently at $2.36, and it is unable to break through the critical $2.56 resistance level. This resistance has been a significant barrier for the altcoin in the past, and it continues to act as a strong point of contention. Until XRP can successfully breach this level, the altcoin is unlikely to sustain any meaningful rally.
Given the current market conditions and declining circulation, XRP is not expected to breach the $2.56 resistance anytime soon. Instead, it could face a drop toward $2.27 or potentially lower to $2.14. This could extend the consolidation phase, erasing some of the recent gains made by the altcoin.
The only way to invalidate this bearish outlook is for XRP to break through and flip the $2.56 resistance into support. If successful, XRP could rise towards $3.00, recovering some of the losses from earlier in the year. However, this would require a significant shift in investor sentiment and broader market conditions to support such a move.
After a rough start to the week with massive liquidations, the crypto market has finally experienced some relief, with a rebound driven by favorable broader macroeconomic changes.
Liquidations over the past day totaled $384.4 million, a significant drop from previous days. Meanwhile, the global market cap rose 1.1% over the last day.
According to Coinglass data, $384.4 million was liquidated in the past 24 hours. Of this, $138.2 million came from long positions, while $246.2 million were short positions.
Specifically, Bitcoin saw $186.7 million in liquidations, with $146.0 million attributed to short positions. Ethereum experienced $73.6 million in liquidations, with $40.3 million from long positions and $33.1 million from short positions.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin regained ground over $80,000, trading at $82,299. This marked a 3.6% increase over the past day.
Notably, the recovery could be attributed to recent diplomatic developments. According to Bloomberg, Ukraine agreed to a temporary 30-day ceasefire in response to a US proposal. This has reduced geopolitical tensions that had previously weighed on the market.
Furthermore, Ontario suspended 25% tariffs on electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. This was also a major step towards easing trade tensions.
US political figures, including House Speaker Mike Johnson, have also provided much-needed reassurance to the markets. Johnson suggested that President Trump’s economic policies, which initially contributed to market instability, would eventually stabilize the economy.
“Give the president a chance to have these policies play out,” he said.
In addition, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt noted that the market dip represented a temporary state rather than a definitive or permanent trend.
“We are in a period of economic transition,” Leavitt stated.
She emphasized the idea that market numbers, such as stock prices, trading volumes, and liquidations, reflect a specific point in time and can evolve. These combined factors—political reassurances, easing trade tensions, and a reduction in geopolitical risks—have contributed to the crypto market’s recent recovery.
