On Tuesday, a large Solana whale transferred 494,153 SOL—valued at approximately $72 million—to the Coinbase exchange, raising concerns over a potential sell-off.
Large exchange inflows like this often signal impending selling pressure, putting SOL’s recent gains at risk.
$72 Million in SOL Hits Coinbase, Weighing on Market Sentiment
According to Whale Alert, a SOL whale transferred 494,153 SOL valued at $72 million to Coinbase Institutional on Tuesday. Significant exchange inflows such as this mean that large investors are moving their holdings from private wallets to exchanges, often signaling an intent to sell.
This increased supply on exchanges can increase the downward pressure on the SOL price, especially if there is insufficient demand to absorb the selling. As a result, its price may decline in the near term, leading to further sell-offs.
Moreover, the coin’s negative weighted sentiment heightens the risk of this selloff. At press time, this key metric is below zero at -0.51.
An asset’s weighted sentiment analyzes social media and online platforms to measure the overall tone (positive or negative) surrounding it. It considers the volume of mentions and the ratio of positive to negative comments. When weighted sentiment is positive, it indicates more positive comments and discussions about the cryptocurrency than negative ones.
On the other hand, when it is negative, the overall market sentiment is bearish, with more negative commentary and pessimism outweighing positive discussions about the asset.
This trend can increase selling pressure in the SOL market, discourage new demand, and contribute to its price decline as traders react to the prevailing bearish outlook.
Will Solana Drop to $138 or Surge to $160?
At press time, SOL trades at $145.84. If the whale selloff prompts retail traders to distribute their coins, SOL’s price may plummet to $138.84.
However, on the daily chart, SOL bulls appear ready to defend key levels. Readings from technical indicators, including the Parabolic SAR, suggest that buying momentum is gaining strength.
At press time, the dots that make up this momentum indicator rest below SOL’s price, offering dynamic support. When an asset’s Parabolic SAR is set up this way, it signals a bullish trend. It hints at the possibility of a rally in SOL’s price in the short term. If this happens, the coin could exchange hands at $160.34.
Pi Network (PI) has been struggling to recover from recent losses. Despite attempts to push past the $0.71 resistance level, the altcoin is currently unable to gain significant upward momentum.
As of now, PI is sitting at $0.63, and its future movements remain uncertain. Investors are growing increasingly skeptical, with the recent mainnet migration roadmap failing to inspire enough confidence to stop outflows from the network.
PI Investors Pull Back
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has shown a sharp downtick in recent days, signaling that investor interest in Pi Network is waning. This negative sentiment is reflected in the substantial amount of money being pulled out of PI.
While the mainnet migration roadmap was expected to boost the altcoin’s appeal, it has not been enough to stop the ongoing outflows. The CMF reflects a broader trend of declining interest as investors pull their funds from the platform in anticipation of further price declines.
Pi Network’s investor sentiment has been notably negative over the past month. Many are questioning the value proposition of the token, particularly given its rapid loss of launch hype. This, combined with ongoing volatility and a lack of clear utility, has led to hesitancy in the market.
Investors are not seeing a compelling reason to hold onto their PI tokens, and this has fueled the continued sell-off.
Furthermore, with Pi Network’s price struggling to stay above the critical $0.61 support level, it is evident that market sentiment remains fragile. Without a significant catalyst, such as a strong use case or promising developments, Pi Network risks further price erosion. The absence of an optimistic outlook is pushing investors away.
Currently, Pi Network’s price stands at $0.63, holding just above the $0.61 support. However, the altcoin appears vulnerable, and there is a real possibility that it will fail to maintain this level. If outflows continue and PI falls below $0.61, it could experience a sharp drop to $0.51, erasing the gains made in April.
This potential drop would extend the losses for Pi Network, and the price may even approach $0.50. The rapid outflows and negative sentiment surrounding PI could lead to a prolonged downtrend if the altcoin cannot recover soon.
However, if Pi Network manages to hold above the $0.61 support, it could push toward the $0.71 resistance level. A breach of this level would signal a recovery and could help the altcoin recover some of its recent losses.
The crypto market’s volatility has left altcoins in limbo, uncertain about potential gains or losses, and heavily reliant on external factors. These influences could determine whether a recovery rally occurs.
BeInCrypto has analyzed three key altcoins for investors to watch in the third week of March and what direction they could take.
Solana (SOL)
Solana’s price is currently at $129, positioning itself for a potential bullish breakout. On March 17, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) will launch SOL Futures, a significant event for the altcoin. As CME is one of the largest derivatives exchanges globally, this could drive substantial institutional inflows into Solana.
This development could inject bullish momentum into SOL, pushing the altcoin higher. The critical resistance level to watch is $161, which would require a 24% price surge. However, for this rally to materialize, SOL must first breach the $135 and $148 resistance levels, paving the way for continued gains.
If Solana fails to break through either $135 or $148, its price could retrace. A drop below these levels could send SOL back to $126 or lower to $118. This scenario would invalidate the bullish outlook, delaying any potential recovery and exposing the altcoin to further downside risk.
Mantle (MNT)
MNT price has surged 25% over the past week as anticipation builds for Mantle’s upcoming network upgrade. On March 19, the Mantle Network Mainnet will undergo a hard fork upgrade, activating EigenDA and ensuring compatibility with Ethereum’s future Pectra upgrade. This event is driving strong bullish sentiment for MNT.
In response to the upgrade, MNT is expected to see further gains, potentially reaching $1.00. Currently trading at $0.83, the altcoin needs to breach the $0.87 and $0.94 resistance levels to sustain its rally. A successful breakout above these levels could confirm the bullish trend.
However, failure to surpass $0.87 could keep MNT stuck in consolidation. If the altcoin loses support at $0.79, it risks falling further to $0.71. A drop to this level would invalidate the bullish outlook and shift market sentiment toward a bearish trend.
BNB
Another altcoin to watch in March, BNB’s price surged 19.5% this week, reaching $635 at the time of writing. The altcoin successfully broke through the key resistance block between $587 and $619. With bullish momentum building, BNB appears poised for further gains, provided market conditions remain favorable in the coming days.
One major catalyst is the upcoming Pascal hard fork on March 20. The upgrade will introduce EIP-7702 smart contract wallets, enhanced Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility, and improved developer flexibility. These enhancements could drive investor confidence, pushing BNB above $647 and potentially toward the $686 mark.
However, if the anticipated rally fails to gain traction, BNB could retreat to $619. Losing this support level may trigger further declines, sending the altcoin back through the resistance block and potentially testing the $550 support level, which would invalidate the bullish outlook.
The crypto market shows positive signs in the second half of April 2025. Several divergence signals have appeared, suggesting a potential recovery for Bitcoin and altcoins.
Divergence is a key concept in data analysis. It happens when the values of two metrics suddenly shift and move in opposite directions compared to their previous trend. This often signals a change in price momentum. Based on expert analysis and market data, this article highlights five major divergence signals—three for Bitcoin and two for altcoins—to help investors better understand the market outlook.
3 Divergence Signals in April Point to a Bitcoin Price Rally
Historically, Bitcoin and the DXY Index (US Dollar Index) move in opposite directions. When DXY rises, Bitcoin tends to fall, and vice versa. But from September 2024 to March 2025, Bitcoin and the DXY moved in the same direction.
Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at TheyaBitcoin, noted that Bitcoin started decoupling from the US dollar after the announcement of the sweeping tariff regime. A chart from his post shows that in April, while the DXY fell sharply from 103.5 to 98.5, Bitcoin surged from around $75,000 to over $91,000.
Divergence Between BTC And USD. Source: Joe Consorti
This divergence may reflect investors turning to Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainty caused by the tariffs.
“Bitcoin has been diverging from the US dollar since the US announced its sweeping tariff regime. Amidst this global economic reordering, gold and bitcoin are shining,” Joe Consorti predicted.
Another key divergence comes from Tuur Demeester, an advisor to Blockstream. He pointed out a separation between Bitcoin and the NASDAQ Index, which represents tech stocks. Historically, Bitcoin closely followed the NASDAQ due to its ties to tech and macroeconomic sentiment.
But in April 2025, Bitcoin started showing independent growth. It no longer moves in sync with the NASDAQ. While some, like Ecoinometrics, argue that this divergence isn’t necessarily bullish, Demeester remains optimistic.
Divergence Between Bitcoin And NASDAQ. Source: Ecoinometrics
“Bitcoin divergence” and “Bitcoin decoupling” will be dominant headlines for 2025,” Tuur Demeester said.
Specifically, NASDAQ has faced downward pressure from interest rate concerns and slowing growth. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has shown strength, with significant price gains. This suggests that Bitcoin is cementing its role as a standalone asset less tied to traditional markets.
Data from CryptoQuant highlights another divergence—this time in investor behavior. Long-term Bitcoin holders (LTH, those who’ve held BTC for over 155 days) began accumulating again after the recent local peak.
In contrast, short-term holders (STH) are selling off. This divergence often signals the early stage of a re-accumulation phase and hints at a future price rebound.
Bitcoin Long Term Holder Net Position Change. Source: CryptoQuant.
“Why This Divergence Matters? LTH behavior is generally associated with macro conviction, not speculative moves. STH activity is often emotional and reactive, driven by price volatility and fear. When LTH accumulation meets STH capitulation, it tends to signal early stages of a re-accumulation phase,” IT Tech, an analyst at CryptoQuant, predicted.
Altcoin Recovery Round the Corner
Divergence signals also appeared for altcoins, indicating a positive short-term outlook.
Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Realvision, pointed to a key divergence using the “365-day new lows” indicator. This metric tracks how many altcoins hit their lowest point in the past year.
In April 2025, although altcoin market capitalization dropped to a new low, the number of altcoins hitting new 365-day lows decreased significantly. Historically, this pattern often precedes a recovery in altcoin market caps.
“Divergence shows downside momentum was exhausted,” Jamie Coutts said.
In simpler terms, fewer altcoins hitting rock bottom means less panic-selling. It suggests that negative market sentiment is weakening. At the same time, rising prices show renewed buying interest. These factors hint that altcoins may be gearing up for a recovery—or even an “altcoin season,” a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
Another technical divergence comes from the RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the Bitcoin Dominance chart (BTC.D), noted by analyst Merlijn The Trader. This chart reflects Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market capitalization.
“Bearish Divergence Spotted on BTC.D. Higher highs on the chart. Lower highs on RSI. This setup doesn’t lie. Altcoin strength is brewing. Watch for trade setups,” Merlijn said.
This pure technical divergence suggests that BTC.D might soon undergo a strong correction. If that happens, investors may shift more capital into altcoins.
The altcoin market cap (TOTAL3) rebounded by 20% in April, from $660 billion to over $800 billion. The divergence signals discussed above suggest that this recovery could continue.
