Pi Coin price recorded an all-time low of $0.335 earlier this week. Since then, it has gained nearly 10% to trade at $0.3665 today, August 8. A bullish pattern now hints that the recovery is still in the early stages, and a 40% rally may be imminent. Pi Coin Price Targets 40% Rally as Market
Bitcoin (BTC) is now one year past its most recent halving, and this cycle is shaping up to be unlike any before it. Unlike previous cycles where explosive rallies followed the halving, BTC has seen a far more muted gain, up just 31%, compared to 436% over the same timeframe in the last cycle.
At the same time, long-term holder metrics like the MVRV ratio are signaling a sharp decline in unrealized profits, pointing to a maturing market with compressing upside. Together, these shifts suggest Bitcoin may be entering a new era, defined less by parabolic peaks and more by gradual, institution-driven growth.
A Year After the Bitcoin Halving: A Cycle Unlike Any Other
This Bitcoin cycle is unfolding noticeably differently than previous ones, signaling a potential shift in how the market responds to halving events.
In earlier cycles—most notably from 2012 to 2016 and again from 2016 to 2020—Bitcoin tended to rally aggressively around this stage. The post-halving period was often marked by strong upward momentum and parabolic price action, largely fueled by retail enthusiasm and speculative demand.
The current cycle, however, has taken a different route. Instead of accelerating after the halving, the price surge began earlier, in October and December 2024, followed by consolidation in January 2025 and a correction in late February.
This front-loaded behavior diverges sharply from historical patterns where halvings typically acted as the catalyst for major rallies.
Several factors are contributing to this shift. Bitcoin is no longer just a retail-driven speculative asset—it’s increasingly seen as a maturing financial instrument. The growing involvement of institutional investors, coupled with macroeconomic pressures and structural changes in the market, has led to a more measured and complex response.
Another clear sign of this evolution is the weakening strength of each successive cycle. The explosive gains of the early years have become harder to replicate as Bitcoin’s market cap has grown. For instance, in the 2020–2024 cycle, Bitcoin had climbed 436% one year after the halving.
In contrast, this cycle has seen a much more modest 31% increase over the same timeframe.
This shift could mean Bitcoin is entering a new chapter. One with less wild volatility and more steady, long-term growth. The halving may no longer be the main driver. Other forces are taking over—rates, liquidity, and institutional money.
The game is changing. And so is the way Bitcoin moves.
Nonetheless, it’s important to note that previous cycles also featured periods of consolidation and correction before resuming their uptrend. While this phase may feel slower or less exciting, it could still represent a healthy reset before the next move higher.
That said, the possibility remains that this cycle will continue to diverge from historical patterns. Instead of a dramatic blow-off top, the outcome may be a more prolonged and structurally supported uptrend—less driven by hype, more by fundamentals.
What Long-Term Holder MVRV Reveals About Bitcoin’s Maturing Market
The Long-Term Holder (LTH) MVRV ratio has always been a solid measure of unrealized profits. It shows how much long-term investors are sitting on before they start selling. But over time, this number is falling.
In the 2016–2020 cycle, LTH MVRV peaked at 35.8. That signaled massive paper profits and a clear top forming. By the 2020–2024 cycle, the peak dropped sharply to 12.2. This happened even as Bitcoin price hit fresh all-time highs.
In the current cycle, the highest LTH MVRV so far is just 4.35. That’s a massive drop. It shows long-term holders aren’t seeing the same kind of gains. The trend is clear: each cycle delivers smaller multiples.
Bitcoin’s explosive upside is compressing. The market is maturing.
Now, in the current cycle, the highest LTH MVRV reading so far has been 4.35. This stark drop suggests long-term holders are experiencing much lower multiples on their holdings compared to previous cycles, even with substantial price appreciation. The pattern points to one conclusion: Bitcoin’s upside is compressing.
This isn’t just a fluke. As the market matures, explosive gains are naturally harder to come by. The days of extreme, cycle-driven profit multiples may be fading, replaced by more moderate—but potentially more stable—growth.
A growing market cap means it takes exponentially more capital to move the price significantly.
Still, it’s not definitive proof that this cycle has already topped out. Previous cycles often included extended periods of sideways movement or modest pullbacks before new highs were reached.
With institutions playing a larger role, accumulation phases could stretch longer. Therefore, peak profit-taking may be less abrupt than in earlier cycles.
However, if the trend of declining MVRV peaks continues, it could reinforce the idea that Bitcoin is transitioning away from wild, cyclical surges and toward a more subdued but structured growth pattern.
The sharpest gains may already be behind, especially for those entering late in the cycle.
Donald Trump Donald Trump is an American former president politician, businessman, and media personality, who served as the 45th president of the U.S. between 2017 to 2021. Trump earned a Bachelor of science in economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 1968. Trump won the 2016 presidential election as the Republican Party nominee against Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton while losing the popular vote. As president, Trump ordered a travel ban on citizens from several Muslim-majority countries, diverted military funding toward building a wall on the U.S.–Mexico border, and implemented a family separation policy. Trump has remained a prominent figure in the Republican Party and is considered a likely candidate for the 2024 presidential election
For now, the reserve only holds Bitcoin seized through criminal and civil forfeiture cases. But many believe this could be the beginning of something much bigger.
Is the U.S. Preparing a Full-Scale National Bitcoin Reserve?
Although limited in scope today, talk is growing around a possible expansion into a full National Bitcoin Reserve. The idea would mirror the structure of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, but for digital assets.
Prediction market platform Kalshi currently puts the chances of such a move at 50%. This potential reserve would include Bitcoin not obtained through seizures – and could even involve other cryptocurrencies.
Importantly, the Kalshi contract requires that the reserve be fully functional and operational, not just announced.
Market Sentiment on the Move
Kalshi’s data shows just how much public sentiment has shifted in the past few months:
57.2% probability at the start of 2025
41.2% low on January 9
70.6% peak on March 6 (following Trump’s executive order)
Mar 2025 – Signs Executive Order to form the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve
Each of these steps suggests a broader digital asset strategy may be in the works.
What a National Bitcoin Reserve Could Mean
If Trump moves forward with a fully operational National Bitcoin Reserve, it could mark a historic turning point in U.S. economic policy. It would position Bitcoin not just as a financial asset, but as a strategic one.
Accelerate regulatory clarity and institutional adoption
Signal America’s leadership in global digital finance
Still, much will depend on how the plan is executed, how it aligns politically, and how other countries respond.
The days of digital assets sitting on the sidelines of U.S. policy may be numbered, and Bitcoin just took one step closer to the main stage.
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On March 6, 2025, U.S. President signed an Executive Order establishing a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile. This marked a major step in integrating digital assets into the U.S. financial framework. For now, the reserve only holds Bitcoin seized through criminal and civil forfeiture cases. But many believe this could be …
As US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day tariff delay, top cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE) are showing signs of a potential breakout. In addition, with Trump’s hint at pausing the 50% tariff on China, all eyes are on its potential impact on the broader crypto market.
With the traditional financial market experiencing relief after a massive downturn, cryptocurrencies, in correlation with stocks and bonds, are exhibiting positive momentum. Thus, Trump’s pause on his tariffs has sparked speculations of a bullish turn in BTC, XRP, and DOGE prices.
How Will Trump’s Tariff Delay Impact BTC, XRP, DOGE Prices?
Notably, Trump’s unexpected pause on his tariff plans has sparked anticipation of a bullish reversal in the crypto market. These speculations have been further boosted by the Bitcoin price’s recent rally past $94k, marking a significant market shift.
Other top cryptocurrencies like XRP and DOGE have also seen a bullish resurgence following Trump’s tariff delay. Considering the prevailing positive sentiment, analysts and traders remain optimistic about the future performance of BTC, XRP, and DOGE prices.
BTC Price to Hit $180K
Analyst CryptoELITES believe that the Bitcoin price is poised to hit a new all-time high of $180,000 in November 2025. At the same time, crypto expert Merlijn The Trader forecasted the BTC price’s bullish rally to $150k in the near future. Now, Bitcoin is exchanging hands at $94,386, up 1.9%.
Source: X, CryptoELITES
XRP Price Sets Sights at $50
In a recent analysis, expert XRP Governor has set a long-term target for the XRP price amid the latest Trump tariff delay. According to him, XRP could reach an ambitious high of $50 in 2027. Currently, XRP is valued at $2.20, up 2.29%.
DOGE Price Targets $0.22
Dogecoin, which is currently trading at $0.1821, has a short-term target of $0.22. Identifying a bull flag on its price chart, analysts predict DOGE’s potential uptrend.
Crypto Market Boost
Significantly, the crypto market is about to witness its highest rally, as pointed out by market expert Michael van de Poppe.
Source: X, Michael van de Poppe
Trump Views High Tariff as a Victory: Here’s Why
According to Donald Trump, high tariffs, 20%-50%, on foreign imports will be a “total victory” as the US will make a fortune from the revenue generated. In addition, these tariffs will attract companies to set up production in the US. This will create job opportunities and economic growth.
Furthermore, Trump draws comparisons to other countries like China, India, and Brazil to highlight their high tariffs. Thus, he acknowledges that tariffs are a key component of his economic policy.
In conclusion, this move has sparked speculation about a potential bullish rally in the crypto market, with Bitcoin being a key beneficiary.